Aaron Burnett

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Aaron Burnett

Aaron Burnett

@aaronburnett

Founder, CEO @ Mach33 | Research and Investment in Expansion Technologies

Merrit Island, FL Katılım Temmuz 2011
577 Takip Edilen22.9K Takipçiler
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Aaron Burnett
Aaron Burnett@aaronburnett·
We released our 80 page institutional orbital data center report a few days ago. This article is the public distillation of its most important points. This specifically answers the economic crossover of point for ODCs vs TDCs (terrestrial data centers). There has been far far too much handwringing on the topic. Many are starting to consider it closed. This work is the basis for not just agreeing or disagreeing on if it can happen but the foundation for when it will happen and how much cheaper it will be.
Aaron Burnett@aaronburnett

x.com/i/article/2050…

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Aaron Burnett
Aaron Burnett@aaronburnett·
if you've ever done this then you understand what's happening. 3 laptops, 3 phones and the truck simultaneously. zoom calls. whatever. no 5G tethering. no odd dropouts between towers in the middle of the Louisiana bayou.
Aaron Burnett tweet media
Sawyer Merritt@SawyerMerritt

SpaceX has just increased pricing for most @Starlink Residential & Roam plans in the US. New pricing: Residential: • 100 Mbps: $55/month ($5 increase) • 200 Mbps: $85/month ($5 increase) • 400+ Mbps: $130/month ($10 increase) Roam: • 100 GB: $55/month ($5 increase) • 300 GB: $80/month (no change) • Unlimited: $175/month ($10 increase)

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Brennan M. Woodruff
Brennan M. Woodruff@BrennanWoodruff·
@aaronburnett This story was my favorite fun fact from David Schwimmer’s narration for the John Hancock Observatory deck tour
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ApoStructura
ApoStructura@ApoStructura·
@aaronburnett How many things like this come from cool stories that were mostly lost
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Aaron Burnett
Aaron Burnett@aaronburnett·
@_SFTahoe I’m pretty sure angst over what you can’t control is 80% of x content 😂
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Amy
Amy@_SFTahoe·
I’ve been investor since the 2010 in Tesla and I have little hope of getting SpaceX IPO shares, as I doubt my broker is chosen and I can’t really move my account. But that’s OK, the upside is so large that I will be steadily DCAing into SpaceX over years. Consider Tesla’s IPO, opened at 1.19 split adjusted and closed at 1.39. People called 1.39 “expensive” because it was a 40% pop. But 1.39 looks like a ridiculously good entry price today. Don’t get me wrong, I would love IPO shares, and am glad SpaceX has a 30% retail allotment, but I also don’t waste time with angst over things I can’t control.
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Aaron Burnett
Aaron Burnett@aaronburnett·
@WR4NYGov Who needs to spend years modeling SpaceX, vibe valuations is where it’s at
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Aaron Burnett
Aaron Burnett@aaronburnett·
you know what doesn’t have a robust open source ecosystem and a history of companies leapfrogging each other? reusable orbital rockets.
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Aaron Burnett
Aaron Burnett@aaronburnett·
@SonicCruise Some one else coined StarThink I’d need to track who, but I’ve probably repeated it the most. I like a good rhyme.
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Joe
Joe@SonicCruise·
@aaronburnett Great metaphors, fun post! Looks like you coined “ Starthink”…
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Aaron Burnett
Aaron Burnett@aaronburnett·
One way to think about Starlink is that it is the final technology in the Internet tech tree. AI is the final technology in the computer tech tree. When both tech tress are completed you unlock “starthink” which you can just keep investing in until you get AGI. The space travel tech tree is a prerequisite for Starlink and Starthink. It also is required for moon mass drivers which is a prerequisite for upgrading AGI to ASI. AGI/ASI are prerequisites for Kardashev 2 and 3. Not prerequisites for the multi-planetary civilization achievement but do reduce the investment time by an order of magnitude. Honestly technology is much easier to understand if you think of it as a video game.
Elon Musk@elonmusk

Starlink Internet access enables people to learn anything and access the global market for their goods & services, improving their standard of living

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Rocket L🅰️b 🦛
Rocket L🅰️b 🦛@TobyDDRice·
@aaronburnett Been doing this all over the country. Best investment ever. Paired with a PS5 so I don't need to login to Airbnbs Netflix, Hulu etc every stop.
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Barrett Linburg
Barrett Linburg@DallasAptGP·
Strange feeling when your post creates a headline
Barrett Linburg tweet media
Barrett Linburg@DallasAptGP

