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Wave 4 technicals should chime with markets and weakness going into midterms, at election time or just before, market should start wave 5 slow rally
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Tony Kaler
1.3K posts
Tony Kaler
@2cheak
What matters are the simple things. The memories of family gatherings, the laughter shared with old friends, the sacrifices made for the people you love, XXX
Cowtown Katılım Mayıs 2015
923 Takip Edilen308 Takipçiler
Tony Kaler retweetledi
🚨 QUADRUPLE WITCHING ARRIVES TOMORROW.
$4.7 TRILLION in derivatives expires.
What it means → 4 types of derivatives expire simultaneously. Trillions in positions get closed or rolled.
Why it matters → Volume surges. Prices can swing hard, especially in the final hour of trading.
When it happens → 4x a year: March, June, September, December.
Tomorrow is the March edition. Watch the market close carefully.
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Tony Kaler retweetledi
This is why I don't just watch the index.
$XLE Energy has been grinding higher all year. A big part of that? Oil spiking on geopolitical risk. That's been the fuel.
$XLF Financials, the opposite. Broke its trendline, selling off hard, sitting near the lows.
The question worth asking: when this oil spike runs its course, does money rotate back into financials? Because that's the kind of sector rotation trade most people don't see coming until it's already happened.
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@unusual_whales What are we sending the Black Pearl and Captain Jack Sparrow?
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BREAKING: Canada, allies ready to ‘contribute to appropriate efforts’ on Strait of Hormuz blockage, per CTV
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Tony Kaler retweetledi
Okay then. Everyone's staring at the $VIX, the headlines, the tariff noise. Wrong screen.
The only chart that matters right now is net liquidity. It just hit $5.8 trillion and it's accelerating.
RRP is effectively zero. Drained. Every dollar the Treasury spends now goes straight into the financial system.
That's roughly $300B in projected liquidity expansion over the next three months. No buffer left to absorb it.
$QQQ sitting at 594 while the liquidity engine underneath it is running the hottest it has in months.
I think we're looking at SPX 6800 to 6900 before the month's out. The plumbing doesn't care about the mood.
When's the last time expanding liquidity lost to sentiment for more than a few weeks?
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@Tablesalt13 I thought in this emergency situation we would have sent the Black Pearl
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🚨MAJOR BREAKING
Canada JUMPS on the coalition to help USA in the straight of hormuz
at the last minute!
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Tony Kaler retweetledi
Wow 10 mins ago
2 pages of deep itm calls on SPY for tomorrow exp
This is what made spy gap up so fast
$350 million in calls all placed within 2 mins
Esther & Michael@SuperLuckeee
Tomorrow is OPEX. This is where options expire and the market isn’t really “trading”… it’s settling positioning. All that heavy put flow you saw today (660–695 SPY) That’s big money hedging and positioning, not just direction. 👉 What that means: •Expect chop + fakeouts •Price can get pinned near key levels •Fast flushes •violent squeezes trade light and careful tomorrow!
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Tony Kaler retweetledi
Tony Kaler retweetledi
QQQ green
SPY green
VIX new lows of the day
VIX is at 23.5
This is all where you say- 200D SMA dip was defended.
3 out of 4 signals hit. 💯
Prof@TheProfInvestor
Market is up. Hit lows at 9:30 AM A green close = Little Bullish VIX no new highs = Bullish VIX craps below 22 = Very Bullish
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Tony Kaler retweetledi
Tony Kaler retweetledi
Many cues today.
SPY vs VIX divergence
VIX getting sold since open ( -10% )
Oil red on the day
Semiconductors green got bought at open
March OPEX tomorrow can be the turning point for a 3-5% rally on indices.
John@market_sleuth
$SPY set a lower low & the $VIX set a lower high. That often (not always) signals a reversal is near.💯
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Tony Kaler retweetledi
Tony Kaler retweetledi
Tony Kaler retweetledi
Today looks like an accumulation day, sometimes after this they like to do one more flush for a stop run
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Tony Kaler retweetledi
PRESIDENT TRUMP SAYS THE IRAN “EXCURSION” WILL BE OVER SOON.
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Tony Kaler retweetledi
Dow Jones $DJI just entered a volume support level.
Expecting a market bounce here to complete the head-and-shoulders pattern.
The same bounce happened in March 2025 and lasted for 8 trading days.
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Tony Kaler retweetledi
Tony Kaler retweetledi
Don’t say I didn’t warn you.
I don’t entertain noise.
If you’re here to troll, you’ll be gone just as fast.
To the ones who’ve been showing support, staying disciplined and actually following the process. I appreciate you more than you know.
Now let’s execute.
Let this thing push higher so we can position properly and load the puts.
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER!
— TJ
#SP500 #SPY #QQQ #TSLA #PLTR #NVDA #AAPL #Bitcoin #Crypto #stockmarket
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