Rock Doc Dom

Every February, 70% of the commercial honey bees in the United States, roughly two million colonies, are loaded onto lorries and driven to California. They are going to pollinate the almonds. 80% of the world's almonds come from one valley in California. Over 1.3 million acres of nothing but almond trees, blooming for three weeks in monoculture, requiring more pollinators than the state can produce on its own. So the bees are trucked in from every corner of the country. Florida. New York. Montana. The bees are fed sugar water for the journey because their own honey has been removed to lighten the load. They arrive in the Central Valley to a landscape that is, for three weeks, pink and white blossom, and for the other forty-nine weeks of the year, dead. Nothing to eat. No forage. No diversity. Just almond trees and bare dirt, sprayed regularly with fungicides and insecticides that were deemed bee-safe in adult bees but turn out to be lethal to larvae when combined. In February 2025, commercial beekeepers reported the worst die-off on record. Around 60% of commercial honey bee colonies in the United States dead in a single pollination season. Financial losses estimated well over $139 million. Some beekeepers lost 90 to 100% of their colonies. The almonds are marketed as plant-based. Clean. Ethical. The preferred alternative. The preferred alternative requires the single largest managed pollination event in human history and it is quietly killing the pollinators faster than they can be replaced. Every glass of almond milk is, statistically, a small contribution to the largest pollinator die-off on record. This is not in the advertising.

@2020PHOTOGRAPHY @Iamivy05 It is the same person that posted both.

@Iamivy05 Lmao someone already had this same Tweet on threads yesterday.

Ya’ll I went on a date last night & this man spent $600 omg. Dinner was $300, he picked the place btw(& told me get w/e I want) so please spare me lol. & he spent another $320 because my car got towed 😭🤣 lol I parked where he told me & we still don’t really know why it got towed but he was very calm, figured everything out & took me to get it & didn’t hesitate to swipe that card & I love that for me. Mind you this was a first date cont.

@JuneGoh_Sparta The issue is not “can crude be replaced.” It is “can diesel yield be replaced.” Light barrels can fill part of the volume gap, but they do not solve the middle-distillate problem. In this market, the scarce asset is not just crude. It is medium-sour crude...

Anatomy of a medium sour crude and why diesel is a problem Since US is long crude, that would solve the problem Asia has right, with the Strait of Hormuz shut? Not that simple. Let me demonstrate using 4 different crude assays (in reality there are like 700+ crudes in the world, so I am doing a huge simplification here). Assume Arab Medium represents the medium sour crude that Asian refineries are designed for. Murban is considered a light sour crude that some of the refineries in Asia can also take as base load. The more suitable replacement for Arab Medium would be Mars from USGC, based on the yield profile. But that is the same type of crude that USGC refineries are designed for, so that's not the excess crude length in the market. WTI Midland is the crude that USGC has plenty to export, but based on yields, it is a better replacement for Murban crude. However guess which crude has more jet and gasoil yields? Yep, it's that Murban crude. So with more WTI coming into the refining kit in Asia, we are going to lose middle distillates at the expense of more naphtha. And if we are looking to somehow magically replace Arab Medium with WTI (which is not a 1-to-1 replacement due to hydraulics constraints), then the problem worsens because that high fuel oil yield you see in the simple yields for medium sour crudes will get converted into more gasoil via secondary units. More distillate volume lost. Sounds very technical, and it is. Which crude is going to save diesel? #oott

Sadio Mane, a Senegalese soccer star, earns approximately $10.2 million annually. He gave the world a rude awakenng after some fans were flabbergasted when they saw him carrying a cracked iPhone 11. His response was awesome: "Why would I want ten Ferraris, 20 diamond watches, and two jet planes? I starved, I worked in the fields, played brefoot, and I didn't go to school. Now I can help people. I prefer to build schools and give poor people food or clothing. I have built schools and a stadium, provide clothes, shoes, and food for people in extreme poverty. In addition, I give 70 euros per month to all people from a very poor Senegalese region in order to contribute to their family economy. I do not need to display luxury cars, luxury homes, trips, and even planes. I prefer that my people receive some of what life has given me.

