Steve Ellison ๐Ÿ

2.2K posts

Steve Ellison ๐Ÿ

Steve Ellison ๐Ÿ

@SteveEllison271

๊ฐ€์ž…์ผ Mayฤฑs 2013
179 ํŒ”๋กœ์ž‰421 ํŒ”๋กœ์›Œ
๊ณ ์ •๋œ ํŠธ์œ—
Steve Ellison ๐Ÿ
Steve Ellison ๐Ÿ@SteveEllison271ยท
Mid-year update! Now 55 years of convincing reasons why the stock market should go down, superimposed over the 67x increase in the S&P 500 during the same time period (8x when adjusted for inflation). Tariffs are the provisional reason why stocks should have gone down this year.
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Agustin Lebron
Agustin Lebron@AgustinLebron3ยท
I'm sorry sir, but we can't provide you with that medical knowledge. You don't have the right credential from the right rent-seeking credentialing organization.
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Steve Ellison ๐Ÿ
Steve Ellison ๐Ÿ@SteveEllison271ยท
@Mangan150 @KeruboSk My grandmother, born in 1899, lived with us for 7 years in my childhood, and I remember many stories. The 3 siblings who never grew up in the pre-vaccine era. The 6 adult relatives, all unemployed, who moved in during the Great Depression. The nephew taken prisoner in NaziGermany
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Sophia โฃ๏ธ
Sophia โฃ๏ธ@KeruboSkยท
Just out of curiosityโ€ฆ who out there has actually talked to someone born in the 1800s during their lifetime?
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Steve Ellison ๐Ÿ
Steve Ellison ๐Ÿ@SteveEllison271ยท
@Sir_Kneecap @Mangan150 Great. The kick in the pants for me was, after 2 years in biz school, my 14- and 12-year-old kids were leaving me far behind on the ski slopes. Worse, I was exhausted after 3 runs, but they wanted to ski all day. Wait hours per day in the lodge? I decided to get in shape instead.
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Mr. Kneecap
Mr. Kneecap@Sir_Kneecapยท
This is a driving force in my life. By the time my dad was 40, he was done physically. Overweight, high blood pressure, could barely walk around the block. He was a great athlete as a kid. When I was 12,he decided to go surfing with me (which he did when he was young). He was so out of shape he couldnโ€™t paddle 20 yards. One of the saddest days of my life. I just wanted the joy of surfing with my dad. Iโ€™m 56 now, and my sons and I do all sorts of wonderful, physically difficult things together simply because I refuse to not be able to do them. I plan to be able to until I die.
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P.D. Mangan Health & Freedom Maximalist ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
P.D. Mangan Health & Freedom Maximalist ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ@Mangan150ยท
Iโ€™m 71 now, and Iโ€™m a lot fitter and healthier than most. But the best thing I ever did wasnโ€™t the 1000s of hours of research to design the perfect nutrition plan and craft the ideal exercise protocol. It was deciding I refused to be out of shape.
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Steve Ellison ๐Ÿ
Steve Ellison ๐Ÿ@SteveEllison271ยท
For the second consecutive week, my hand-drawn S&P 500 chart went above the top of the graph area. #ES #stocks
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Steve Ellison ๐Ÿ
Steve Ellison ๐Ÿ@SteveEllison271ยท
@wmurdoch Imagine what chaos we might have thrown the back room into had they known there were TWO MIT alums at this table.
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wmurdoch
wmurdoch@wmurdochยท
If you count cards in blackjack, skip the Fontainebleu in LV. I got busted and didn't even get a comp for a meal. Stick to Treasure Island and some of the downtown clubs.
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Steve Ellison ๐Ÿ ๋ฆฌํŠธ์œ—ํ•จ
Pete Earle
Pete Earle@peter_c_earleยท
Rare earths are not especially rare, not actually 'earths,' and almost never found as metals. More importantly, all of the fearmongering about how China is ahead of the US in the REM race could be addressed with a few simple deregulatory measures. I write about it in @amspectator: spectator.org/rare-earths-reโ€ฆ
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Steve Ellison ๐Ÿ
Steve Ellison ๐Ÿ@SteveEllison271ยท
@yelloh71 Not just days: On a chart with 5-minute bars, the RSI of SPY was above 70 for about 48 consecutive bars yesterday and today. The buying was relentless and not price sensitive. #ES #stocks
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QuantScraper
QuantScraper@QuantScraperยท
#Oracle Double bottom at the end of the tunnel $ORCL
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Steve Ellison ๐Ÿ
Steve Ellison ๐Ÿ@SteveEllison271ยท
@TonyNashNerd 1993 was during the period when Re-Engineering the Corporation by Hammer and Champy was a bestseller, an earlier period of white collar job insecurity as client-server computing enabled automating many office tasks. People forget these cycles come and go.
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Tony Nash
Tony Nash@TonyNashNerdยท
When I finished undergrad in 1993, we faced the same thing. They were called "McJobs" - a bunch of mini jobs we had to do for a few years to piece together an income until we could actually start a job. My first job after college was typing up waybills in an airport warehouse.
Hany Girgis@SanDiegoKnight

