Riley Yung

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Riley Yung

Riley Yung

@karkwonk

I run a bug instagram. Former SpaceX, Commonwealth Fusion, 2nd grade coach’s pitch mvp

参加日 Ocak 2016
95 フォロー中110 フォロワー
@levelsio
@levelsio@levelsio·
I still haven't solved the CO2 bedroom challenge You open the window and you wake up from a 6am garbage truck or barking dogs and sunlight You close it, you suffocate in 1200 ppl at 5am I guess you really need some mini tube in your wall with a vent that opens and closed based on internal CO2 but how do I build that?
@levelsio tweet media
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natsuki64
natsuki64@yurddlc2·
Why do red voters think its perfectly reasonable for all 8 billion people to pick red buts its unreasonable for half of that to pick blue
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Riley Yung
Riley Yung@karkwonk·
@ArtemyZen Not “as rational as me”. Just “rational enough” But obviously it’s a wrong assumption
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Artemy Zen 🎮🎶📷
У краснокнопочников есть одно интересное когнитивное искажение. Они думают, что все такие же рациональные как они, и не допускают, что люди в здравом уме могут нажать синюю. Опросы и споры в интернете не могут их переубедить, что на синюю всё же кто-то, да нажмёт.
Alexander Tuzhik@alprog_

@fireflo24928270 Так нажавшие красную и не причастны.

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Riley Yung
Riley Yung@karkwonk·
@spiderking232 Also, very importantly, the implication is that bad things will happen if no one joins the posse or does anything about the thugs. That is not the case in the red/blue question
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spiderking23
spiderking23@spiderking232·
Unlike all of the different wordings of the Button Dillemma, this actually IS a totally different scenario. We would know how many people are in the Posse already, and how many more are needed. This isn't a gamble. You know for a fact what other people choose.
West of Lourdes | VT@west_of_lourdes

An actual analogy for the button question: the High Noon Dilemma The sheriff is rounding a posse to kick out a gang of thugs. The thugs will kill the sheriff and everyone in the posse unless 30% of the men in town join the posse, in which case they leave. Do you join the posse?

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Joam Luxurious
You are asked a hypothetical question that reveals your moral character. Pushing red button announces to the world that you are cowardly. Pushing blue shows you are heroic. There are no other consequences because it is a hypothetical. You can just lie. It’s a hypothetical.
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Riley Yung
Riley Yung@karkwonk·
@imkikosuarez Blue WINNING guarantees that everyone lives. But you have no control over who wins.
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Riley Yung
Riley Yung@karkwonk·
@imkikosuarez I think this is the fundamental misunderstanding of many blue voters (reds have their own misunderstandings) Voting blue does not guarantee anything.
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Riley Yung
Riley Yung@karkwonk·
@TenszNeumann @dead_baseball I think most red voters would certainly take a 50/50 gamble to save 4 billion people. That’s way different than the original question. I’m a red voter and would probably accept even a perceived 1% chance of saving 4 billion people (with 99% chance of a defector killing me)
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Tensz el Michi Libertario
Tensz el Michi Libertario@TenszNeumann·
@dead_baseball Only when X=1 you are garantee to survive when pressing blue. If X>1 then you are gambling with your life, so you press red. Some people just are not willing to gamble with their lives on the line. Not too hard to understand.
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Baseball's Not Dead
Baseball's Not Dead@dead_baseball·
Let's say red is up by 1 vote. There's only two people left in the world to vote, you and someone else, and you both know red is up by 1 vote. Which one do you press? Let's say red is up by 2 votes. 3 people left to vote. Which one do you press? (cont)
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Riley Yung
Riley Yung@karkwonk·
@Robotbeat Granted I grew up in a small town, but by age 11 I was certainly allowed to bike anywhere in town on my own (3-4 mile radius). Hell it was a mile just walking to school in 3rd grade
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Rob
Rob@rugbyyob·
@KJdaMAN11pogo @Gibhunter @30SecondYou @HazelAppleyard 50 pushs 4 times a day (can be done in minutes) = $2000 a day or $730,000 a year. 3 years in you would be on $2.2m. No way a $1m gets that high that quickly even with 20% annual return for 3 years.
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flntwd
flntwd@flntwd·
@raines1220 Good point. It’s possible there are many more robotaxis in operation than currently reported.
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Raines
Raines@raines1220·
Robotaxi Tracker has only 89 riders reporting their rides in Austin, and they’ve logged just 8,152 miles in total. Meanwhile, Austin Robotaxi has probably accumulated 1–2 million miles, meaning only about ~0.5% of the miles have been reported. From that ~0.5% of reported miles, 19 unique unsupervised Robotaxis have been discovered in Austin, and people are laughing about it. Well, to be honest, I’m laughing at you. Imagine I deploy 10 people to take Uber every day and count how many unique cars they discover. On the first day, they report discovering 10 cars. On the second day, they report another 10 cars (20 in total) Several days later, they report that 100 unique cars have been discovered in total (a pretty small number, right?). Then I can finally make fun of Uber: “Look! Uber only has 100 cars. How pathetic!”
Raines tweet media
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Riley Yung
Riley Yung@karkwonk·
If there were many more cars than riders reporting, you would expect a new car to be discovered almost every trip (like your uber example). But based on the mileage, the 89 riders have an avg of 10 rides each. Which means of the 19 cars discovered, they have each been reported an average of ~46 times. Very unlikely we are missing many (if any) cars.
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Riley Yung
Riley Yung@karkwonk·
@quijaking @KyleJamesOlson @Gzalzi @YuletideFrost Ofc a few people do actually jump in front of a train, but people are dying all the time. If this experiment was run and the same number of people died as jump in front of trains on a daily basis, that would unfortunately just be a normal day
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