Hager Ali

The Loop. A Political Science Blog from @ECPR@ECPR_TheLoop

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Christopher Faulkner@C_Faulkner_UCF·14 May

@plichta_marcel and I have a new piece with @ECPR_TheLoop on Moscow’s efforts to capitalize on coups and insecurity in the Sahel. Thanks to @ActuallyHager for the assist!

♟ #AutocraciesWithAdjectives No.28 Recent military coups in the #Sahel have benefited Russia. @plichta_marcel & @C_Faulkner_UCF argue that Moscow's mercenaries are not to blame for the democratic retrenchment, but they are emboldening military dictators bit.ly/4bxbjrG

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@romandeckert.bsky.social@RomanDeckert·23 Nis

"Sudanese refugees in Germany decry forgotten war" amplifying the voices of Stella Gaitano, Mai Shatta, Aya El Sammani & @ActuallyHager: p.dw.com/p/4f1jS?maca=e… #KeepEyesOnSudan

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German Institute for Global and Area Studies@GIGA_Institute·7 Mar

Featured in @EADI newsletter: @ActuallyHager's analysis on the war in #Sudan, published as #GIGAFocus.👇 ➡️ Have a read: giga-hamburg.de/en/publication…

EADI@EADI

📢 It's newsletter time again, this time kicking off the celebrations for our 50 anniversary + featuring @diisdk's analysis of #Russia's quest for influence in #Africa, picks on wars by @IDS_UK, @GIGA_Institute, @ISDCBerlin @IIR_Prague & more ⬇️ mailchi.mp/eadi/nl1march2…

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Hager Ali@ActuallyHager·1 Mar

@KennedyWandera_ I think I lost my audio again, brb restarting my app

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Kennedy Wandera@KennedyWandera_·29 Şub

We explore the reasons behind this move and its potential implications for regional dynamics and global geopolitics and how it affects established alliances and partnerships in the region. Please set a reminder.

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Hager Ali@ActuallyHager·29 Şub

Join our discussion tomorrow at 18:00 CET about ECOWAS lifting sanctions on coup-leaders

Tomorrow, Friday 1700GMT on @XSpaces, we host a round-table discussion on the ECOWAS decision to lift sanctions on Mali, Niger and Guinea. Is it a carrot-and-stick tactic to forestall intended withdrawals from the regional bloc or geopolitical shifts? twitter.com/i/spaces/1djxX…

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Brian Adeba@kalamashaka·27 Şub

Why the #UAE needs to be held accountable for the #war in #Sudan. Powerful piece in Foreign Affairs magazine by @TheSentry_Org’s founding director. Read it here… foreignaffairs.com/sudan/dirty-mo…

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Hager Ali@ActuallyHager·22 Şub

@ElbashirIdris_ @SudanHODL Thank you so much for your kind words - I appreciate it!

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Mat Nashed@matnashed·22 Şub

This is a real fear: One of many.

The more pre-existing factions join the war, the more it drowns out the principal SAF-RSF conflict with faction-specific agendas. The chain of command between troops falls apart the more local battles detach from Al-Burhan’s or Dagalo’s respective interests. That changes a lot

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Alberto Miguel Fernandez@AlbertoMiguelF5·22 Şub

"SAF and RSF may not be able to terminate the violence anymore because command structures within and between troops have eroded. The SAF’s losses provoke defections from its ranks. Factions that joined the war in Darfur and in Kordofan can supersede Al-Burhan’s and Dagalo’s authority on a municipal level and use the war for their group-specific goals."

NEW PUBLICATION! I analyzed 10 months of combat locations, weapons transfers, military logistics & networks in #Sudan🇸🇩 to reconstruct how the #RSF overtook the #SAF on the ground - and how Wagner & UAE supplied this war. Summary🧵below giga-hamburg.de/en/publication… @GIGA_Institute

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Hager Ali@ActuallyHager·22 Şub

@Roaarabi2 @GIGA_Institute Thank you so much! It was a labor of love 🇸🇩

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Roaa Elhag@Roaarabi2·22 Şub

@ActuallyHager @GIGA_Institute Great job Hager 👍 thanks for sharing useful info

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Hager Ali@ActuallyHager·20 Şub

NEW PUBLICATION! I analyzed 10 months of combat locations, weapons transfers, military logistics & networks in #Sudan🇸🇩 to reconstruct how the #RSF overtook the #SAF on the ground - and how Wagner & UAE supplied this war. Summary🧵below giga-hamburg.de/en/publication… @GIGA_Institute

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William Carter@WillCarter_NRC·22 Şub

Powerful, prescient analysis, with major implications for civilian #protection & #peace making for #Sudan. It portrays both the regionalisation & fragmentation/localisation of #conflict dynamics, and portends (again) that elite deal making efforts to end the war may be misplaced.

NEW PUBLICATION! I analyzed 10 months of combat locations, weapons transfers, military logistics & networks in #Sudan🇸🇩 to reconstruct how the #RSF overtook the #SAF on the ground - and how Wagner & UAE supplied this war. Summary🧵below giga-hamburg.de/en/publication… @GIGA_Institute

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Hager Ali@ActuallyHager·22 Şub

@WillCarter_NRC Thank you so so much!

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Cameron Hudson@_hudsonc·22 Şub

This is the best analysis on conflict dynamics I have read on the conflict in #Sudan. It confirmed many of my suspicions, confirmed what I know and taught me even more. 👏🏻@actuallyhager

NEW PUBLICATION! I analyzed 10 months of combat locations, weapons transfers, military logistics & networks in #Sudan🇸🇩 to reconstruct how the #RSF overtook the #SAF on the ground - and how Wagner & UAE supplied this war. Summary🧵below giga-hamburg.de/en/publication… @GIGA_Institute

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Hager Ali@ActuallyHager·22 Şub

@_hudsonc Thank you so so much, that means the world to me coming from you!

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Hager Ali@ActuallyHager·22 Şub

@matnashed @GIGA_Institute Thank you so so much Mat!

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Mat Nashed@matnashed·22 Şub

@ActuallyHager @GIGA_Institute Bravo @ActuallyHager . Will certainly read.

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Björn Müller@Bjoern__M·21 Şub

#Lesetipp Dichte Analyse zum Stand des Bürgerkriegs zwischen Armee und Rapid Security Forces im #Sudan. Die RSF haben inzwischen dank besserer Logistik die Region eingenommen, welche als Kornkammer des Landes gilt.

NEW PUBLICATION! I analyzed 10 months of combat locations, weapons transfers, military logistics & networks in #Sudan🇸🇩 to reconstruct how the #RSF overtook the #SAF on the ground - and how Wagner & UAE supplied this war. Summary🧵below giga-hamburg.de/en/publication… @GIGA_Institute

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Steven Seegel 🇺🇦 @stevenseegel.bsky.social@steven_seegel·21 Şub

read - good #OSINT work here 👇

NEW PUBLICATION! I analyzed 10 months of combat locations, weapons transfers, military logistics & networks in #Sudan🇸🇩 to reconstruct how the #RSF overtook the #SAF on the ground - and how Wagner & UAE supplied this war. Summary🧵below giga-hamburg.de/en/publication… @GIGA_Institute

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Jalel Harchaoui جلال حرشاوي@JMJalel_H·21 Şub

I highly recommend this report. To my knowledge, this is the first writing to clearly acknowledge the tight coordination between Russia, the UAE, and the Haftar family in provision of material aid to #Hemedti’s forces in Sudan. Terrific job!