Ryan Munion

1.3K posts

Ryan Munion

Ryan Munion

@munion_ryan

参加日 Ağustos 2020
97 フォロー中51 フォロワー
Ryan Munion
Ryan Munion@munion_ryan·
@UziCryptoo Yes, it is very true that people other than you decide the value of what you own.
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Uzi
Uzi@UziCryptoo·
Property taxes should be outlawed. And before someone says “aLL tAxEs sHouLd be ouTlaWed” yes, but property taxes in particular are the most unjust. Every other tax is based on a share of a transaction. You always know upfront what this share will be. Property taxes, on the other hand, are based on a “value” assessed by the same entity levying the tax. Your town or county literally “decides” what your property is worth (assessed value) and then demands a share of it, regardless of your ability to pay. Fail to pay and they take the property for themselves. The model is actually worse than an unrealized gains tax; you aren’t just paying the tax on the gain, you are basically paying a percentage of whatever they decide the value is, every year in perpetuity. That’s why it’s is the most unjust tax. That’s why it should be abolished.
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Ryan Munion
Ryan Munion@munion_ryan·
@fjzeit All the things that retired people do. Not considered work.
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fj@fjzeit·
husband life hack: 1. use the damn shopping app to create the shopping list. that way the brand is effortlessly communicated. 2. men: do stuff. all those regular meals the family eat are NOT difficult. and - unless you’re a complete wasteman - you’ll end up optimising the prep and clean up and wonder why she makes so much fuss. 3. once you’ve got the regular meals down pat - and cooking is a hugely cathartic activity, a nothing box activity - you’ll actually enjoy doing it and eating it. it’s easy, effortless, and rewarding. 4. even when you cook, do the washing up and putting away. you’re a man. you don’t need to split activities. own the whole thing. 5. when she cooks (and she’ll likely leave a huge mess at the end) just quietly clear up and wash the mess, dry it and put it away. again: it’s an effortless activity that only a wasteman would think of as work. 6. take over the vacuuming. clean the toilets regularly. make zero noise about it. just do it. 7. once 3 and 4 are down pat, extend your cooking repertoire to more interesting meals, especially those that might suite a romantic night in. prep, cook, clean up yourself. it’s fun and effortless. just do it. 8. continue to do all the things you already do - you know all those things you just get done and don’t expect your spouse to contribute to. all the man things. 9. now extend your reach to the washing machine and dryer. notice when a wash needs to be done and just do it. ask her in passing what her preferences are in terms of splits and cycle types. the goal here is to make this entire activity your own. optimise the process and take it over. summary: don’t accept piecemeal requests. own the whole thing and do it better and quicker than her and make zero fuss about it. there really is no cognitive load. just information gatekeeping. break the gate and show that the load isn’t that big a thing.
BlackSword@Blacksword011

What men don’t understand about the mental load

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Ryan Munion
Ryan Munion@munion_ryan·
@ziebrav The amount of give is what is important. More give, but same height of bounce is better.
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zia
zia@ziebrav·
Extraordinary marketing
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Ryan Munion
Ryan Munion@munion_ryan·
@xwanyex It is a bit more than that when you think bigger. What can this do with $1 in credits? $100? $10,000? $1,000,000? I think LLMs can't properly complete those really large projects, but it has climbed very far very quickly.
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wanye
wanye@xwanyex·
What’s currently cooking the brains of every smart AI booster is the idea that if LLMs autocomplete good enough, then that magically becomes something different in kind. But there’s no evidence for this. It’s just breathlessly asserted over and over again on the basis of thought experiments.
Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼@Noahpinion

"AI is just fancy autocomplete", bro that "autocomplete" is about to outfox every human cybersecurity specialist who ever lived

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Ryan Munion
Ryan Munion@munion_ryan·
@jimkxa I think this is likely true for Groq. But we have a split between GPU and CPU that won't change and hasn't for decades. I find how nVidia is dealing with models needing tools to be quite interesting. Tool use doesn't work great on GPUs.
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Ryan Munion
Ryan Munion@munion_ryan·
@Blacksword011 Men don't burden others with their mental load. Women can learn a thing or two about this.
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BlackSword
BlackSword@Blacksword011·
What men don’t understand about the mental load
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Ryan Munion
Ryan Munion@munion_ryan·
@america That is not possible. It is too close to the total cost of the program. Fraud is probably closer to 5-10% of total expenses. Of course, the program should be removed completely, but that is a separate issue.
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America
America@america·
Gavin Newsom's State Medicaid program ‘Medi-Cal’ is losing $146 BILLION per year to fraud. The level of fraud in California is insane.
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Ryan Munion
Ryan Munion@munion_ryan·
@stevemagness @Alan_Couzens This sort of thinking sticks with most adults their entire life. I ran in highschool and thought it would be crazy for me to run 90 miles a week in my 40s. But if you go slow enough and run twice a day it is quite easy to get that much volume in.
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Steve Magness
Steve Magness@stevemagness·
@Alan_Couzens Yep. Most amateurs go too hard on their easy days. It’s the same thing with HS kids. It’s moderate hard every day.
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Alan Couzens
Alan Couzens@Alan_Couzens·
What amateur runners think the "Norwegian method" looks like before buying a lactate tester: * 3x per week of hard, long, threshold sessions at the track added to the program. What amateur runners realize the "Norwegian method" looks like after buying a lactate tester: * 3x per week your normal "easy" runs (which were actually hard runs all along - you just didn't know it!) at ~2.5-3 mmol/L * The addition of lots of actual easy training as close to 1mmol/L as you can get (likely walking initially, but it will improve over time)
Alan Couzens@Alan_Couzens

"Coach, after reading Bakken's book, I think I need to add some threshold runs to my week" "Are you lactate testing your easy runs?" "No." "Good news: You're already doing them."