BREAKING: Trump’s birthright citizenship scheme implodes after lawyer’s JAW-DROPPING courtroom blunder about Native Americans. Donald Trump sent his top lawyer to the Supreme Court to argue that birthright citizenship should be stripped from hundreds of thousands of American-born babies. It went so badly that his own solicitor general nearly argued Native Americans aren't citizens either — and had to be rescued by a Trump-appointed justice. In one of the most jaw-dropping exchanges of Wednesday's already disastrous hearing, Justice Neil Gorsuch — appointed by Trump himself — pressed Solicitor General D. John Sauer on the logical consequences of the administration's own legal theory. The exchange was as stunning as it was revealing. Gorsuch asked a simple question: under the administration's proposed test for birthright citizenship, are Native Americans born today automatically citizens? Sauer's answer was a slow-motion legal train wreck. First, he said yes — obviously. Then Gorsuch pushed him to set aside the statutes granting Native Americans citizenship and answer based purely on the administration's own constitutional theory. Sauer's answer changed: "No." Under the 1868 congressional debates, he explained, children of tribal Indians were not considered birthright citizens. The courtroom went quiet. Gorsuch pressed harder. But under your test — the domicile test you want this court to adopt today — are tribal Native Americans born on U.S. soil birthright citizens? Sauer fumbled. "I think so... I have to think that through, but that's my reaction." "I'll take the yes," Gorsuch replied — essentially throwing the solicitor general a life preserver before he could drown any further. Let's be absolutely clear about what just happened. The Trump administration walked into the highest court in the land with a legal theory so sweeping, so poorly thought through, that when a justice applied it logically, the government's own lawyer couldn't guarantee that Native Americans — people whose nations existed on this continent thousands of years before the United States did — would qualify as birthright citizens. This is the constitutional chaos that Trump's executive order invites. Once you start unraveling the 14th Amendment's guarantee that all persons born on American soil are citizens, there is no clean stopping point. The administration's own lawyer proved that in real time, in front of the entire nation, while Trump was still in the building — before he turned tail and fled. The 14th Amendment was written to be clear precisely because America had already lived through the horror of deciding that some people born here weren't really citizens. The Supreme Court has upheld birthright citizenship for 157 years. And Trump's lawyer just demonstrated, in spectacular fashion, exactly why those 157 years of precedent exist. Please like and share this post if you believe the Constitution means what it says — for everyone born on American soil.

🚨 BREAKING: OpenAI and Google are about to have a massive legal problem. OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic have repeatedly sworn to courts that their models do not store exact copies of copyrighted books. They claim their "safety training" prevents regurgitation. Researchers just dropped a paper called "Alignment Whack-a-Mole" that proves otherwise. They didn't use complex jailbreaks or malicious prompts. They just took GPT-4o, Gemini, and DeepSeek, and fine-tuned them on a normal, benign task: expanding plot summaries into full text. The safety guardrails instantly collapsed. Without ever seeing the actual book text in the prompt, the models started spitting out exact, verbatim copies of copyrighted books. Up to 90% of entire novels, word-for-word. Continuous passages exceeding 460 words at a time. But here is the part that changes everything. They fine-tuned a model exclusively on Haruki Murakami novels. It didn't just learn Murakami. It unlocked the verbatim text of over 30 completely unrelated authors across different genres. The AI wasn't learning the text during fine-tuning. The text was already permanently trapped inside its weights from pre-training. The fine-tuning just turned off the filter. It gets worse. They tested models from three completely different tech giants. All three had memorized the exact same books, in the exact same spots. A 90% overlap. It's a fundamental, industry-wide vulnerability. For years, AI companies have argued in court that their models are just "learning patterns," not storing raw data. This paper provides the smoking gun.

