Hareem K

192 posts

Hareem K

Hareem K

@AgentMahone07

Community of Madrid, Spain Katılım Mart 2017
67 Takip Edilen18 Takipçiler
Hareem K
Hareem K@AgentMahone07·
@TradexWhisperer @BenjaminsMutuku Slighest hint from Hyperscalers about a marginal increase in CAPEX in the upcoming earnings-that, right there, is our SEMIS relief rally. None of this cheapster K3 will matter then.
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Trade Whisperer
Trade Whisperer@TradexWhisperer·
@BenjaminsMutuku Same for all. The volatility is not going away. This is going to be a hard one to stay for most IMO. Hyperscalers earnings will just swing these guys in either direction.
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Trade Whisperer
Trade Whisperer@TradexWhisperer·
Kimi K3 costs as much to run as GPT 5.6 Sol Max. More than GPT 5.6 Terra Max. It's not just OpenAI and Anthropic burning through HBM anymore. Every new frontier model from every competitor adds another layer of memory demand at the silicon level. $MU $SKHY $DRAM
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Xynth
Xynth@xynth_m·
To celebrate the launch. We're giving away FREE ACCESS to the entire Skills library and $20 in Claude Fable-5 and GPT 5.6 Sol credits. RT + Reply to the first post with what Skill/Signal you want to use/build, and we'll send it to you. x.com/xynth_m/status…
Xynth@xynth_m

If you're a trader still not using AI you're f*ckd. We connected Claude Fable-5 and GPT Sol 5.6 to the entire stock market and gave it a virtual machine to go wild. Insane levels of alpha have been generated thus far. Heres how it works:

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Xynth
Xynth@xynth_m·
If you're a trader still not using AI you're f*ckd. We connected Claude Fable-5 and GPT Sol 5.6 to the entire stock market and gave it a virtual machine to go wild. Insane levels of alpha have been generated thus far. Heres how it works:
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Hareem K
Hareem K@AgentMahone07·
@preetkailon Damn right.They are called monstrous MAG7 for a reason. These are only ones keeping my newish portfolio breathing at this moment.
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Manpreet Kailon
Manpreet Kailon@preetkailon·
Most stocks have no bid today. None. The only thing keeping this market from looking nasty? $AAPL, $MSFT, $GOOGL, $AMZN. Strip those four out and the tape is ugly.
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Hareem K
Hareem K@AgentMahone07·
@jimcramer No, please NOO. Stay away from MAG7, they're only ones keeping me above water.
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Jim Cramer
Jim Cramer@jimcramer·
Out of components into Hyperscaler
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Hareem K
Hareem K@AgentMahone07·
@pequityresearch @chamath He has a point. When OPEX puts a dent in the pocket, businesses gonna ask why do I need premium intelligence (Anthropic) when basic intelligence does my job just fine.Then that premium tier use cases get confined to military/strategic purposes only.
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P Equity Research 📰
P Equity Research 📰@pequityresearch·
Chamath Palihapitiya @chamath on state of AI: "The CEOs and CFOs in my opinion probably have no idea how much tokemaxxing is going on inside of their organizations. I suspect what will happen is one day they will have a miss, EPS will be off by a few pennies and the CEO will say to the CFO, what happened? Where did all of this incremental operating expense come from? And they will trace it to the $50 barrel of intelligence vs $1 or $0.50 barrel of intelligence. That hasn't happened yet." I believe this is a great point made by him. You may not see this happen in larger enterprises, but quite possible it happens to the smaller. Chamath compares tokens to a barrel of oil, for a simple analogy. While Anthropic and OpenAI sell a million tokens for $26/barrel, Anthropic's latest model costs $56/barrel. Meanwhile, Elon, Zuckerberg, Sundar are selling intelligence for $1-$1.50/barrel and the Chinese are selling it for 50 cents.
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Hareem K
Hareem K@AgentMahone07·
@ActusDei I don't know whether you forgot or skipped it intentionally. Subtract from the net profits: Yearly SBLC fee @0.75% on $900k = $6,750 Processing/legal: ∼$1,000-2,000 one-time What is left is even less than a plain FCNR deposit.
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Neil Borate
Neil Borate@ActusDei·
India is giving rich NRIs a BIG subsidy. But why? Imagine if your government offered you a 15% per year tax-free return in dollars over a 5 year period. Tax-free and risk-free. You might tell me I'm mad. But this is exactly what India is offering NRIs under its leveraged FCNR scheme. Almost nothing can compete - stocks, bonds, nothing! One starts to wonder if moving to Dubai is actually an option! How does it work The NRI has $100,000 and borrows, say another $900,000. The resulting $1 million corpus earns, say a 6% FCNR interest which is $60,000 per year. On the $900,000 he pays, let's say 5%. An outflow of $45,000. He is left with a net $15,000 which is 15% return. Tax-free in India. If you live in the gulf, then tax-free in general. All this offered by nationalized banks which takes away default risk. The nationalized banks are offering the deposits. The loan is coming from their GIFT city branches or foreign banks with whom they've stitched up partnerships. The only catch is a lock-up of your capital for 3-5 years. But that doesn't seem like a big issue. Also the deposit has to be booked till September 30th. So it is a one-time window. Why this route? The FCNR route is somewhat convoluted. India could have simply issued a dollar bond at 6% and sold it to all dollar investors, regardless of them being NRI or not. Even residents with foreign earnings or assets could have been allowed to invest. Who will pay the price? Remember that RBI has backstopped the deposits, meaning it will have to repay the dollars after 3-5 years. That ultimately means us as taxpayers. We as a country are borrowing from NRIs and we will have to repay them.
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Hareem K
Hareem K@AgentMahone07·
@preetkailon Well said, all these are applicable to daily traders. For long-term investors some of these may not apply.
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Manpreet Kailon
Manpreet Kailon@preetkailon·
The market doesn’t punish bad trades. It punishes bad habits. Don’t add to losers. Don’t hold after your level breaks. Don’t size up to revenge trade. Don’t try to make it all back in one trade. Don’t confuse getting lucky with being good. Don’t average down hoping it comes back. Don’t move your stop because “it’ll bounce.” Don’t let one red day turn into a red month. Cut losers fast. Respect your levels. Same size, every trade. Take the small loss, keep the big lesson. Let winners pay for the losers. Journal the bad trades, they teach the most. Most importantly… Luck bails you out once or twice. The market always collects on bad habits. You’re not here to get lucky. You’re here to build a skill that pays you for decades.
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Hareem K
Hareem K@AgentMahone07·
@preetkailon META has literally taken off. Is it time to book profits or wait ?
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Hareem K
Hareem K@AgentMahone07·
@jimcramer Not necessarily! We are in a phase where no one can say with certainty about how much of this spending can be monetized. Too early to be scared ! I'll buy the fear that you're trying to instill into others.
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Jim Cramer
Jim Cramer@jimcramer·
These parabolic move unwinds in the semis and in the data center assisters are playing out like all other parabolic moves, vicious , sudden. Now we are in no man's land for many, too later to sell but way too early to buy.
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Manpreet Kailon
Manpreet Kailon@preetkailon·
1/4 or 1/3 size at the HTF level you love. That’s it. If the market pulls the stock down you’re barely exposed. You WANT that dip now, because you add the rest lower at better prices. Your worry became your advantage. If the stock runs without you , you’re already in. No FOMO chase, no revenge entry. You add on strength at the next confirmation level. You’ve removed the only two outcomes that destroy accounts: full size into a drawdown, and chasing after a breakout. A starter isn’t a smaller bet. It’s buying information. The position itself tells you how the stock acts against the market before you commit real size. Conviction on the stock. Respect for the tape. Both can be true.
