Chris Leavy
6.2K posts
Chris Leavy
@CaptainLeavy
Athletic Trainer, Ski Patrol, NREMT, Costco Rotisserie Chicken connoisseur
Wherever I may roam 가입일 Mart 2011
1.2K 팔로잉255 팔로워
You can run and lift but can’t last 60 seconds in a wrestling
match? You’re not in shape
Hybrid Athlete Guy@Hybridathlete
You run but you can’t bench 135 or deadlift 225? You’re not in shape.
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@BlueHavenUSA @gemoscatelli So you don’t know the difference between physical price and future price
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Crude oil traded above $200/bbl yesterday CnF Asia. If you think crude oil is going down is because you are looking at the Brent June and WTI May online video game for day gamblers. Refineries shutting down, flights being canceled due to jet fuel above $200/bbl.
This is not a commodities supercycle, this is a commodities shortage cycle.
Demand destruction.
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@CaptainLeavy @RodDMartin That's Europe and Asia. That's their problem, not ours.
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And just like that, oil is $83/bbl, down from a $119 high. Panicans hardest hit.
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@rado4life @barnes_law You don’t know the difference between energy and crude. Our energy exports are refined products and LNG. We are a net importer of crude
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@barnes_law You’re an idiot, US is now undisputed energy king in the world. Pipe down pillsbury!
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Listening to idiots suggesting we could replace the crude oil shortage from the mideast. Newsflash: we IMPORT MORE crude oil than we export.
US crude oil imports: About 6.2 million barrels per day
US crude oil exports: About 4 million barrels per day.
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@Mazifx_ @AlaliQasem We’ve been around 150 all week, and hit over 200 yesterday.
Don’t be confused by futures vs real. Real market is going crazy
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@AlaliQasem History repeating would put us at $147. We're barely touching $95. That gap is where the fear lives.
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The Last Time Crude Inventories Were This Low…
…Brent hit $147/barrel.
That was 2008.
Global onshore crude stocks (ex-China) are now tracking below every year since 2022 — and accelerating lower:
📦 2020 peak: ~3,200 mbbl (COVID glut)
📦 2022: ~2,460 mbbl
📦 2024: ~2,295 mbbl
📦 2026 current path: ~2,065 mbbl
That’s a 1,100+ mbbl drain in 6 years.
Now add:
→ Strait of Hormuz closed
→ 9.1 mb/d in shut-in production
→ Strategic reserves already depleted post-2022
The buffer is gone.
$147 wasn’t a ceiling last time.
The world just ran out of the same cushion.
Source: Kpler / EIA
HFI Research@HFI_Research
China continues to hoard an insane amount of crude while the rest of the world is about to experience the largest and swiftest crude draw in history.
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@CCPISASSH0E I’ve seen MSSB players that can’t catch. I support this
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I’m at a middle school softball game. The outfielders on the opposing team are wearing protective face masks. THE OUTFIELDERS 😐🤦♀️
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@CheburekiMan But why pay $200 when you can get $90 paper oil in 2 months later
WHY? WHY? WHY?
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Oil goes ballistic! 🚀
Singapore and Sri Lanka just paid $210 and $286 per barrel respectively. This is the actual delivered price, not the oft-quoted futures price.
Economists claim if the conflict were resolved today at least 3 months of global recession is already locked-in, and prolongation into summer could lead to a global depression.
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@Kingofturtles1 @misraetel Still considering the best appetite suppressant
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@misraetel What about wegovy? Is that just trash now? It's the only thing covered under insurance.
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@arva61138 You don’t need a stimulus package when the economy is good
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🇺🇸 PRESIDENT TRUMP HAS JUST APPROVED A MASSIVE U.S. STIMULUS PACKAGE
AROUND $2.5 TRILLION SET TO FLOW INTO THE ECONOMY OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS
LIQUIDITY IS BACK… MARKETS ABOUT TO GO PARABOLIC
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@WatcherGuru FACTS: The U.S. has become one of the world’s top oil exporters in recent years, a major shift from its status as a net importer just over a decade ago.
x.com/allnewsfirst/s…
All News First@allnewsfirst
MORE INFO: The surge comes amid heightened global demand and geopolitical tensions, with U.S. supply playing a key role in stabilizing international energy markets.
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JUST IN: 🇺🇸 US oil exports hit a record 5.2 million barrels per day last week.
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@KobeissiLetter US isn’t capitalizing.
US oil companies are capitalizing
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BREAKING: The US exported over 5 million barrels of oil per day last week, a record high, amid the Iran War.
In aggregate, the US exported a record 12.7 million barrels of crude oil and refined products per day last week.
As the Iran War leads to one of the largest energy disruptions in history, the US is capitalizing.
Total exports will likely exceed 13 million barrels per day soon.
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the US is now feeding the global demand for oil and refined products (gasoline, diesel, jet fuel) at RECORD pace
Giovanni Staunovo🛢@staunovo
US crude and refined product exports hit record 12.744mbpd last week - EIA #oott
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@chrismartenson @Grxit What is physical oil? What's the index of it? economies don't run on such terms.
Btw I dont trust Reuters. Seems like a propaganda agency these days.
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Can someone please explain to me how we have all this extra oil to sell to other countries, but gas is over $4/gallon here as if there’s some sort of shortage.
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This isn’t the Straits of Hormuz… This is the Gulf of America. 🇺🇸
Hundreds of supertankers from Every corner of the planet are racing to Texas & Louisiana to fill up on the sweetest, cheapest, most American oil on Earth.
The globalist chokehold is Broken. America is the new gas station for the planet. 🔥🔥🔥
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@AlexPhoenix_12 @nicksortor He only wants his billionaire friends to do well.
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Yes but Trump has influence over them and his policies are specifically targeted to benefit American oil manufacturing and I get it, I’m not opposed to propping up America but damn it shouldn’t hurt the American citizens this much either. Maybe he has a plan and we’ll see a boom in American economics but in the meantime I’m going to yell ouch so it motivated the administration to heat the people hurting and give us relief.
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🚨 NOW: 121 EMPTY OIL TANKERS are now en route to the UNITED STATES now that President Trump has launched a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz
Holy crap.
That's an INSANE amount of American oil about to be exported to countries around the world.
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@AlexPhoenix_12 @nicksortor We (USA) doesn’t own it, the oil companies do.
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@nicksortor How about we keep some of that oil so we don’t pay so much at the pump. Geesh.
I just finished pumping gas in Texas and this shit is getting it of hand.
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