Jim Lobe

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Jim Lobe

Jim Lobe

@LobeLog

Personal tweets from Jim Lobe, Contributing Editor @RStatecraft, director @LobeLog.com (2007-19), DC bureau chief, Inter Press Service (1980-85, 1989-2016).

Seattle, WA 가입일 Aralık 2011
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Jim Lobe
Jim Lobe@LobeLog·
If you think abandoning NATO would be a catastrophic mistake, why then do you promote unconditional support to Israel, whose war conduct is alienating virtually every one of our NATO allies at light speed??
Mark Dubowitz@mdubowitz

Our major non-NATO allies like Israel, the UAE and KSA are stepping up on Iran. Our NATO allies need to as well. But it would be a catastrophic mistake for the U.S. to abandon NATO. My discussion with @DanaPerino on @FoxNews @AmericaNewsroom

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Jim Lobe
Jim Lobe@LobeLog·
That's exactly who I thought of, too. Is Jt. Chiefs Chairman Gen. Caine the new Curtis LeMay? What will he advise if the president or Hegseth issues orders to bomb or "take out" civilian infrastructure that clearly violate the laws of war? Will the CENTCOM commander go along?
Dr Thurairajah@RubenThurairaj

@MairavZ @DalrympleWill General Curtis LeMay, Vietnam, 1968

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Esfandyar Batmanghelidj
Iranian leaders have achieved operational success in externalizing the costs of this war. But their *strategy* still failed because they did not anticipate three things. First, that U.S. allies, including the Gulf states that have so lavishly fetted Trump, would have essentially no influence over the decisions he makes. Second, that neither the U.S. president nor his cabinet would care about unprecedented disruptions in the global economy and would make it known publicly that they don’t care. Third, that the U.S. president could express glee about the prospect of endless escalation and the commission of war crimes and not a single part of the famous American system of checks and balances would block him from intensifying this idiotic, ruinous war. In the face of Israeli and American aggression, Iran chose a perfectly rational, if risky, strategy. They managed to make it work operationally. But Trump’s pursuit of this war is fundamentally irrational. He is a mad king. Rex interregnum.
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Robert Malley
Robert Malley@Rob_Malley·
Two takeaways from Trump's speech: 1. That so many still pay attention to what he says, which has no link to reality or to what he might or might not do; 2. that he so cavalierly threatens war crimes (to bring Iran back to the stone age) on behalf of an unlawful & unjustified war
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Kelsey Davenport
Kelsey Davenport@KelseyDav·
One of which is a nuclear reactor… striking Bushehr would have devastating consequences for Iran and the region. Not to mention it would be a clear violation of international law. Would the US actually hit Bushehr? Highly unlikely. But the threat is irresponsible.
Nick Schifrin@nickschifrin

.@POTUS repeats his threat: “If no deal is made, we are going to hit each and every one of their electric generating plants”

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Mouin Rabbani
Mouin Rabbani@MouinRabbani·
I'm old enough to remember when the Hasbara Symphony Orchestra kept referring to Nawaf Salam, Lebanon's current prime minister, as the "Hizballah judge" at the International Court of Justice because of his positions on the Gaza Genocide case. Hysteria is a state of being.
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Kenneth Roth
Kenneth Roth@KenRoth·
It will be a clear war crime if Trump follows through on his threats to attack civilian infrastructure in Iran. Pentagon commanders would have a duty to refuse to follow these illegal orders or themselves face the possibility of criminal prosecution. trib.al/oiIBtkH
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Michael Young
Michael Young@BeirutCalling·
It never occurs to Israel’s friends in Washington that Saudi Arabia may consider Israel a strategic rival in the region, much as it does Iran, and that Israeli hegemony is no less distasteful than Tehran’s, which is more likely to lead to some sort of balancing game.
Mark Dubowitz@mdubowitz

The regime in Iran has turned Saudi Arabia into a permanent enemy. Riyadh now has stronger strategic reasons than ever to join the Abraham Accords. It will before the end of 2028, if not sooner, and bring more Arab and Muslim states into full normalization with Israel.

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Alan Eyre
Alan Eyre@AlanEyre1·
1. Israel is complaining about the targeting of innocent civilians. 2. 73,188 Palestinians have been reported killed in the Gaza war, with estimates that roughly 80% of these deaths are civilians. An OHCHR study indicated 70% of those killed in residential buildings were women and children.
Israel Foreign Ministry@IsraelMFA

The Iranian regime fires cluster missiles directed against the civilian population, and in a manner intended to disperse over a wide area, demonstrating their desire to kill and injure as many civilians as possible. This is not accidental. It is intentional. And the world remains silent.

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Danny (Dennis) Citrinowicz ,داني سيترينوفيتش
Bottom Line: We may be looking not at regime change, but at a change within the regimen one that could produce a significantly worse strategic reality than the one that existed prior to the war. A younger, more radical, and more vengeful leadership, potentially dominated by hardline elements within the IRGC and lacking meaningful internal constraints could emerge. This risks pushing Iran further along a trajectory more akin to Pakistan or even North Korea in terms of nuclear posture and strategic behavior. At the same time, if the war ends in the near term, the regime will face a severe economic crisis. However, this will likely be accompanied by a strong motivation to rebuild its capabilities and reassess its nuclear strategy, including the question of weaponization, particularly given its stockpile of roughly 440 kg enriched to 60%. In that sense, what may appear as a highly successful operational campaign could ultimately translate into a significant strategic failure, one that creates a more dangerous long-term reality for the region. #IranWar
Laura Rozen@lrozen

Trump claims it is regime change because he had not heard the names of the people before. “These are different people than anyone has ever heard of before, and frankly they've been more reasonable. So, we've had total regime change beyond what anyone thought possible.,” he tells CBS.

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Esfandyar Batmanghelidj
The Israeli airstrike targeting Tofigh Darou represents a direct attack on Iranian public health. Iran manufactures 90% of the drug doses it needs and mainly imports advanced therapies. This is possible because the country has a large pharmaceutical industry. Companies like Tofigh Darou produce ingredients and precursors which can then be used to make a wide range of drugs domestically. The only reason you would hit this target is to try to limit medicine production in Iran. To make matters worse, Tofigh Darou is a subsidiary of Owzan, which is majority owned by the Social Security Investment Company. In effect, Tofigh Darou is a company owned by Iran's largest pension fund.
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