Sundown

@nickgraynews What do the yelp reviews look like?

I just got a massage in New York City that was so good and so cheap that the only way to explain it is human trafficking $30 per hour in Manhattan for a full body massage with hot stones etc how do these unit economics work?

@EricBalchunas What killed it was that judgement of “what’s good” can’t be determine by a formula… yet.

Trump Will Bury ESG, But It Was Already Dead.. agree, altho it's not dead, rather exist as tiny fringe (as we predicted, bf it was cool). What killed ESG wasn't politics, but higher rates and energy rally, ppl don't like underperforming.. The other problem is ESG wanted to take over your core and ppl just aren't gonna part with their $VOO or $IVV. Anything trying to dislodge cheap beta I'm always gonna be bearish on. bloomberg.com/opinion/articl… via @opinion

@zachary_bartsch This is the list you’re looking for: efficiencyiseverything.com/applying-prote…

@TravisHoium @awealthofcs These are all bad analogies…

@awealthofcs Wouldn’t it be: Nate Silver is to Polymarket As active management is to index funds

Nate Silver is to active management… as polymarket is to index funds The index funds basically always win

@Molson_Hart You gonna make the Hawaiian island idea a reality?

Molson for Director of the Federal Bureau of Prisons

@DadInvest Bucket hats are….?

AMA 30 minutes. No limits (other than TLB ticker).

@DadInvest Is it time to bet on duration?

@RampCapitalLLC Ben & Jerry’s is a near criminal miss on this list

Yeah I’m down with the 4B movement: Bitcoin Banks Buffett Bernanke

@nickgraynews Missing a few days won’t matter. Continuing to take it, even if you’re not working out has little downside as well. Net net, I would bring them if you can.

creatine people: do you take it when you travel too? or just skip it for a few days travel and pick back up when home? I'm packing for a trip to NYC right now and usually don't take it and resume when home but wondering if better to pack the capsules

@RampCapitalLLC Didn't you hear? White Claws are out. Surfside Peach Iced Tea is where it's at.

Just opened a Peach White Claw

@edgeworth_brian @RampCapitalLLC Maybe I’m just dense… the picture referenced Kalshi, your follow up was about Kalshi’s payout timing, so was speaking about Kalshi.

@AIDEV_X @RampCapitalLLC LMK which 1 of the 3 were not highly regulated (maybe you missed the /sarc) They had segregated accounts too keeping money even safer. I get your point. You are missing mine. LMK how much of the capital sent to each of the betting sites was cash wires vs. stables or crypto.

What’s stopping you from making $20,000 on this?

@edgeworth_brian @RampCapitalLLC LMK once you’ve reviewed the capital requirements associated with being a regulated clearing houses.

@AIDEV_X @RampCapitalLLC Wow, that makes me feel great about the security of my money. Let me ask my adviser Corzine and see if I can move some money from LTCM over to make this bet. I cannot get hold of Madoff or I would just move those funds.

@edgeworth_brian @RampCapitalLLC This isn’t crypto… these are CFTC regulated contracts.

@AIDEV_X @RampCapitalLLC While you are taking company and credit risk of the betting site. Generally, in crypto, taking risk on ANY company needs to pay a lot more than the risk free rate.

@edgeworth_brian @RampCapitalLLC You earn the risk free rate though while your money is tied up

@RampCapitalLLC You do not get paid out for 63 days.

@RobertMSterling @tobydoyhowell

Twitter feels like a vintage war movie tonight, the night before the final battle. Preparations are complete; aside from a few of the older guys whispering over a map in the tent, the troops are all sitting around a campfire together, cracking jokes, busting balls, passing around a bottle of something cheap. Somehow, there’s even a guitar (there’s always somehow a guitar). Sure, nerves got a little frayed on the march out here—it’s been a long campaign of soul-searching, ordeals, crucibles, losses—and our spirit of camaraderie was put to the test. But, after years on the move, we’ve made it here, to the place where victory awaits. Win or lose, our cause is just, our people righteous, our position strong. Tomorrow we ride, and tomorrow we begin the journey home.

@zeta_globin @gayrabbi Aren’t the effects pretty limited though? I’ve seen some evidence for cognitive decline in some people, but you don’t tun into Idiocracy overnight or anything

@gayrabbi oh he spoiled it then

GUESS WHICH BLOOD PRESSURE MEDS MAKE YOU THE DUMBEST

@samswoora I guess… when a meteorologist says there is a 50% chance of rain do you find it ironic?

@AIDEV_X If you were to guess naively you would also say 50/50

There being a whole industry of polling and forecasting, and the couple days before the event every expert going "idk 50/50?" feels like a supreme irony

@Molson_Hart He’s in the pocket of big squirrel.

Saying pets are cheaper than children is like saying that junk food is cheaper than proper food. You'll pay the price in 10-20 years.

@RampCapitalLLC Did anyone else’s grandpa offer swim lessons to squirrels?

Imma be real, squirrels suck. Never been a fan. They destroy my yard, my garden, and my deck. Death to squirrels.