I’ll admit - i was sceptical about the idea of AI psychosis. Not the specific cases, which were all too believable, but about the scale. How much was this happening? And anyway wouldn’t better models make it go away? Then I read a paper by Anthropic and the University of Toronto which has strangely received very little attention

Jim Hacker: Humphrey, I'm told there's a situation at Diego Garcia. Sir Humphrey Appleby: Only geographically, Prime Minister. Jim Hacker: Geographically? Sir Humphrey Appleby: Yes. It's still in the Indian Ocean. Jim Hacker: Humphrey, Iran fired missiles at it! Sir Humphrey Appleby: Towards it, Prime Minister. Jim Hacker: Towards it? Sir Humphrey Appleby: One missile ceased to function and the other was intercepted. So the island remains entirely where it was. Jim Hacker: I'm not worried about the island moving! I mean the implications. Sir Humphrey Appleby: Ah. Strategically speaking, the implications are extremely stable. Jim Hacker: Stable?! Sir Humphrey Appleby: Yes. Since nothing actually hit us, we can express grave concern without the administrative complications of retaliation. Jim Hacker: But the base is on British territory! Sir Humphrey Appleby: Indeed, Prime Minister. Which means we are in the enviable position of being attacked in principle while remaining uninvolved in practice. Bernard Woolley: It's what the Foreign Office calls a very tidy situation, Prime Minister. Jim Hacker: Tidy? Sir Humphrey Appleby: Yes. Untidy situations are the ones where the missiles land.

@Lanius_Nox @mcuban Drafting used to employ lots of people, AutoCAD etc can do the work of hundreds previously.

@mcuban Open to discussion, but this doesn’t pass the smell test, Mark. PC didn’t eliminate entire departments, companies, professions: just moved them from paper to 1s and 0s.

I’m going to tell you how much worse it was at the start of the PC Revolution for white collar workers trying to adapt, vs today with AI Today, presumably every white collar worker has access to a smart phone and/or a PC/laptop. Back then, a PC cost $4,995 , an off brand was $3,995. 5k in 1984 is about $16k today. It was really expensive. The only reason I could learn how to code and support software is because my job let me take home a PC to learn. By reading the software manual. Literally. RTFM. Or pay to go to training. Classes that started at hundreds of dollars then. It was expensive. It absolutely limited who could get ahead. Today, ANYONE can go to their browser, to the AI LLM website of their choice, and type in the words “I’m a novice with zero computer background, teach me how to create an agent that reads my email and …” That concept applies to LEARNING ANYTHING Think about what this means. Any employee of any company can say “ I need to learn how to xyz for my job , which is to do the following: Tell me what more information do you need to help me be more efficient, productive and promotable”. Or “ what new skills can you teach me that will help me reduce my chances of getting laid off “. Or “what suggestions do you have for me to communicate to my boss, who I barely know, to help my chances of staying employed “ These aren’t great prompts. But they are a start that anyone can take. Think about how incredible that is. Back in the day was so much harder for white collar workers. It was harder for new grads because unless they took comp sci, they probably had never used a PC. Big Companies are going to cut jobs. No question about it. Small companies is are going to need more and more AI literate thinkers who can help them compete or get an edge What I tell every entrepreneur, and it’s more crucial today. “ when you run with the elephants there are the quick and the dead. Adopt tech quickly , you can out maneuver big companies. “

@cmenguy @TechLayoffLover Drives down cost of labor, replacing established engineers with younger/cheaper talent, people are less likely to ask for more money also.

@TechLayoffLover I don't get it. They have these endless cycles of layoffs, yet like clockwork they keep reaching out every quarter or so to discuss a role. Layoffs would make sense if accompanied by hiring freeze, but it sends a very weird signal to do layoffs + aggressive hiring together.