A crazy tax idea for Elon Musk. He could become the biggest OZ investor in history. The IPO is the trigger. SpaceX goes public June 12 under the ticker SPCX and the valuation might go to $2 trillion. The largest IPO ever. Insider lockup runs 180 days. It expires around December 15. The day it ends, insiders can sell. Every share sold throws off a capital gain. For Elon, holding billions in SpaceX paper, the gain is staggering. Under the new Opportunity Zone rules that take effect January 1, 2027, any capital gain rolled into a Qualified Opportunity Fund within 180 days of the sale earns a five-year tax deferral. Sell in late December 2026. Invest in early 2027. The tax bill is not due until 2032. If the QOF investment is held for ten years, the entire appreciation comes out tax-free. No capital gains. No depreciation recapture. Zero. But Elon isn't going to suddenly start investing in apartments or hotels in low income areas. He is going to remain obsessed with investing in his core businesses. Good news. The town of Starbase, Texas sits inside an Opportunity Zone census tract. Grimes County, where Musk is building a $55 billion semiconductor fab called Terafab, has three OZ tracts of its own. Elon could sell SPCX shares after lockup. Roll the gain into his own Qualified Opportunity Fund. Use that fund to build infrastructure at Starbase or finance the Terafab site. Then lease the asset back to the public company. SpaceX pays the rent. The rent is deductible to SpaceX. The depreciation flows to Elon and offsets his other income for a decade. Then he sells the QOF interest in 2037. No tax on the appreciation. No recapture on the depreciation. The original gain that funded it all was deferred to 2032. The IPO funds the infrastructure. The infrastructure runs the company. The taxpayer pays nothing for ten years and almost nothing forever. This is the crazy idea. The mechanics are real. The zones are real. The IPO is real. I am glad to advise his tax team. 🤠

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Terry Corn
Terry Corn@CornTerry5·
@xdNiBoR @aaronburnett I believe that spacexai is going to build a data center there and power it with gas powered turbines/solar +battery
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Aaron Burnett
Aaron Burnett@aaronburnett·
Our weekly private podcast covered - AI Revenue Stack split (analysis) - Google/SpaceX odc rumors - Cowboy Space - Starship 12 - Echostar/SpaceX FCC approval users (free signup) can access here research.33fg.com/analysis/the-a…
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Aaron Burnett
Aaron Burnett@aaronburnett·
i personally think that SpaceX will want to stagger more of the shares out maybe up to $500B worth within the first 6 months to meet the buy pressure from the index funds. I don't think they want index funds buying on sub 10% float, rocketing the price then 25-50% of the total hitting the market all at once in 6,9 or 12 months. I guess they could stagger over a 5 year period, that would mean big upward pressure over the first few years. Great news for people planning on holding anyway. we'll see
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Jonathan Stokes
Jonathan Stokes@jonathanwstokes·
I've been involved in a number of IPOs and the restrictions against insider selling are very rigid. While it is true that early investors can sell, say, 10 - 25% of their holdings at the 180 day mark, most of their holdings remain restricted. It can take 5 years before 100% of a VC's stake is eligible for sale. So I do not think there will be a rush for the exits. Even if insiders want to dump stock, they are contractually limited through years of tranches.
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Aaron Burnett
Aaron Burnett@aaronburnett·
One of the better explanations of potential float dynamics for SpaceX. I expect there will be less selling than is implied here but a good level set. I don’t have any explicit details on this but I think SpaceX is incentivized to balance this sell pressure with the buy pressure from Nasdaq100, SP500 and broader market. Would make sense to see some staggering.
Aaron Burnett tweet media
The Space Investor 🚀@SpaceInvestor_

Some deeper analysis on SpaceX's fast track inclusion into the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indexes with a $1.75T valuation (excluding price appreciation variable) Day 1 = 0.89% of Nasdaq and 0.15% of S&P The needle mover post-IPO to a few years out revolves around how many more shares come to market?

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Aaron Burnett
Aaron Burnett@aaronburnett·
@jonathanwstokes yeah, this chart is on the conservative side. or wishful thinking if hoping for pull back to buy. that said a good way to create a rough scope of buyers and sellers.
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Jonathan Stokes
Jonathan Stokes@jonathanwstokes·
@aaronburnett Also, Ron Baron just told CNBC that he wants to put in a $1 billion buy order at the SpaceX IPO. So I'm not sure why the chart lists Baron as likely to trim. Consider that Ron Baron has never trimmed a single share of his Tesla holdings.
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Aaron Burnett
Aaron Burnett@aaronburnett·
@WeRichYetBois Not the bandwidth I need to ongoing remote work for 3 people inside a car. That would be better for stopping the car and going on a hike with coverage. I’ll probably just use Starlink mobile at that point.
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Dogan Ural
Dogan Ural@doganuraldesign·
Would you want to see your past interactions with someone on 𝕏?
Dogan Ural tweet media
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Aaron Burnett
Aaron Burnett@aaronburnett·
@xdNiBoR Drive to Starbase from FL has a long Louisiana stretch in the middle.
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Aaron Burnett
Aaron Burnett@aaronburnett·
@SpaceInvestor_ Don’t know about the exact percentage but I think they should over sub on retail as much as they want. The dilution is effectively nothing and the capex is far more important to the long term than float engineering
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