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Ryan Munion
Ryan Munion@munion_ryan·
No. You have to cycle batteries daily to make them cost effective. To deal with seasonal variation it is cheaper to just overbuild. So you get extra energy in the summer. The real question is what can we do with this extra energy during summer months? Either way you do get a lot of capital inefficiencies with solar. But if the capital is cheap enough, it won't matter.
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Knight of the lost State of Franklin
@ChrisMartzWX For rooftop solar, 36 hours of battery are needed. For grid level solar, a minimum of 10 days are needed. Take the cost of 4 hours, multiply it by 60 and you have the cost of grid batteries.
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Chris Martz
Chris Martz@ChrisMartzWX·
The fine print on this chart at the bottom shows that this is the cost of solar + batteries with FOUR hours of backup storage. That is not nearly enough storage needed for most locations. Try again with some data that isn't intentionally misleading.
Nicolas Fulghum@nicolasfulghum

The next tipping point in the energy transition is approaching. Overall, solar has already been cheaper than fossil power for a while, but upfront costs used to be higher. That's no longer the case. Solar is now competitive upfront AND has vastly lower operating costs (no fuel)

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Ryan Munion
Ryan Munion@munion_ryan·
@ChrisMartzWX That isn't how this works. They chose four hours because that is all a solar array can realistically charge during a single day. This amount of energy can then be released during the rest of the day to be recharged the next day.
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Ryan Munion
Ryan Munion@munion_ryan·
@OneBadDude_ There are youtube videos comparing the two. The dry mix is much weaker. I would never use it for anything that needs to support anything.
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One Bad Dude
One Bad Dude@OneBadDude_·
Wait, I’m no expert, but does this actually work 🤯
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Ryan Munion
Ryan Munion@munion_ryan·
@teslavangelist It does seem like the refreshed Y and 3 are matching their estimated ranges even when driving 80 mph on the highway. This is how most people understand range and the change is good
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Teslavangelist
Teslavangelist@teslavangelist·
Range anxiety is def still around. Kids have a field trip just 65 miles away. Charged the X to 100%, but it still took 52% of the battery, because it's cold and rainy. 65 miles. "You don't need 500 miles of range." Well how about 200 winter miles then after battery degradation, weather, and freeway speeds tax the rated mileage.
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Abdulraufi bn Haaroon
Abdulraufi bn Haaroon@Ibn_Haaroon·
@travelingflying That violates fundamental human rights. Why must Muslims be second class citizens in their own country just because of their chosen Faith. That is a high level of Stupidity.
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Taya
Taya@travelingflying·
Japanese politician says that Muslims shouldn’t be buried in Japan. ”Japan is a cremation country. Allocating land for Muslim burials is not appropriate. If they want burial, it should be done in their home countries at their own expense.”
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Ryan Munion
Ryan Munion@munion_ryan·
@davepl1968 Pretty sure we were watching in school due to the Teacher in Space Program.
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Dave W Plummer
Dave W Plummer@davepl1968·
99.9% of people who "experienced" the Challenger disaster saw it on replay and now remember it as live. Almost NO ONE was watching. Everyone thinks they were. It's a fascinating collective false memory.
Jeremy London@SirJeremyLondon

Anyone who experienced the Space Shuttle Challenger explosion, like I did, is probably a bit hesitant to get too excited about the Artemis II launch today. I truly hope our children don’t have to experience such tragedy. May the Universe welcome them and return them safely home 🙏

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Ryan Munion
Ryan Munion@munion_ryan·
@elonmusk Tesla needs to work with insurance companies to subsidize miles driven by FSD.
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Ryan Munion
Ryan Munion@munion_ryan·
@PotatoMcWhiskey Measures of success are incidental. It is actual success we are interested in. Which is probably easiest to measure through earnings. And in this regard, women are doing great. They have near earnings parity with men. (99%)
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Ryan Munion
Ryan Munion@munion_ryan·
@NancyRPearcey We have also gone from 8% of women having degrees to 40%. I am not sure how to correct for this.
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Nancy Pearcey
Nancy Pearcey@NancyRPearcey·
Why are less educated women giving up on marriage? "If young women focusing too much on their careers were the key driver of marriage decline, you’d expect to see decline concentrated in better-educated women. But we actually see the reverse."
Nancy Pearcey tweet media
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Ryan Munion
Ryan Munion@munion_ryan·
@alojoh It won't be used in the AV stack. If vision doesn't work it is too dangerous to drive no matter what. Because you can't drive with just radar or LIDAR.
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AJ Investment Research
AJ Investment Research@alojoh·
Prediction: within 2-3 years, every new Tesla AV will have radar.
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Ryan Munion
Ryan Munion@munion_ryan·
@future_yas It was so dangerous that the person supervising never intervened. Yeah.... Sure.
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TeslaTravels
TeslaTravels@TeslaTravelstx·
@ScottTArcher @Tesla_AI It was a very aggressive stop. Everything in the car went flying. I think it did the legally correct thing but had someone been behind us they probably would have hit us. In reality it should have kept a farther distance from the concrete truck so it could see the lights better.
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TeslaTravels
TeslaTravels@TeslaTravelstx·
FSD scared the crap out of me and my wife. We were headed out of town and my wife was taking zoom calls in the backseat and I was relaxing letting FSD do all of the work. We were following behind a cement truck and as we went through the intersection, the cement truck ran the light at the last minute, as soon as FSD was able to see the light it turned red and FSD slammed on the brakes. My wife’s laptop went sliding across the car, but we got stopped, and then FSD backed us up behind the line.
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