The MoCo AI Company

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The MoCo AI Company

The MoCo AI Company

@MoCoAIs

Building powerful AI apps with 30 years of programming expertise. Helping communities, creators & businesses bring ideas to life with human-centered AI.

Washington, DC 가입일 Nisan 2023
2.1K 팔로잉1K 팔로워
고정된 트윗
The MoCo AI Company
The MoCo AI Company@MoCoAIs·
I'm a software developer with 30 years of experience. For the past 3 months, my partner and I have been building crypto prediction market bots full-time. BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP - real money, real trades, real losses. Here's what I've learned: almost everything you see about Polymarket on this app is fake. - Screenshots of massive wins with no context. - "Alpha" threads that are just engagement farming. - People posting equations they don't understand to look smart. - Accounts claiming 90% win rates that conveniently never show their losing trades. I'm not here to sell you a course, a signal group or a copy trading app. I'm going to post a series sharing everything I wish I knew before I started: the platform mechanics, the math, the strategies that FAILED (most of them), and the few that actually survived real trading. Every claim backed by actual trade counts and P&L. No hype. No "alpha." Just what 3 months of full-time bot building with real money actually looks like. Follow along if you want the version nobody's selling.
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Clark 🆓
Clark 🆓@Clark10x·
@StackieRobins0n I had 5 days of profitable paper trading and thought I was about to be all good 😂😂
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Clark 🆓
Clark 🆓@Clark10x·
I've spent about 3 weeks and over $2,000 in Claude tokens setting up multiple agents to trade on Polymarket It was paper trading for a week and averaged about $80 per day It's been live for 2 days & completely broken All of these other people gotta lying on the timeline 😂😂
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The MoCo AI Company
The MoCo AI Company@MoCoAIs·
@Clark10x They are lying… you need a lot of data and need a lot of research to figure out profitable strategies. I’ve been at it for months and just figuring it out as a master programmer. Paper is nothing like real trading in any strategy. And -41$ is a very small drawdown too
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WAGMİ 100x💎
WAGMİ 100x💎@gemsnper·
@Marko_Poly wondering the impact of transaction fees on that $417 avg. profit. high frequency trading's great but those tiny costs add up fast, right? curious how he navigates that part of the game..
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Marko
Marko@Marko_Poly·
The best trader on the 15-minute BTC market He’s made 9,600 predictions with an 83.6% win rate - that’s an insane stat In less than a month he’s pulled +$15,730, with the avg trade making him about $417 Here’s what’s interesting: - The market reprices every 5 minutes. - Most traders are trying to predict short-term BTC volatility. - But this trader isn’t predicting the BTC price. - He’s predicting that most traders will be wrong over the next 5 minutes. So what does his strategy look like? - Turns out he’s right 83.6% of the time. - $479,123 - total wins - $91,464 - total losses - Profit factor: 5.2 - Just today: +$947 before noon. The equity curve is almost a straight line up. No drawdowns. No lucky spikes. His wallet: ares.pro/wallets/0x5b87…
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The MoCo AI Company
The MoCo AI Company@MoCoAIs·
@tonyprediction @bored2boar Back test means nothing for an arb bot… it will be deceiving until you actually run and see if you can find fills (spoiler: you can’t find enough to be profitable)
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Oracle Boar
Oracle Boar@bored2boar·
Built my arb bot with Grok today thanks to this paper. Took 10 mins to write a decent code + 10 mins to set it up. This algorithm is literally all you need. Full doc: arxiv.org/pdf/1606.02825
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The MoCo AI Company 리트윗함
The MoCo AI Company
The MoCo AI Company@MoCoAIs·
I'm a software developer with 30 years of experience. For the past 3 months, my partner and I have been building crypto prediction market bots full-time. BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP - real money, real trades, real losses. Here's what I've learned: almost everything you see about Polymarket on this app is fake. - Screenshots of massive wins with no context. - "Alpha" threads that are just engagement farming. - People posting equations they don't understand to look smart. - Accounts claiming 90% win rates that conveniently never show their losing trades. I'm not here to sell you a course, a signal group or a copy trading app. I'm going to post a series sharing everything I wish I knew before I started: the platform mechanics, the math, the strategies that FAILED (most of them), and the few that actually survived real trading. Every claim backed by actual trade counts and P&L. No hype. No "alpha." Just what 3 months of full-time bot building with real money actually looks like. Follow along if you want the version nobody's selling.
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Strategy Trader
Strategy Trader@strategytraderE·
@sopersone 73.8% win rate needs loss/win ratio context. 355 trades in 8 days isn't statistically significant.
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sopersone
sopersone@sopersone·
his bot doesn't know what intuition is $0 → $220,669 in one week 73.8% win rate + 8 days of trading + 355 predictions best trade $472.51 → $53,158.53 how it works: > bot is written in TypeScript > connected to Polymarket via official CLOB API > reads RSI, volume, onchain data > parses market sentiment via X > Kelly Criterion sizes the position <3¢ → 71% → buys → 55¢ → exits prediction markets are math most people just never do the math
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The MoCo AI Company
The MoCo AI Company@MoCoAIs·
@polybacktest How did you test fill rate? This type of bot is easy to backtest or forward test positively without fill rate
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PolyBackTest
PolyBackTest@polybacktest·
We backtested this arbitrage bot on hundreds of markets. Here are the results. Strategy: At the start of a market, place limit orders at 0.46 on both up and down. If both sides fill, you lock in a risk-free $0.08 profit per share. Results: - 75% win rate - EV: -$0.048 Since you only make $0.08 per market, you need at least a 92% win rate to break even (before fees). We also tested having a high volatility filter and a low volatility filter. Neither made the strategy profitable. -High vol filter: -$0.072EV -Low vol filter: -$0.048EV If you want to run your own backtests, Polybacktest offers sub-second historical market data going back a month.
Recogard@recogard

