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Alfred Lin
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Alfred Lin
@Alfred_Lin
Partner @sequoia. Working w/ founders from idea to IPO & beyond: @airbnb @doordash @citsecurities @kalshi @clay @foundforbiz @Nominal_io @zipline
San Francisco, CA, USA Katılım Mart 2008
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“The people who see you most clearly should be your best and worst references.”
Another banger from @Alfred_Lin.
That’s why most important people in your life need to give you Radical Candor.
Alfred Lin@Alfred_Lin
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@victor_zhng What have been some of the more interesting answers you've received?
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@Alfred_Lin Most interesting thing to know: what are they afraid of
People are driven by fear more often than not.
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@GailPedra Hadn't heard of the interview illusion as a named cognitive bias despite referencing it
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@Alfred_Lin Masterful breakdown of the interview illusion! 📸
The filter-upon-filter photography metaphor perfectly captures how distorted hiring can be. Love the practical twist on requesting a "worst reference"—it's a brilliant way to uncover real introspection and authenticity.
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@Alfred_Lin said perfectly by @david__booth
> the strongest signal is what others say about you in their most authentic exchanges with one another
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Alfred Lin@Alfred_Lin
.@mansourtarek_ on @Kalshi: “The thing that was unique about us is we never pivoted. It was always Kalshi. We were dragged by the idea. I wasn't the type that wanted to be an entrepreneur. I think if you re-roll the dice multiple times, I'd probably just be a trader or risk manager. I would not be an entrepreneur. But the idea was so glaring in front of us that we just had to do it.” Successful founders will often tell you that the idea pulled them, not the other way around. Kalshi walked through the desert for six years. Most teams reset the idea once the desert gets long enough. They never did, because they were dragged by the idea, not short-term outcomes. When they persevered and became the first regulated prediction market, they compounded to ~95% US market share. The patience to do things right became an advantage, not a constraint. Keep the long game in mind when you feel like you're in the desert.
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@Alfred_Lin @kritishgl Agreed. Hope is what sustains you when very little works or makes sense.
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Hope may not be a strategy, but hope plays an important and central role in any winning strategy.
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@Alfred_Lin Amen! Optimism and pessimism are both self-fulfilling prophecies.
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@chrisfralic How do you measure that and avoid adverse selection? Akin to at a certain level, you no longer ask for a resume. I can imagine the best people actually had the highest ROI on their preparation - minimal time but they found the things that mattered.
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@Alfred_Lin I use it as a gauge of how interested they really are and how much preparation they are willing to do around an opportunity. Particularly for sales and business leaders. I have mostly been surprised by how *little* homework had been done.
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“I have been asking for a person's worst reference and why since Zappos. Generally, this question puts the conversation into a more vulnerable discussion”
Alfred Lin@Alfred_Lin
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@sushrutabasak I like that question re how they impact others around them
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@danh_trang I like this. Like a data-driven "how do you treat the server".
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@Alfred_Lin ask people to show you their uber/lyft passenger rating. one of the more randomized/repeated signals (albeit of a specific dimension...and not without its own bias)
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@RohitKGoenka What have been some of the most memorable responses?
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@Alfred_Lin That's fair. Not mine, but I tend to ask what's the hardest thing they've ever done.
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@Alfred_Lin “What did you do to prepare for this interview today?”
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@theXipuLi Stated preferences/behaviors vs revealed preferences/behaviors
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@Alfred_Lin We tend to overindexing on what ppl say but not what they do
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@RohitKGoenka The worst reference one used to be my favorite. I hesitate to share my new favorites since then everyone comes pre-prepared to answer them. What are yours?
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@Wickey_WW Agreed on all of this - your worst reference can also care about you the most and be the most committed to helping
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@Alfred_Lin The best who see your potential improvement points gives you suggestions at private, shows you examples, shares personal experiences, discusses the reasons of why to understand you and helps to understand the importance of the changes. :)
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Alfred Lin retweetledi
We are building the next generation of finance.
Kalshi@Kalshi
Now introducing Kalshi Pro Trade multiple markets with maximum speed, efficiency, and customizability.
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