Adverse

75 posts

Adverse

Adverse

@Adversegroup

Quantitative investment research without sensationalism. Adverse Model trackrecord and full information at: https://t.co/YPmQKqyreB Not financial advice.

Milan - Italy Katılım Ocak 2026
42 Takip Edilen10 Takipçiler
Adverse
Adverse@Adversegroup·
Tommorrow Adverse Model will close Nasdaq position for sure, the gain is big and the things that the model is looking for deteriorated underneath so it's time for a risk management close with a big gain
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Kevin Vette
Kevin Vette@InvestorKev_·
Worst investing habit you see most people have?
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Adverse
Adverse@Adversegroup·
This is Adverse current open positions, some of these are on a short leash, especially $QQQ and bitcoin:native
Adverse tweet media
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Adverse
Adverse@Adversegroup·
@KobeissiLetter Oh wait maybe that's why they become unconfident in the first place
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Adverse
Adverse@Adversegroup·
@KobeissiLetter You can be unconfident and still try to hit on girls, that pretty much sums it up. Unconfident consumer but paying 1k for a smartphone with a credit card
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
Absolutely incredible: Over the last 6 years, the S&P 500 has risen +130% while US Consumer Sentiment has collapsed by -55%, to its lowest since data began in 1952. We are witnessing the formation of the biggest wealth divide in modern history.
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter

BREAKING: US Consumer Sentiment officially falls to its lowest level on record in data going back to 1952, down another -10% last month. Consumers now see inflation rising to 4.8% over the next 12 months. This puts the Consumer Sentiment index down -21% since February 2026, before the Iran War. Not even the 1980s saw Consumer Sentiment this low.

