Alasdair Smith

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Alasdair Smith

Alasdair Smith

@AlasdairMSmith

Economist, ex-VC Univ of Sussex. Trade modelling with UKTPO/CITP. Ordinary Member, CAT. Opinions all personal.

Katılım Ocak 2012
1.1K Takip Edilen2K Takipçiler
Alasdair Smith retweetledi
Sky News
Sky News@SkyNews·
BREAKING: The speaker of Iran's parliament, Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf, has rejected Donald Trump’s claim that he has been negotiating with the U.S. Live updates: trib.al/nfN5w9b 📺 Sky 501, Virgin 602, Freeview 233 and YouTube
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Jim Cognito
Jim Cognito@JimCognito2016·
Matt Goodwin uses "the City of London" rather than "London" because he's betting on his target audience not realising that he's talking about an area with a population of 8000. A bit like when his definition of "non-white" included the King of England.
Jim Cognito tweet media
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John Ralfe
John Ralfe@JohnRalfe1·
See my @TheTimes_UK letter on @RachelReevesMP new "investment rule" . Where are the £1.4trn of unfunded public sector pension liabilities?
John Ralfe tweet media
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Alasdair Smith
Alasdair Smith@AlasdairMSmith·
@s8mb Carpisa sell such suitcases but not in UK. You do pretty much have to remove the wheels if you check the bags or they are liable to get detached in transit.
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Sam Bowman
Sam Bowman@s8mb·
Are there any suitcases that come with removable wheels, so if you're required to put them into the bag size checker they fit, but you don't lose carrying space otherwise?
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Alasdair Smith
Alasdair Smith@AlasdairMSmith·
@magpiemixture @peter_daly And one mildly amusing compensation is that BSky flashes you notifications of messages that never arrive, presumably from blocked senders - the notification is triggered before the block clicks in!
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Alasdair Smith
Alasdair Smith@AlasdairMSmith·
@magpiemixture @peter_daly What happens on BSky if you speak out in support of free speech for gender-critical feminists is not pleasant. You have to block, and you get put on some list. But the alternative is to accept that a cabal closes BSky to a range of legal and reasonable views they don’t like.
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Alasdair Smith
Alasdair Smith@AlasdairMSmith·
@Samfr @johnmcternan Indeed, I was on Prison Service Pay Review Body 2001-4 and the system was heading downhill even then.
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Sam Freedman
Sam Freedman@Samfr·
@johnmcternan First a lot of these metrics (like prison education) were already poor in 2010, and secondly the actual administration of the service is also poor. Austerity is part of the story but it's not the only part.
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Sam Freedman
Sam Freedman@Samfr·
The annual report from the chief inspector of prisons is utterly dire. One of the worst examples of state failure.
Sam Freedman tweet mediaSam Freedman tweet media
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Jim Pickard 🐋
Jim Pickard 🐋@PickardJE·
the idea of 9,000 millionaires leaving Britain sounds dramatic until you remember there are 2,849,000 millionaires in this country it’s literally a rounding error given the ebb and flow of migration
Jim Pickard 🐋 tweet media
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Alasdair Smith
Alasdair Smith@AlasdairMSmith·
@DavidHenigUK Especially since it is could be a virtue from an objective UK perspective.
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David Henig 🇺🇦
David Henig 🇺🇦@DavidHenigUK·
Labour has to reset the UKs narrative on EU relations and the sooner the better. As we've seen before, EU asks claimed to be unthinkable soon become reality, so why not make a virtue of this?
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Alasdair Smith
Alasdair Smith@AlasdairMSmith·
@JosephineCumbo Tell him not to worry; he’ll have a queue of universities making offers by the end of the day.
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Josephine Cumbo
Josephine Cumbo@JosephineCumbo·
Genuinely heart broken for son. He worked so hard for his results and was 10 points off A stars in Further Maths/Physics. No university course yet offered to him.
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Josephine Cumbo
Josephine Cumbo@JosephineCumbo·
Son achieved AAA in Physics, Further Maths and Maths and no offer from First Choice or Insurance University. Now doing mad scramble for Clearing places. Stress levels are high.
Josephine Cumbo@JosephineCumbo

Tension is running high in the household ahead of A-Level results tomorrow, which determine university places for hundreds of thousands of 18 year-olds in the UK. Meanwhile A-Level son has calmly trotted off to the pub. #A-Level2024

