
Sviche
1.2K posts








This is insane to me. Dplus KIA destroyed T1 in 2 games in a row (at some point in game 2, it was 80¢/share on T1 victory) Yet the market still thinks there's a 30% chance for T1 to win 3 in a row and take the series.




I like Lighter and the tech behind it but this looks quite bearish because cexs don’t list projects they see as direct competitors Hyperliquid


Assets added to the roadmap today: Lighter (LIGHTER) coinbase.com/blog/increasin…




I just found a liquidity-claimer bot IME, most algo try to catch or/and chase direction or trying to catch some spreads idk this one is kinda unique bcs it chase Bitcoin bracket markets Algo doesn't tries to predict where BTC goes. It play on where Bitcoin won't be Every day market offers price brackets: "$88k-$90k on Dec 13", "Above $96k on Dec 7". The algo systematically buys "No" on extreme outcomes brackets 10-15% away from current price. BTC at $100k? Buy "No" on "below $80k by Dec 31" at 73c. Wait. Collect. oftenly it buys mega low windows, less than 5c outcomes. But why.... ? Volatility harvesting. When BTC dumps 5% intraday, bracket markets overcorrect. "BTC above $90k" crashes to $0.70 while price is still $94k. The algo buys it Scale is industrial. 200+ simultaneous positions across daily, weekly, monthly timeframes. Single bets: $500-$200k. It takes losses. Individual hits run -$5k to -$10k when brackets bust. But it backs it on small consistent gainz Account: @0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced13?via=888" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0x6f2628a8ac6…







$BASE should be released in Q1-Q2, and you are ready for this talk. On @Polymarket, only 50% of people believe that Base will launch its token in the first half of 2026. I have done some research and am ready to share it with you. > Base App launched in July 2025 and has since gathered millions of active users with a TVL in the billions. The airdrop token will now be an incentive to retain users, and waiting any longer could result in a loss of community approval. > From exploration (Sept 2025) to TGE, it takes ~6-9 months, SEC review (8-10 weeks, not mandatory), tech prep (4-8 weeks), audit (2-4 weeks). April-June 2026 covers this time frame. > All issues with the SEC have been resolved at this stage. It is unlikely that they will be raised in 2026. > JPMorgan has valued Base token at 12b - $34B potential value and Coinbase stock at $404 by 2026. For a public company, this is a motive to move quickly. Therefore, the team is fully interested in an early TGE. There are arguments against it, but of those I have found, I cannot counter any of them. They are all weak and consist only of "ifs". Coinbase is ready, the community is ready, everyone is just waiting for the right growing market. I am sure that 2026 will still surprise us.

Loaded up $23.7k into couple of Lighter launch markets. Reasons: 1. Wallets related to the Team heavily buying YES. Credit to @Andrey_10gwei for research. 2. Coinbase Markets adding $LIGHTER ticker to the roadmap yesterday. 3. The major account buying NO airdrop shares looks like a degen ('Mohammad001') with -$118k PnL and many crypto related markets he participated (usually unsuccessfully). 4. CEO Vladimir Novakovski hinted in a November 2025 that the airdrop would be "closer to Christmas," with holidays "lit" (a pun on "Lighter"). This aligns with Q4 2025 TGE targets from AMAs and roadmaps.






