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4drant
9.2K posts

4drant
@4drant
Tech Investor. everyone and everything here is a joke!
Mars 가입일 Aralık 2019
1.5K 팔로잉2K 팔로워

@4drant surely these penalties will provide a satisfying answer for everyone
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This chart is most certainly directionally and logically wrong. It predicts DRAM price won’t decline
Eugene Ng@EugeneNg
JPM continues to forecast that YoY changes in memory DRAM and NAND ASPs will begin to decelerate rapidly from the end of 2026/early 2027. While the forecasts (of when and how much) are most likely to be precisely wrong, they should be directionally correct. Important for those who think memory is not cyclical, and is different this time round. Interesting to watch how this plays out.
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@dopamine_uptake @JerryCap He did indeed
Much more to go though, it was like trustpilot at 60-70p
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Just in case people are wondering about my track record with European equities:
$RPI: $280 -> $800 (agentic AI hardware demand thesis).
$LPK: ~$6, thesis at $13 -> $24.2 (glass cores substrates close monopoly)
$SOI: $44 -> $181 (silicon photonics, monopoly over substrates)
$SIVE: $4 -> $71 (CPO, critical chokepoints over lasers).
$IQE: $12 -> $47 (latent epiwafer capacity, information discovery around downstream photonics companies).
$ALRIB: $5 -> $15 (duopoly, synthesis around quantum buyers with photonics growth verticals).
And now $XFAB at $9.
I’m not always right.
But every single one of my European longs thesis have been validated so far by either earnings, investments (eg. $MTSI in IQE) or market returns.


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@4drant Gavin dumping his entire $P position in Q1 probably wasn't a good sign
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Tbf, long $DELL short $NVDA has been a helluva trade YTD so I get the whole NVDA funding short thing
The AI Investor@The_AI_Investor
Do people realize Dell AI racks and servers use mostly NVDA, right?
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@teortaxesTex Pricing … v4 is significantly cheaper at similar performance
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@4drant I really like the cowork harness tho, for what I have to do most days.
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@4drant I hear server sales are growing quite quickly for some reason.
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Wealth transfer from UK to USA begins in another 1.5 hours
$iqe

4drant@4drant
3 things new today vs 1 month ago trading update with macom release - visibility beyond 2026 - multiple tier 1 InP wins - ebitda hsd-ldd % $iqe
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