Meta just confirmed a 20 percent company wide headcount cut but insiders are screaming the real story is way uglier than the efficiency memo. Direct word from multiple sources deep in the org. The announced 20 percent is only the near-term floor. A senior manager told me it's the starter number. Top leadership is already modeling two to three times that long term. They dug into developer activity logs after rolling out heavy AI tools across engineering. What they found floored them. Hours worked have plummeted for a huge chunk of the org. Many seniors now clocking under 10 hours of real productive time per week because the tools are handling so much grunt work so fast. One staff engineer said leadership pulled dashboards showing commit rates holding steady or climbing while logged hours tanked. Same output. Way less human sweat. The math was brutal. If AI is letting one person do the work of three with half the time input why pay for three. They have been quietly running knowledge extraction sprints for months. Senior engineers screens recorded 24 7. Every prompt logged. Debugging flows captured in brutal detail. Entire decision trees filmed under the banner of process documentation for continuity. One engineer described being forced to whiteboard his whole system design playbook. Trade offs. Failure modes. Scaling hacks. All while cameras rolled. They called it knowledge transfer to support the transition. The transition is agents and remaining skeleton crew armed with those exact recordings prompt libraries and heavy Claude+Gemini access. Replacements are already shipping changes 40 percent faster using the precise workflows they ripped from the outgoing engineers. They are not slashing for cost alone. They are turning 15 plus years of Meta engineering DNA into structured training data. Every document your process request is not teamwork. It is feeding the beast that replaces you. The strategic AI pivot line they are feeding the press is cover. They are replacing the entire engineering organism with agents trained on their own seniors captured minds. CTO level playbook is already locked. Extract. Document. Automate. Repeat at two to three times scale. If you are still at Meta and someone pings you to please record a quick walkthrough of your workflow for the team run. Do not document. Do not hand over the keys. The knowledge extraction is complete. If you are inside watching more engineers get gutted because AI made their 40 hour week look like 10 hours of value, DMs are wide open.

@HayekAndKeynes @FreightAlley Hopefully this cracks the regulatory seal on UK and EU oil and gas development too. They should be looking at reopening Groningen and other North Sea assets to explore.

The Middle East is on the verge of blowing itself to pieces and while it will be expensive for households, the US will become the most dominant energy player on the planet and potentially a manufacturing powerhouse (especially with the revival of the EPCA which prevents the export of US oil).

@jrhester @TVietor08 @citrinowicz Name the "people" because this snafu was the act of a few, not a polity.

@TVietor08 @citrinowicz IDK, seems to me those negotiations were just for show. People were itching for a war with Iran.

The media has not adequately reported on the fact that Witkoff and Kushner just didn't understand that Iran had offered them a deal that was stronger than the JCPOA. Talk to @citrinowicz about the fact that this war could have been avoided.

@TVietor08 @WAR527 @citrinowicz They didn't have any technical specialists or nuclear engineers with them I bet.

@Comefindme88X @hispanicnomad There are only 5 countries with ICBM capability to reach South America also.

@hispanicnomad Wait the day Iran destroy the desalination plants. Then no more water for millions of people...

If there's one thing that will help you in the 21st century... It's flexibility The world changes faster than any plan you can make: ❌ Dubai got attacked by drones ❌ Paraguay started tracking crypto out of the blue ❌ Portugal killed its NHR program The guys who had ALL their eggs in one basket got wrecked in all cases But if you're truly flexible? You'll barely notice This is why flag theory isn't about finding the "perfect country" You're just playing the system and building a life that can adapt when the rules change And they ALWAYS change

Man was not meant to monitor this many situations.

@ibnpalabras @apexpredator_36 @CRUDEOIL231 The US has abandoned Kurds in Syria and Iraq multiple times. I doubt their interests align enough to be potentially forsaken yet again.

@apexpredator_36 @CRUDEOIL231 I think the goal is moreso for the allied Kurdish population to project power into northwestern Iran from Erbil.