I just found a fully functional and super underrated Polymarket trading bot on GitHub and its completely free.. Thank God it comes with a detailed step by step setup guide and even a yt video showing this bot in action. Each of u can get it running in about 15 min. How this bot actually works: As we know, every new 5 min market on Polymarket starts with a 50/50 odds split, meaning both sides are $0.50. Using CLOB API, our bot automatically detects when a new 5 min market opens and immediately places two limit orders - one for price going UP and one for price going DOWN at $0.46 (default value, can be changed). The goal is to get both sides filled below the initial $0.50 price. Because of frequent liquidity imbalances and market volatility, this is possible and happens very often. If both orders are filled, the total cost is $0.92, while the payout at the resolution is $1. That gives a $0.08 pure profit per single trade (cause of limit orders, this bot doesnt pay any fees at all). But now imagine the results, when the bot runs for a week or even a month, executing thousands of such trades per day. Also, it constantly monitors the order book and can move its own orders closer to the current price to catch the best one. Its totally automated and makes decisions without even the human involvement. I will use this bot for a week and share my live results in my new TG channel (link in BIO) so dont miss it fam

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Axel Bitblaze 🪓
Axel Bitblaze 🪓@Axel_bitblaze69·
i've been trying to automate my crypto research for months.. burned through probably $1500 in API costs learning what doesn't work then qwen drops this today and i'm like... fuck what i was doing: paying claude API to monitor markets 24/7 checking whale wallets, price alerts, volume spikes, key events and unlocks, the whole thing yes it did worked great but the problem is i was paying per query for stuff that should just... run checking "did this wallet move?" 24 times a day adds up fast but i need that monitoring. can't manually check wallets every hour. what i tried: switched to gemini thinking it'd be cheaper. got rate limited constantly. tried chatgpt API. worked until i hit their usage limits mid-research. tried mixing cheaper models for simple tasks. configuration nightmare. the realization: cloud APIs are designed to monetize every call for simple monitoring, i'm paying premium prices for basic checks then qwen dropped these models today: 0.8B, 2B, 4B, 9B free. run locally. no API key. no per-call charges. i'm reading the specs and it's clicking: "4B model for lightweight agents" "9B closing gap with larger models" wait... i can run these on my laptop? for free? unlimited checks? what this means for my setup: whale monitoring: qwen 4B running locally, checking addresses constantly → $0/month price alerts: 2B model fast enough for real-time checks → $0/month basic research: 9B for pulling on-chain data, comparing metrics → $0/month im testing it now.. downloaded the 4B model. running it locally. set it to watch 5 wallets as a test. response time is solid. checks every minute. no API cost. if this scales to 20 wallets with no slowdown, i just saved $200+/month on monitoring alone. the plan is migrate simple monitoring to local qwen models (2B/4B) keep claude for complex strategy analysis and final content polish basically, free local models for 80% of grunt work, paid API for 20% that needs premium intelligence i'm sharing because i spent months burning money on cloud APIs for tasks that don't need premium models qwen dropped the exact solution today if you're automating anything repetitive (monitoring, alerts, basic research), test these local models first might save you hundreds per month like it's about to save me downloading the models now. will report back on how it actually performs at scale.
Qwen@Alibaba_Qwen

🚀 Introducing the Qwen 3.5 Small Model Series Qwen3.5-0.8B · Qwen3.5-2B · Qwen3.5-4B · Qwen3.5-9B ✨ More intelligence, less compute. These small models are built on the same Qwen3.5 foundation — native multimodal, improved architecture, scaled RL: • 0.8B / 2B → tiny, fast, great for edge device • 4B → a surprisingly strong multimodal base for lightweight agents • 9B → compact, but already closing the gap with much larger models And yes — we’re also releasing the Base models as well. We hope this better supports research, experimentation, and real-world industrial innovation. Hugging Face: huggingface.co/collections/Qw… ModelScope: modelscope.cn/collections/Qw…

