Gabriel S

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Gabriel S

Gabriel S

@AlbertaOG

Surveying (mapping) Alberta oil & gas + BC mining 🇨🇦

Katılım Kasım 2020
880 Takip Edilen1.2K Takipçiler
Gabriel S
Gabriel S@AlbertaOG·
@nadinelindsey_ Sorry that was the Ivanhoe option. Touramline was Jan 2028 for 80$ strike.
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Gabriel S
Gabriel S@AlbertaOG·
@nadinelindsey_ I went farthest duration I could choose - January 2028. 20$ strike. For $1.55 today. I figure the big companies like Touramline, you might get a 2x if it runs really good. 2x is ... meh, but the option, could do 20x.
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Gabriel S
Gabriel S@AlbertaOG·
@nadinelindsey_ I got o&g stocks in January, and a few call options. Strathcona I'm up about 45%, the option I'm up about 6x.
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Junior Mining Pro
Junior Mining Pro@juniorminingpro·
@AlbertaOG I'm not in the macro calling business :) Going to stay in my lane and find 10 baggers that will execute over time.
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Junior Mining Pro
Junior Mining Pro@juniorminingpro·
Watching the X macro experts justify their Q4-2025 $200 silver, $15 copper and $10,000 gold forecasts.
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🏴‍☠️
🏴‍☠️@calvinfroedge·
I think the gold miner sell off maybe overdone
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Vancouver Island Guy 🌊
Vancouver Island Guy 🌊@VanIsleInvestor·
If you missed Round 1 on Lumber... Round 2 is currently loading as the economic risk escalates on higher energy prices... 🌲🪓🪵 Watching 👀
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Gate 14 Podcast
Gate 14 Podcast@Gate14Pod·
ADDISON BARGER OH MY
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Gabriel S
Gabriel S@AlbertaOG·
@Gate14Pod Guys got some work to do after going 0-9 in game 6 and 7 of world series.
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Gate 14 Podcast
Gate 14 Podcast@Gate14Pod·
DAULTON VARSHO OFF TARIK SKUBAL. 2026 VARSHO IS GOING NUCLEAR
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mistersunshinebaby
mistersunshinebaby@mrsunshinebaby·
🚨 This Canadian premier just accused Donald Trump of starting the Iran war to cover up the Epstein Files
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Gabriel S
Gabriel S@AlbertaOG·
@Zerosumgame33 Did I just hear in the call they hedged into q1 2028 at $64 a barrel?
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0SG
0SG@Zerosumgame33·
$PROP Napkin math... Best case scenario valuation: Hudson Bay "plays ball" by agreeing to "Scenario A" Step-In-Rights ---> loaning $PROP $158M to buyout the toxic $158M/$1.15 conversion pref due 3/26 in the form of Sr. Secured Debt that is pari-passu to the existing RBL facility. Shitty quality comps (seen below) trade 3-4.5x EBITDA. $PROP exited 2025 @ $260M EBITDA. Net out the $417M RBL drawn at 9/30 & insert new $158M Hudson Bay Sr. Debt. Fair value purely on fundamentals alone would justify ~$3.50 up to $10.....
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0SG@Zerosumgame33

$PROP 🚨read the prospectus. The Senior step-in rights. Triggered w/ stock < $2/share. Hudson Bay can come in here and loan $PROP Sr. Debt w/ assets collateralized to wipe the pref. Does Hudson Bay play ball? Read Part A. Hudson can agree to amend the RBL facility and get pari-debt collaterialized by the same assets as the RBL. Why? to get senior in the cap stack. Stock absolutely rips higher if this happens.

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Leo
Leo@LeoNelissen·
Remember when people said we should sell Canadian oil stocks because of Venezuela? Good times. Chart: $CNQ
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