Orville Sagel
597 posts
Orville Sagel
@Tree2Big
It’s not that serious, it was just a shit post.
Washington, DC 参加日 Ocak 2017
347 フォロー中203 フォロワー
@Mr_Derivatives Here's a look at $MSFT performance following earning releases in recent history:
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$MSFT currently at $420.69 in pre.
I mean, we’re obligated at this price right?!?
Earnings tomorrow.
I’ll tail Burry and go long for the earnings play. Or sell puts haven’t decided which.
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@0xbeehive So there’s another black swan event, based on some boxes and lines on a chart? I’m all for technical analysis, but I think you’re doing it wrong.
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S&P 500 IS RALLYING ON EMPTY VOLUME
And that's exactly the problem
When price goes up but volume stays low - it means there's no real conviction behind the move
We saw this exact setup in early 2025:
1. Low volume rally - price goes up, nobody's really buying
2. Volume picks up - first warning sign, distribution begins
3. High volume sell-off - that's when it gets ugly
Right now the same picture is forming again
I'm not saying the dump is guaranteed, but when volume finally returns to this market, it won't be buyers leading the charge
Save this. Let's see who's right!
bee🐝@0xbeehive
S&P 500 IS NOT AS STRONG AS IT LOOKS The price keeps going up - awesome! BUT The RSI is in a downtrend, as well as the OBV And this gap between the price and the actual state of affairs is exactly what distribution looks like before a significant peak forms From here I expect distribution with a possible bounce to $7,300 to trap the last buyers Either way, the final result is flush crash just like in October 2025
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FACT: New Fed Chair = MARKET DUMP
Look at this closely:
Every time a new chair came to the Fed, the market entered a downtrend
Yellen - major drawdown
Powell - same story, TWICE
This isn't just a hypothesis - we've seen this happen THREE times in a row
Now we’re approaching another transition
I think the market is not pricing this in yet
Be careful around this period - this is where narratives flip fast
Prepare, don’t react
NOTIFS ON!
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Surely we can't just run straight to the 1.618... right? $SPY
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@JeffW008 @TicTocTick Maybe he means Nividia will have a 30% dip from a new tbd ath? That’s probably what he meant.
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@TicTocTick Many saying Nvidia is the next Cisco. But there is core difference in reality:
Nvidia is building a progressive technology, we keep replacing older computers with newer ones, which means revenue is reoccurring.
Cisco was building optical fiber, revenue was a one time venue.
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@Mr_Derivatives Ooff. Down 1-3? Mannn. You gotta dump your losers right away. Dont be that guy holding onto hope until it expires worthless.
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You know what is worse than losing money in stock trading?
Being a life long New York Knicks fan.
If they lose today and go down 1-3, they dunzo.
Must win game today.
Where are my Knicks fans at? I don’t want to feel alone in this.
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@YodaStockInvest Naaaa. I’m gonna go out on a limb and even say the majority of tech is undervalued at this point.
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@QC_Capitals Yup. And with any luck, tech earnings season isn’t a repeat of last quarter’s and the momentum continues for the MAGS
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@Mr_Derivatives Oh we definitely opening green Monday after the grind up Sunday night. 🚀
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$SPX Hyperliquid implying a small -.50% open for Futes tomorrow.
Take with grain of salt.
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@NotA_Bull $CAT Didn’t mean for it to be that way, kinda did it to itself.
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What is the single biggest position in your entire portfolio?
No ETFs, stocks only.
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@WisemanCap Dosnt help they all seem to be reporting at the same time on Wednesday.
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@TheProfInvestor Na fam. The worst of the market shocks this year have already passed. War is becoming old news.
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@Mr_Derivatives Absolutely not. The flush this year already flushed. The war is becoming less important to the market as time passes.
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When Prof speaks, I listen.
Do you agree with his assessment?
Prof@TheProfInvestor
S&P 500 will drop to 5900 sometime in 2026. Thats my predication. Not putting a time one it. But it will happen. until then, we trade based on todays reality. $SPX $SPY
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Which stock in your portfolio is carrying your returns this week?
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@Mr_Derivatives Blue origin put their shit to a wrong orbit. Lol.
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