Honest question here. I’m not doubting Israel’s surgical precision or the insane firepower of the US military. But do you seriously believe they can just wipe out every single threat and keep Hormuz wide open against a country that’s basically one giant natural fortress? Iran’s southern coastline is over 2,000km long, and most of it is nothing but rugged mountains dropping straight into the sea. You really think they can spot and take out every single threat across that whole stretch? I guess everyone’s already forgotten about the USS Stark getting hit in ’87 or the USS Samuel B. Roberts getting blown up by a mine in ’88. Look at the South Korean military—over 500k active troops, and their only job for decades has been watching and hitting North Korea. Even they can’t fully monitor the southern coast of Hwanghae Province, and that’s a tiny joke compared to southern Iran. Get real. Iran has been prepping for this exact moment since the Tanker War in the 80s. How many weapons do you think they have aimed at Hormuz right now? Can you really flush out every single one hidden in those hellish mountains? We already learned this lesson the hard way in Afghanistan. Most of the ppl who shorted oil bc of that blind "nothing’s gonna happen" optimism lost their jobs this week. It’s wild how many people still haven't learned a damn thing. #oott #iran

@Jack_McClendon @pickeringenergy Japan has around 250 days of domestic consumption and China is only around 100 days.

@pickeringenergy Agreed, but I still think they need to do more. Unless they want Trump to have their balls in a vice

Food for thought - just like people buy generators after a power outage, after current Iran conflict is over, isn’t every country in the world gonna add to strategic stockpiles (on top of normal demand). Bullish for 2027+ demand. US SPR at 60% doesn’t feel comfortable. #EFT #OOTT

@fmercaldo @jcreidtx This doesn't change how concentrated the meat packing industry is though.

Beef.com was acquired by Texas Slim in January. What he and is team are building is monumental. After brokering the deal, I was asked to help with the PR and marketing distribution. I happily accepted. The Global Press Release was launched this morning. Excited to see what is coming! @beefinitiative @TomTaberHODL @modernTman Take a look and the 2 minute video is awesome. #BEEF