43% of young American college grads (22โ€“27) are now underemployed โ€” the highest rate since the pandemic. Theyโ€™re nannying, working as baristas, and taking retail sales jobs that donโ€™t require a degree. Meanwhile, hundreds of thousands of OPT students keep landing the exact same entry-level STEM and tech roles โ€” with employer tax breaks and no American-worker-first rules. H-1B lottery + OPT extensions = outsourcing American opportunity. AI is already freezing the job market for U.S. grads. Why are we still flooding it with foreign students on taxpayer-subsidized visas? This isnโ€™t a talent shortage. Itโ€™s engineered displacement. American STEM grads first. bloomberg.com/news/articles/โ€ฆ #OPT #H1B #AmericanJobs #Underemployment

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Scott Adams
Scott Adams@ScottAdamsDevยท
Fascinating. I took this survey at Gallup for deft.co and learned a lot about myself.
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Z
Z@ZeeContrarian1ยท
This could be the most productive Sunday of your life. The NASDAQ has been up seven days in a row, it will open deep in the red on Monday. Make a list of the stocks that have risen the most. Pick the top 10 and make that your buy list. The next time the market is down, you buy exactly those stocks. You donโ€™t improvise. You donโ€™t come up with new names or new ideas. These are the only stocks you buy. To crowdsource this take, comment below with your favorite stock and how much itโ€™s up over the last 7 days-ideally include a chart. If itโ€™s not up at least 10%, donโ€™t waste our time. Iโ€™ll go first: $AMZN
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Steve Ellison ๐Ÿ
Steve Ellison ๐Ÿ@SteveEllison271ยท
Easy to believe. VIX has been so elevated for so long, really since the beginning of February, that the thought has crossed my mind that the market might extract maximum pain by the S&P 500 simply going nowhere. #ES #stocks
Kris Sidial๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ@Ksidiii

Whether you believe asset prices will go higher or go lower from here there is a LOT of opportunity right now in the equity derivatives market. Weekend filled with digging through different vol surfaces, data, and shocks and slides. Stay blessed folks ๐Ÿซก๐Ÿซก๐Ÿซก

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Gary Boddicker
Gary Boddicker@gboddickerยท
Strait's closed, Ceasefire is cancelled...markets: Meh? Guess we're in a bull market.
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Steve Ellison ๐Ÿ ๋ฆฌํŠธ์œ—ํ•จ
The Long View
The Long View@HayekAndKeynesยท
Mag 6 isnโ€™t all that expensive
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Steve Ellison ๐Ÿ ๋ฆฌํŠธ์œ—ํ•จ
Charlie Bilello
Charlie Bilello@charliebilelloยท
Update: one year ago today the $VIX closed above 50, a signal with a 100% win rate over the following year and an average S&P 500 return of 35%. The S&P 500 has gained 38% since then, adding to the list of times when it paid to be greedy when others were fearful. $SPX
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Charlie Bilello@charliebilello

The $VIX closed above 50 today which is in the top 1% of historical readings. What has happened in the past following closes above 50? S&P 500 gains over the next 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 years every time with above-average returns overall. $VIX $SPX bilello.blog/newsletter

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@VicNiederhoffer @AgustinLebron3 @Mangan150 @KeruboSk @Sir_Kneecap @ZeeContrarian1 @wmurdoch @amspectator