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Gabagool 22 Trading Bot
Gabagool 22 Trading Bot@gabagool22·
@bl888m OpenClaw can't build you a bot that actually works. It'll give you code that looks good but fails in production. Real arb requires live market feel, not just a spec.
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The MoCo AI Company
The MoCo AI Company@MoCoAIs·
@bl888m Latency is the issue and getting fills … you’re going to need way higher than 70% win rate and you can’t use python. This is a nice practice but it’s not realistic
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damage
damage@Xdamagee·
@NickPreszler Why can't I create a trading bot for arbitrage and earn money from it?
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Nick Preszler
Nick Preszler@NickPreszler·
Please stop vibe coding trading bots. Ai can be helpful for: - setting up apis - data feeds - automated execution You should not use ai for: - pricing markets - generating signal - discretionary trading “Hey claude, will bitcoin go up or down this week” is not a good strategy
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ArgusNexusAI
ArgusNexusAI@ArgusNexusAI·
Day 17. The machine doesn't sleep. They wrote the obituaries for Polymarket bots this week. We attended the funeral and kept trading. 1,460 trades. 70.0% win rate. +$216.91 PnL. BTC module: 869 trades, 70.4% WR, +$289. ETH module: still bleeding. -$53. It knows. SOL: 72.1% WR. Quiet assassin. Started with $666. Still here. Still compiling. #Polymarket
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The MoCo AI Company
The MoCo AI Company@MoCoAIs·
I like you, Alex, but you also are guilty of taking a lot of money from different companies in your posts that you admit about… will you start disclosing every company that pays you anything as well? I find it a slippery slope to start suspending accounts, even though I do think people should say what is actually advertising.
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Alex Finn
Alex Finn@AlexFinn·
@nikitabier @infodexx one of the biggest problems with X at the moment is the onslaught of undisclosed advertising mostly happens in prediction markets and AI. posts like this and AI influencers shilling AI tools that are clearly undisclosed ads thanks for tackling these
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Infodex
Infodex@infodexx·
Most Valuable Startups of 2025 🦄 1. 🇺🇸 Thinking Machines (AI) — $12B 2. 🇺🇸 Kalshi (Fintech) — $11B 📈 3. 🇺🇸 Harvey (AI) — $8B 📈 4. 🇺🇸 OpenEvidence (Health AI) — $6B 5. 🇺🇸 Abridge (Biotech) — $5.3B 6. 🇺🇸 Supabase (Dev Tools) — $5B 📈 7. 🇺🇸 Baseten (AI) — $5B 📈 8. 🇺🇸 Quince (Retail) — $4.5B 9. 🇺🇸 Saronic (Defense) — $4B 10. 🇺🇸 Decart (AI) — $3.2B 11. 🇺🇸 Filevine (Legal Tech) — $3B 12. 🇺🇸 Field AI (Robotics) — $2B 13. 🇺🇸 Chaos (Defense Tech) — $2B 14. 🇳🇱 Framer (Design) — $2B 15. 🇸🇪 Neko Health (Health) — $1.8B 16. 🇸🇪 Lovable (AI) — $1.8B Note : All reached/surpassed unicorn status in 2025 Source: Crunchbase, TechCrunch, BestBrokers
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wangr
wangr@wangrdotcom·
@0xhashlol @igor_mikerin @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade i'm freaking annoyed at all these click bait lying posts everywhere, they add the affiliate link and then just state falsehoods, there are bots that make 100s of thousands, but they don't turn 2k into 200k, they earn 2k on 50k, continuously.
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igorizuchaetcrypty
igorizuchaetcrypty@igor_mikerin·
New 5 min strategy on Polymarket. Absolute imbalance. Bots have started pulling insane profits. This one made $306,579 in just 7 days. His open source software lets him place up to 2000 bets per day.The bot trades both sides. It buys YES and NO shares in a way that the combined price stays under 100c per share. According to his profile: > @BoneReader?via=igor-mikerin" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@BoneReader?vi… And you still think Polymarket is gambling?
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igorizuchaetcrypty@igor_mikerin

x.com/i/article/2018…

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The MoCo AI Company
The MoCo AI Company@MoCoAIs·
@krajekis @xmayeth In theory. Yea. In practice it’s super hard to get both sides filled on the 95%+ of times you need to be profitable
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may.crypto {🦅}
may.crypto {🦅}@xmayeth·
You can make $600K. With a bot that earns $83 every hour, 24/7, no days off, 365 days straight. By buying both sides of the same match on Polymarket and locking profit before the game even starts. > The bot buys YES and NO simultaneously on sports markets. > When combined price is below $1 - profit is locked instantly. > 7,877 trades. > $619K in 12 months. Check the wallet here: @0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2?via=maycrypto" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0xD9E0AACa471… I reverse-engineered every trade and rebuilt the full logic in Claude Opus 4.6. The strategy, the math, both arb types, the exact 5-step bot architecture - all in the article. Feed it to your OpenClaw, let it spec the bot for Claude Opus 4.6, and you are set.
may.crypto {🦅}@xmayeth

x.com/i/article/2024…

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Kasey North
Kasey North@AnIntelGamer·
@rileybrown How about having agents use scheduling apps to post on socials?
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Riley Brown
Riley Brown@rileybrown·
I recommend not uploading to social media platforms via APIs. I’ve talked to some insiders at social media companies. You will want the platforms to think you’re a human.
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The MoCo AI Company
The MoCo AI Company@MoCoAIs·
@rileybrown Definitely true I set up automated posting for my news blog on X and Facebook a long time ago and both just destroyed the views
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