Alexander Long

hello there the jacobian conjecture is false thanx to my close friend akhil for asking about it and my other close friend fable for working during the world cup final ((1+xy)^3 z + y^2 (1+xy) (4+3xy), y + 3 x (1+xy)^2 z + 3 x y^2 (4+3xy), 2 x - 3 x^2 y - x^3 z): \C^3\to \C^3, has jacobian determinant -2, and sends (0, 0, -1/4), (1, -3/2, 13/2), and (-1, 3/2, 13/2) to (-1/4, 0, 0)

In AI 2027, we predicted that AI would take over the world or irreversibly concentrate power. In AI 2040: Plan A, we've laid out our positive vision for what should happen instead.

put simply, i think this claim is incredibly false, and this is what drives a lot of my understanding and assumptions around how all this will play out. i think viewing models as slowly replacing individual tasks and functions and "locking in" once they achieve sufficient capabilities there is deeply myopic. we will not have "the prior economy except with models doing the work". in fact what will happen is the same thing that always happens. new capabilities will lead to *new categories* of work, done by models not humans, and create huge swaths of value that was previously untouchable and incomprehensible. when you can pay for frontier++ intelligence to loop and automatically discover 3 new world-changing drugs per month, people will pay for this. in fact they will saturate spend on this, because the value of these opportunities is so so high. when you can pay for frontier++ intelligence to fanned-out run entire companies as mini experiments, you will do such, because it gives massive competitive advantage and scale in every possible niche. or maybe *you* won't, but others will, and they'll be the ones who remain economically relevant while you're having GLM 5.2 rewrite your emails and update your SaaS landing page. when frontier++ models are capable of iterating on chip design and distributed software architectures we currently view as only possible with decades of effort, countless corporations will pay the costs, because they'll generate economic returns at scales orders of magnitudes above what models are doing now. the intelligence waterline keeps marching up. so you solved health insurance claims review with a fine-tuned Qwen that achieves 100% perfect accuracy at optimal cost without frontier models? awesome, yeah honestly that will make you a bunch of money for a while especially given regulations are gonna be slow to change. but *relative to what will happen elsewhere*, your slice of the pie will shrink to irrelevance, because other newer areas will be so so so much more incredibly valuable.