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Hareem K
Hareem K@AgentMahone07·
@preetkailon It wasn't just on META news. NVDA buying back from Neoclouds also suggested that demand is not diverse and raised doubts on whether it's actually increasing.
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Manpreet Kailon
Manpreet Kailon@preetkailon·
Wall Street is calling the neocloud crash an overreaction $CRWV -14%. $NBIS -17%. All off ONE unconfirmed Bloomberg report about Meta selling cloud compute The analyst responses: Rosenblatt (John McPeake): Kept Buy, $250 target. Called the weakness a “buying opportunity.” Says channel checks show GPU shortages are still the norm industry-wide. Also says Meta likely doesn’t have the right to resell CoreWeave capacity it leased through 2032 Roth (Rohit Kulkarni): Called the reaction overdone. Plans are unconfirmed and would be constrained by GPU capacity. Says investors were too quick to see this as a competitive threat Evercore (Amit Daryanani): Meta is $35B of CoreWeave’s $100B backlog and those contracts are committed, long-term take-or-pay
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Hareem K
Hareem K@AgentMahone07·
@preetkailon Do you think it's a dip buy opportunity for $STX and $WDC? What I see is profit booking after parabolic runs and some rotation, macros remain intact. What's your take?
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Manpreet Kailon
Manpreet Kailon@preetkailon·
Down big doesn’t mean cheap. It means something’s wrong. Most people see a 40% drop and think “discount.” I think “what am I missing.” Until you know WHY it’s down earnings, guidance, sector rotation, macro you’re not investing, you’re gambling on a number looking small. And here’s the part nobody wants to hear: cheap can always get cheaper. I’ve watched “cheap” stocks lose another 30% because the reason it fell in the first place never actually got resolved. My rule find the reason first. Then decide if that reason still holds weight. If it does, stay away. If it’s fading, that’s when you start paying attention.
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Trade Whisperer
Trade Whisperer@TradexWhisperer·
$MU 0.04 PEG 😂 You gotta be kidding me.
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Hareem K
Hareem K@AgentMahone07·
@preetkailon True.Generational dip that will extend for a few months now. Until we start to see this CAPEX investments convert to profits.
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Manpreet Kailon
Manpreet Kailon@preetkailon·
Generational dip. Day 47.
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Hareem K
Hareem K@AgentMahone07·
@TradexWhisperer I sold nothing yesterday, deep into MU for a long term. But I can see reasons for an extended volatility from this point forward.
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Hareem K
Hareem K@AgentMahone07·
@TradexWhisperer AVGO's fall yesterday was significantly less than others in the segment because it already took a beating earlier, while it's technicals remain strong and it gives some diversity from memory & storage. I bought some yesterday !
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Trade Whisperer
Trade Whisperer@TradexWhisperer·
Hindsight on Monday: While other semis kept running substantially, $TSM and $AVGO were already flashing the warning with a 2-hr Pink Candle right at market open. That divergence was the tell. Today's gap down followed. 300+ charts daily. Try it free: patreon.com/posts/master-m…
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Trade Whisperer
Trade Whisperer@TradexWhisperer·
$MU back to 8.67x We are doing this again. Aren't we? $DRAM $SNDK
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Hareem K
Hareem K@AgentMahone07·
@BullTheoryio Today gonna be the steepest slide in semis since i started investing.
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Bull Theory
Bull Theory@BullTheoryio·
🚨 THIS IS WHY EVERYTHING IS CRASHING AT THE SAME TIME TODAY. Gold, silver, and tech stocks are all down together right now, which usually signals forced selling across markets. AI SEMICONDUCTOR DELEVERAGING South Korea's Kospi crashed 10% today, triggering a circuit breaker for the second time this month. Samsung and SK Hynix both fell more than 12%. A local media report said SK Hynix is slowing down expansion of its newest chip and shifting focus to a lower priced, commodity grade chip to cover a shortfall. For a company at the center of the AI memory boom, that reads as a signal that demand assumptions are being walked back. On top of that, Korean investors had been buying chip stocks with record amounts of borrowed money, after regulators had already warned that the sector's rally had run too hot. Once the selling started, that leverage forced even more selling, which is what turned this into a circuit breaker instead of a normal pullback. QUARTER-END REBALANCING JPMorgan warned that quarter-end rebalancing could force up to $165 billion in equity selling worldwide. Big pension funds and sovereign wealth funds have to rebalance back to fixed stock-to-bond targets after a strong run in stocks. The window runs through June 30, so we are still in the middle of it. A HAWKISH FED 9 of the Fed's 19 policymakers are projecting at least one rate hike this year, and markets are pricing a 70% chance of a hike by September. That alone raises the cost of holding risk right now. USD/JPY AND A POSSIBLE YEN INTERVENTION USD/JPY had violent wicks yesterday, the kind of move that shows up when Japan steps in to defend the yen. The pair was already sitting near levels where Japan has intervened before. If that is what happened, it disrupts the yen carry trade, where investors borrow cheap yen to fund positions in stocks and other assets globally. Unwinding that trade hits unrelated markets at the same time, which lines up with gold, silver, and stocks all dropping together today. The move was on the smaller side, so a confirmed intervention isn't certain. But it's the one thread connecting everything else here. TECH SPECIFIC WEAKNESS The Nasdaq closed down 2.33% yesterday, and futures point to another 2.50% drop today. The Dow closed up +0.29% the same day, almost entirely from one stock, Caterpillar. SpaceX fell 16% yesterday, its third straight losing day, down from $176 to $154. Alphabet fell 5% on reports of AI talent leaving. Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft all fell with them.
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Hareem K
Hareem K@AgentMahone07·
@zerohedge No plan SET does NOT mean no plan possible. Pls don't influence the sentiment.
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zerohedge
zerohedge@zerohedge·
IRAN SAYS NO PLAN SET FOR IAEA TO INSPECT NUCLEAR FACILITIES
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Hareem K
Hareem K@AgentMahone07·
@NoContextHumans The chicken patty on the left is super unhealthy. Deep Fried in cheap vegetable oil, full of saturated fats. Replace it with boiled chicken then it becomes equal. The bun also isn't healthy either, it's a complex carb (insulin resistance )
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