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Adverse
Adverse@Adversegroup·
@NorthstarCharts archeology approaches in markets do not make any money ever. History DOESN'T repeat itself, it's human brain finding similar patterns that are not actually there
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Northstar
Northstar@NorthstarCharts·
Gold versus the stock market - Can this continue to reflect the 1960's/70's as closely as it has for the last 13 years? Incredible 👇
Northstar tweet media
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Adverse
Adverse@Adversegroup·
@cavicchioli Le aspettative saranno smentite, Warsh è stato nominato con un mandato chiaro e una tesi disinflazionistica altrettanto chiara. Vedranno i dati con inflazione al 4,2% e li ignoreranno dicendo che mantengono un "approccio cauto"
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Marco Cavicchioli
Marco Cavicchioli@cavicchioli·
I mercati ormai danno al 62% le probabilità che la Fed entro fine anno ALZI i tassi!
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Adverse
Adverse@Adversegroup·
@danielisdizzy Be careful what you wish for, if declining inflation actually happens (in the short term arguably plain wrong) the mega cap stocks are not gonna react well
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Daniel
Daniel@danielisdizzy·
Kevin Warsh and Trump just made it clear why rates are going lower: “AI is going to make almost everything cost less. We’re at the front end of a productivity boom. Economic growth won’t be inflationary — we’re in the early innings of a structural decline in prices.” Elon Musk, Sam Altman, Jeff Bezos, and Stanley Druckenmiller all expect AI to be strongly deflationary. The next few years are going to be insane.
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Adverse
Adverse@Adversegroup·
@zerohedge remember the time when sovereign institutions actually mattered? In such situations IFM would be all over the news intervening left and right to bail EM currencies. Every man for himself is the new era
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Vivek Sen
Vivek Sen@Vivek4real_·
MICHAEL SAYLOR IS BUYING, COUNTRIES ARE BUYING, BLACKROCK IS BUYING, AND BANKS ARE BUYING THEN WHY DOES BITCOIN PRICE KEEP FALLING?? 👀
Vivek Sen tweet media
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Adverse
Adverse@Adversegroup·
@Balu0X @NoLimitGains the main problem with emerging markets right now is their currencies beeing a smoldering ball of fire. Turkish Lira, Indian Rupiahs and Indonesian Rupiahs are a disaster. Inflation hits them even harder and their USD denominated sovereign bonds become ultra expensive to repay
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Balu0X
Balu0X@Balu0X·
@NoLimitGains Why is every market crashing? I’m not very good with economics or stock market stuff, can someone explain what’s happening?
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NoLimit
NoLimit@NoLimitGains·
🚨 CRASH: TURKEY
NoLimit tweet media
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Adverse
Adverse@Adversegroup·
@themarketear finally a take on bonds that makes sense.. nobody knows if yields will break out of this 110 bps trading range they have been in for 3 years. If they break down, then good bye to the multi trillion valuations, if they break out, NVDA at 10T is not that far
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Adverse
Adverse@Adversegroup·
@zerohedge that's quite a meme, the stock market sees no turmoil at the moment, everything is just going moon since 2022
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Adverse
Adverse@Adversegroup·
@deckard_the_dev tryin to democratize quantitative finance models, ain't happening for now but I will keep grinding
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Deckard 💻
Deckard 💻@deckard_the_dev·
Just crossed 500 followers today 🎉 3 months ago I was at 0 and convinced nobody would ever care what I built If you're a: - Solo founder - Indie hacker - Shipping in public - Pre-revenue and refusing to give up Drop what you're building. Let's grow this together 💪
Deckard 💻 tweet media
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Adverse
Adverse@Adversegroup·
@asaio87 cause 99,99999% will struggle selling what they built. Turns out the good old sales guy is still needed even with AI
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andrei saioc
andrei saioc@asaio87·
I see a lot of people maxing out their Claude subscription or AI agents like crazy, but only 1% show their apps and have sales. WHY ?
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Adverse
Adverse@Adversegroup·
@NotA_Bull you still need to pick which index fund so not a big difference there ;)
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Evan | Investments
Evan | Investments@NotA_Bull·
Do you prefer individual stock picking or just letting index funds do the work?
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Adverse
Adverse@Adversegroup·
@ThierryBorgeat What they are selling or the price tag are meaningless. When they are selling is all that matters and right now is perfect. The 10x mania is on
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Thierry from arvy 🇨🇭
Thierry from arvy 🇨🇭@ThierryBorgeat·
🚨YOU ARE THE EXIT LIQUIDITY You are about to be offered the most expensive IPO in modern history. SpaceX's S-1 just dropped. The headline numbers: - 2025 revenue: $18.7 billion - 2025 net loss: $4.9 billion - Q1 2026: still losing money - Reported IPO valuation target: roughly 90 times sales For context, the previous record IPO, Saudi Aramco, listed at 6 times sales. SpaceX is asking for fifteen times that multiple. With a net loss attached. Four things in this S-1 that should make you pause.
Thierry from arvy 🇨🇭 tweet media
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Adverse
Adverse@Adversegroup·
@KobeissiLetter there's space to 93 for today, tomorrow is another day. What is actually interesting is the vol compression. OVX is ignoring the headlines
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Adverse
Adverse@Adversegroup·
🚨BOND CRASH HOOK please spare me... Close to every finance account is writing the obituary of fixed income this week. "End of the 60/40." "Treasuries are uninvestable." The list goes on forever.. Mute them. Pull up the actual numbers. The US 10Y has spent the last ~2.5 years bouncing inside a ~110 bps band (roughly 3.6%–5.0%) and most of the time has been in a ~70 bps interval. The EU Govies? pretty much the same thing. We just printed a 16-month high in the US and a 15-year high on the Bund — and we're still inside the range. The "crash" is a tweet, not a price action. So here's the only question that actually matters: does this inflation re-acceleration finally break us out of the corridor, or is this fakeout number three before yields collapse back down and drag the entire equity complex with them? I don't know. And I'll tell you something uncomfortable: nobody screaming about it on your feed knows either. They're pattern-matching to 1970s charts they've never read past the headline. And before you reply with "just look at JGBs" — don't. That take requires a 300-page detour through 30 years of Japanese monetary archaeology, and we both know you haven't done the reading. #trading #treasuries #yields
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