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Alasdair Smith
Alasdair Smith@AlasdairMSmith·
@alanbeattie She could put him in charge of wildlife protection. (Endless scope for bear jokes.)
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Alasdair Smith
Alasdair Smith@AlasdairMSmith·
@drphilhammond A common practice in competition law trials in USA and UK is a ‘hot tub’ in which expert witnesses on both sides are got together with the aim of clarifying what is common ground and what are the differences.
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Dr Phil Hammond 💙
Dr Phil Hammond 💙@drphilhammond·
A lot of expert witnesses are touchingly naive in their belief that they are independent, and not representing one side or the other. Here’s what one of the UK’s leading forensic psychiatry expert witnesses told me about the training they receive and the pressure they are put under to toe the line for the side that is paying them. “Doctors who train as experts often go on training courses run by lawyers. Whilst there is inevitably emphasis on the law in these courses, there is also a legal bias in describing ‘what makes a good expert’. What makes a good expert for a lawyer, is an expert who helps them win a case (or at least gets them the outcome they think there should be). The other issue is the question of how you know you’re a good expert. Is it if you ‘win’ cases? Is it if the judge thinks you’re good? It should be if you are genuinely clinical expert, balanced, unbiased, objective etc, but that’s not very exciting. Sometimes the most clinically expert are the most biased so it is complicated. No barrister wants an expert who lacks credibility, but they do want someone who is persuasive.”   “One requirement of experts is that they are supposed to include, in their opinion, the range of possible opinions. They should not be ‘arguing’ anything but if they do fall on one side of a fence, they should explain why, but also include what is on the other side. It’s a confirmation bias point, but a lot of people don’t even glance over the fence. Again, if you were to ask the lawyers, they would be a bit reluctant for their expert to do this too much. I’ve certainly been encouraged not to give the other side of the argument.”  Which is precisely why a fair trial requires experts on both sides, and Letby – whether guilty of innocent - should be allowed a retrial in my view, so that all the experts articulating the science and statistics that weren’t heard in the original trial can now be heard by a jury. You are of course welcome to your view.
Simon_Lucy@Simon_Lucy

@drphilhammond It isn't a side. Expert witnesses are responsible to the Court not to one or other side. The prosecution and defence have the opportunity to examine that evidence. They can use whatever expert advice to prepare that examination, no doubt that is what the defence did.

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Alasdair Smith
Alasdair Smith@AlasdairMSmith·
@pmdfoster @fetzert @bencobley What some train enthusiast (not me) discovered! Would like to link it to the decision in the same department at the same time to upgrade the A23 between Handcross and Warninglid to a lower standard than rest of A23 as another permanent testament to short-sighted austerity.
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Peter Foster
Peter Foster@pmdfoster·
No plugs. No tables and, most of time, no WiFi. This is a Thameslink train. It serves as main link between London and Brighton/Cambridge. Prime commuter line. 000s of wasted hours. It’s like the UK is *built* for low-productivity. The worst kind of penny-pinching procurement.
Peter Foster tweet media
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Thiemo Fetzer 🇪🇺🇺🇦 - same handle elsewhere
And how do you think that works? The EU forced the UK to buy trains without sockets etc? No. If you followed the other bits in the thread there actually was a person @AlasdairMSmith who seemed familiar with the decision back then and pointed out it was very much a decision of the buyer (the UK).
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Alasdair Smith
Alasdair Smith@AlasdairMSmith·
@fetzert @pmdfoster I recall (sorry forgotten the documentation) that the decision not to have tables or power sockets (or in many trains WiFi) was made by a minor civil servant.
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Thiemo Fetzer 🇪🇺🇺🇦 - same handle elsewhere
Yes, and on most trains you dont even have space to work despite poor wifi, poor connectivity. EU trains are MUCH better. I do think penny pinching is a key to it, but I think some is also explained by short platforms and just old infrastructure and baked in institutional conservatism. It is a tax on productivity, breeds frustration, passive aggressiveness and well, I think quite polarized rural/urban divides.
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Alasdair Smith
Alasdair Smith@AlasdairMSmith·
@boulezian Great to see you back. The site has deteriorated in your absence (only partly because of your absence).
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Alasdair Smith
Alasdair Smith@AlasdairMSmith·
@redmondmichael1 @MooseAllain I vaguely remember a Glasgow story of a young woman with a baby buying chips and saying “no vinegar, they’re for the wean”.
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