Predict Time@predicttime_
I CAUGHT THE $436,000 INSIDER
Episode 3 of PredictTime is live - and you'll hear this story straight from the source
@tre_poh, founder of @polysights. We go deep - into how his platform catches insiders on Polymarket before the news drops and into his life journey
Everything you need to know about insider trading in prediction markets - is in this episode
Timecodes:
00:00 — Cold open / Highlights
00:51 — The $436k profit case: how a $34k order paid out before the news
01:05 — Meet Tre, founder of Polysights
01:35 — How Polysights spots anomalies: radar score and wallet clusters
03:17 — What Polysights actually does: advanced analytics for prediction markets
04:00 — From aircraft engineering to the Canadian Air Force
05:01 — Entrepreneurial roots: e-commerce and dropshipping
06:13 — Selling the first company at 23 and getting paid in crypto
08:21 — Were meme coins detrimental or a launchpad into Web3?
09:46 — The "Fatherhood Buff": how a son changes drive and risk
12:03 — Rank 1 in WoW: gaming as training for founders
14:35 — From PredictFun on Blast to Polymarket: trader-first, builder-second
16:35 — Building Insider Finder: scoring every trade on Polymarket
19:34 — The Maduro case in detail: why it wasn't posted publicly
21:18 — Mayor Eric Adams dropout: prediction markets vs mainstream media
22:24 — MicroStrategy markets: 6–0 on recycled wallets
26:50 — Philosophy: why insider trading accelerates truth
30:56 — Disagreeing with Kalshi's CEO: the centralized vs decentralized divide
35:19 — If the CFTC bans insider trading: validation or death?
48:09 — Arbitrage across Polymarket, Kalshi and sportsbooks
50:48 — Why prediction markets finally boomed in 2024–2025
54:39 — Alpha decay and growing to 45,000 users
55:59 — The Bloomberg / WSJ / NYT moment
58:08 — Fundraising $1.5M from Halifax: the lead VC drama
01:02:26 — Business model: moving away from subscriptions
01:04:21 — No-code automated trading strategies as the future
01:13:20 — Roadmap: V1 by Q2 and a regulated prediction market in Canada
01:16:24 — Solo founder reality: from intern-only to an ex-Meta tech lead
01:18:46 — Crucial advice: don't build another trading terminal
01:20:27 — Breaking in with no connections, no VCs, no hub
01:24:58 — Rapid-fire: Ferrari, Bitcoin to $1M, Hyperliquid vs Kalshi
01:27:35 — The biggest insider trade he can't prove: Lord Miles
01:28:12 — Role models: CZ, Kobe, Shane, Elon
01:30:00 — Final advice: stop overthinking and take the swing