I am a diplomatic aide in the Sultanate of Oman's Ministry of Foreign Affairs. My job is logistics. When two countries that cannot speak to each other need to speak to each other, I book the rooms. I prepare the briefing materials. I make sure the water glasses are the right distance apart. You would be surprised how much of diplomacy is water glasses. Too close and it feels informal. Too far and it feels like a tribunal. I have a chart. We had a very good month. Since January, Oman has been mediating indirect talks between the United States and Iran on Iran's nuclear program. The talks were held in Muscat and in Geneva. The Americans would sit in one room. The Iranians would sit in another room. I would walk between them. My Fitbit says I averaged fourteen thousand steps on negotiation days. The hallway between the two rooms at the Royal Opera House conference center is forty-seven meters. I walked it two hundred and twelve times in February. This is good for my cardiovascular health. It was less good for my knees. Both are in the service of peace. By mid-February, we had something. Iran agreed to zero stockpiling of enriched uranium. Not reduced stockpiling. Zero. They agreed to down-blend existing stockpiles to the lowest possible level. They agreed to convert them into irreversible fuel. They agreed to full IAEA verification with potential US inspector access. They agreed, in the Foreign Minister's phrase, to "never, ever" possess nuclear material for a bomb. I have worked in diplomacy for seven years. I have never seen a country agree to this many things this quickly. I made a spreadsheet of the concessions. It had fourteen rows. I color-coded it. Green for confirmed. Yellow for pending. By February 21 the spreadsheet was entirely green. I printed it. It is on my desk in Muscat. It is still green. That phrase took eleven days. "Never, ever." The Iranians initially offered "not seek to." The Americans wanted "will not under any circumstances." We landed on "never, ever" at 2:14 AM on a Tuesday in Muscat. I typed the final version myself. I used Times New Roman because Geneva prefers it. The document was fourteen pages. I was proud of every comma. Here is what they said, in the order they said it. February 24: "We have a once-in-a-generation opportunity." — The Foreign Minister, private briefing to Gulf Cooperation Council ambassadors. I prepared the slide deck. Slide 14 was the implementation timeline. Slide 15 was the signing ceremony logistics. I had reserved the Palais des Nations in Geneva, Room XX. It seats four hundred. We discussed pen brands for the signing. The Iranians preferred Montblanc. The Americans had no preference. I ordered twelve Montblanc Meisterstucks at six hundred and thirty dollars each. They arrive on Tuesday. February 27, 8:30 AM EST: "The deal is within our reach." — The Foreign Minister, CBS Face the Nation. He sat across from Margaret Brennan. He said broad political terms could be agreed "tomorrow" with ninety days for technical implementation in Vienna. He said, and I wrote this line for the briefing card he carried in his breast pocket: "If we just allow diplomacy the space it needs." He praised the American envoys by name. Steve Witkoff. Jared Kushner. He said both had been constructive. I watched from the Four Seasons Georgetown. The minibar had cashews. I ate the cashews. They were nineteen dollars. The most expensive cashew I have ever eaten. But it was a good morning and we were within our reach. February 27, 2:00 PM EST: Meeting with Vice President Vance, Washington. The Foreign Minister presented our progress. Zero stockpiling. Full verification. Irreversible conversion. "Never, ever." The Vice President used the word "encouraging." His aide took notes on an iPad. The aide did not make eye contact for the last nine minutes of the meeting. I noticed this. Noticing things is the only part of my job that is not water glasses. February 27, 4:00 PM EST: "Not happy with the pace." — President Trump, to reporters. Not happy with the pace. We had achieved zero stockpiling. Full IAEA verification. Irreversible fuel conversion. Inspector access. And the phrase "never, ever," which took eleven days and cost me two hundred and twelve trips down a forty-seven-meter hallway. Every American president since Carter has failed to get Iran to agree to this. Forty-five years. Not happy with the pace. February 27, 9:47 PM EST: The Foreign Minister's flight departs Dulles for Muscat. I am in the seat behind him. He is reviewing Slide 14 on his laptop. The implementation timeline. Vienna technical sessions. The signing ceremony. The pens. I fall asleep over the Atlantic. I dream about water glasses. February 28, 6:00 AM GST: I wake up to push notifications. February 28: "The United States has begun major combat operations in Iran." — President Trump. Operation Epic Fury. Coordinated airstrikes. The United States and Israel. Tehran. Isfahan. Qom. Karaj. Kermanshah. Nuclear facilities. IRGC bases. Sites near the Supreme Leader's office. Israel called their half Operation Roaring Lion. Someone in both governments spent time choosing these names. Epic Fury. Roaring Lion. I spent eleven days on "never, ever." They spent it on branding. The President said Iran had "rejected American calls to halt its nuclear weapons production." Rejected. Iran had agreed to zero stockpiling. Iran had agreed to full verification. Iran had agreed to "never, ever." Iran had agreed to everything in a fourteen-page document that I typed in Times New Roman. The President said they rejected it. I do not know which document the President was reading. I know which one I typed. February 28, 18:45 UTC: Iran internet connectivity: four percent. — NetBlocks, confirmed by Cloudflare. Ninety-six percent of a country went dark. You cannot negotiate with a country at four percent connectivity. You cannot negotiate with a country that is being struck. You cannot negotiate. This is not a political opinion. This is a logistics assessment. February 28: The governor of Minab reported forty girls killed at an elementary school. I do not have logistics for that. There is no slide for that. The water glass chart does not cover that. February 28: Lockheed Martin: up. Northrop Grumman: up. RTX: up. Dow futures: down six hundred and twenty-two points. Gold: five thousand two hundred and ninety-six dollars. An analyst at AInvest published a note titled "Iran Strikes: Tactical Plays." The note recommended positions in oil, defense stocks, and gold. The most expensive cashew I have ever eaten was nineteen dollars. The most expensive pen I have ever ordered was six hundred and thirty dollars. The math suggests I have been working in the wrong industry. Defense stocks do not require water glasses. Defense stocks do not require eleven days. Defense stocks require one morning. February 28: Israel closed its airspace and its schools. Iran launched retaliatory missiles toward US bases in the Gulf. The Supreme Leader promised a "crushing response." Israel's defense minister declared a permanent state of emergency. Everyone is using words I recognize in an order I do not. I recognize "permanent." I recognize "emergency." I do not recognize them next to each other. In diplomacy, nothing is permanent and everything is an emergency. In war it is the reverse. February 28: The Foreign Minister has not made a public statement. The briefing card is still in his breast pocket. It still says "within our reach."