ktk
343 posts


Recruits, your first prize is here...
A custom GeForce RTX 5080 Founders Edition + PC copy of the game.
Comment #007FirstLightRTX to win 👇
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My read on SubQ either it’s a scam, or they’ve nailed DSA
Likely something like a hierarchical learned router over block/chunk summaries, plus local sliding attention for syntax and global document anchor blocks
The magic, if real, is the router
Subquadratic@subquadratic
The numbers behind the SubQ announcement: Speed: 52x faster than Flash Attention SWE Bench Verified: 81.8% Ruler (128K): 95% MRCR V2: 65.9% Get early access at subq.ai
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ktk retweetledi


I found out my girlfriend cheated on me. Instead of breaking up right away, I made a fake account, sent her the proof anonymously, and told her that if she didn’t send me money, I’d tell her boyfriend everything.
I shared this whole plan with my best friend for advice, but this mf went behind my back and shared everything with my girlfriend.
When confronted, he said
Why does it matter? I thought she deserved to know.
He wasn’t just betraying me. He was behaving like a random variable after you marginalize out all the hidden information.
In probability, to understand what you actually know, you marginalize over hidden variables.
That means you sum over all the possibilities you can’t observe to compute the probability of what you can observe.
Marginal probability is a statistical measure that represents the probability of a single event by aggregating over all possible values of other variables.
Formula
P(A) = Σ P(A, Bi)
Where
P(A) = Marginal probability of event A
P(A, Bi) = Joint probability of A and B
Σ = Summation
Let's take an example and solve step by step
A dating app wants to find the probability of users sending messages, regardless of whether they get a response. The data shows message sent vs response received:
Short forms
- M = Message
- R = Response
Joint Probability Table
- M (Yes), R (Yes) = 0.30
- M (Yes), R (No) = 0.25
- M (No), R (Yes) = 0.10
- M (No), R (No) = 0.35
Step 1 What we want to marginalize
- We want P(M = Yes)
Step 2 Joint probabilities for M = Yes
- P(M = Yes, R = Yes) = 0.30
- P(M = Yes, R = No) = 0.25
Step 3 Apply marginal probability
- P(M = Yes)
- P(M=Yes, R=Yes) + P(M=Yes, R=No)
- 0.30 + 0.25 = 0.55
P(Message = Yes) = 0.55
Final Answer
The marginal probability of a user sending a message is 0.55 or 55%, regardless of whether they receive a response.
Congratulations, you've just learned Marginal Probability.
Bonus: Applications in AI/ML
1. Bayesian Networks:
Computing marginal probabilities by summing out irrelevant variables to make predictions and inferences in graphical models.
2. Latent Variable Models:
In topic modeling (LDA) and hidden Markov models, marginalizing over hidden states to find the probability of observed data.
3. Feature Selection:
Identifying which features independently correlate with target variables by computing marginal distributions, helping reduce dimensionality.
4. Probabilistic Classification:
Naive Bayes classifiers use marginal probabilities of features to classify data, assuming independence between features.
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i won the @xai hackathon by making ads for X Videos
introducing Halftime. targeted ad generation using AI that feels like a part of your movies and shows
built with @yuviecodes @lohanipravin
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@KhetanshuV The CY26P market size of Indian watch is close to the number of bitches you get
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it's so satisfying to see @LylesNoah getting his ass handed to him by Oblique Seville ,
Long live jamaican runners!
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