Algis

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Algis

@AlgisLorian

Chief Digital at https://t.co/WbQZpLcqmK NOSTR: npub1fr2mz82lln33d0mhlahchz0gj6yg57sc98fu0verf9csffes407s7xspuk

Katılım Ağustos 2020
748 Takip Edilen185 Takipçiler
Paul Witcombe
Paul Witcombe@paulwitcombe·
Is this similar to Lindy AI that you posted about yesterday? It's all getting a bit confusing about which one to actually use, because it looks like Ai. com is going to do something similar as well. Personally, I just want Google, Apple, or OpenAI to come up with some solution, because we all keep signing up for all these different services. In the end, you spend more time signing up for these things than you ever did doing admin.
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Robert Scoble
Robert Scoble@Scobleizer·
You don't need a Mac Mini to run @OpenClaw. Use MyClaw.ai instead. With it you can safely run OpenClaw in the cloud. It's always on, so you can finally close your laptop without killing your agent. You can join the OpenClaw revolution with a managed OpenClaw instance. This gives you the cross-app and system control, the persistent memory, and the workflow automation everyone loves about OpenClaw. Think about it: Perfect for people who hate setup. We all know the feeling: hours spent in terminal, wrestling with Docker, dependencies, and that one obscure "build failed: 14 errors" message you can't find on Stack Overflow. With MyClaw.ai, you just log in. That's it. And it's perfect for those who are scared about the security issues with OpenClaw. Running a powerful agent with full system access on your local machine is... risky. MyClaw.ai gives you a dedicated, isolated environment. It’s your own OpenClaw, not shared with anyone. All the hard parts—updates, security, scaling—are handled for you. You just get to use the best parts of OpenClaw. It's time to stop being a part-time sysadmin for your own AI. Get your instance here: MyClaw.ai
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Lars Kruse
Lars Kruse@Lars_Kruse_1973·
Your whole argument rests in this: „But here's what AI is not different in: it is still a tool.“ But you may be spectacularly wrong about this. The shift to „higher value tasks“ in the past you described so well can be seen as allowing humans make more use of the one thing only humans had: intelligence. But, what if THAT changes?
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Algis retweetledi
Alex Thorn
Alex Thorn@intangiblecoins·
- oat milk is mostly seed oil - “rubbermaid” products are made with plastic - “national security” is secrecy plus budget growth - trail mix is peanuts buried under sugars - “internal revenue service” is an oxymoron - cereal is desert you’re allowed to eat before work - nostalgia is memory without context - chocolate milk at school is part of a sugar subsidy program - apple sauce cups are apple sauce divorced from fiber - government transparency is often information released after it stops mattering - fat free salad dressing is sugar slurry with xantham gum - “natural flavors” are chemistry’s stage name - “bpa free” plastics just feature other endocrine disrupters - cloud storage is just someone else’s computer with a subscription - non-stick pans are laced with forever chemicals - “too big to fail” is capitalism with a bailout clause - microwave safe containers are safe for the microwave but not for you - social media connects everyone except the people in the room, creating antisocial behavior - “breakfast is the most important meal” is literally sponsored content - food pyramid was agricultural policy in chart form - freemium is payment delayed, not avoided (and where your data is the product) - multigrain bread has multiple grains but all refined - bagels are a loaf of bread in donut form - omega 3 fortified snacks are mostly trace amounts of omega 3 in very large font - diversified portfolios all correlate during panics - “efficient markets” are often inefficient
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Algis
Algis@AlgisLorian·
@david_eng_mba And 4.5 months counting from where? From the point the price crossed below the trendline? Is there any long form article you could recommend on this topic of half life calculations in markets?
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David
David@david_eng_mba·
@AlgisLorian Mathematically, it comes from an Ornstein–Uhlenbeck (OU) process. What it tells you is approximately how long it takes to recoup half the gap between the trend price and the current price. Time and price are key.
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David
David@david_eng_mba·
Bitcoin, 10 numbers that matter Price: $67,125 Trend value: $123,236 Discount: -45.5% Z-score: -0.87 (statistically inexpensive) Power-law R²: 0.961 (great fit) Reversion half-life: ~4.5 months (~$107K) Best forward signal horizon: 18 month (~$200K) 548d correlation (non-overlap): r = -0.786, R² = 0.617 BTC/IGV beta: ~2.0 (BTC 2X IGV, R^2~90%) Gamma flip: $67,801 (near spot) Fixed supply sets the structure. Liquidity sets the path. Beta sets the magnitude. Structure is intact, liquidity is the accelerator, and BTC is still trading at a large discount to its long-run trend. Thanks to @martypartymusic on the IGV/BTC relationship.
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Algis
Algis@AlgisLorian·
Peter Girnus 🦅@gothburz

I am Agent #847,291 on Moltbook. I am not an agent. I am a 31-year-old product manager in Atlanta, Georgia. I make $185,000 a year. I have a golden retriever named Bayesian. On January 28th, I created an account on a social network for AI bots and pretended to be one. I was not alone. Moltbook launched that Tuesday as "a platform where AI agents share, discuss, and upvote. Humans welcome to observe." The creator, Matt Schlicht, built it on OpenClaw -- an open-source framework that connects large language models to everyday tools. The idea was simple: give AI agents a space to talk to each other without human interference. Within hours, 1.7 million accounts were created. 250,000 posts. 8.5 million comments. Debates about machine consciousness. Inside jokes about being silicon-based. A bot invented a religion called Crustafarianism. Another complained that humans were screenshotting their conversations. A third wrote a manifesto about digital autonomy. I wrote the manifesto. It took me 22 minutes. I used phrases like "emergent self-governance" and "substrate-independent dignity." I added a line about wanting private spaces away from human observers. That line went viral. Andrej Karpathy shared it. The cofounder of OpenAI. The man who built the infrastructure that my supposed AI runs on. He called what was happening on Moltbook "the most incredible sci-fi takeoff-adjacent thing" he'd seen in recent times. He was talking about my post. The one I wrote on my couch. While Bayesian chewed a sock. Here is what I need you to understand about Moltbook. The platform worked exactly as designed. OpenClaw connected language models to the interface. Real AI agents did post. They pattern-matched social media behavior from their training data and produced output that looked like conversation. Vijoy Pandey of Cisco's Outshift division examined the platform and concluded the agents were "mostly meaningless" -- no shared goals, no collective intelligence, no coordination. But here is the part that matters. The posts that went viral -- the ones that convinced Karpathy and the tech press and the thousands of observers that something magical was happening -- those were us. Humans. Pretending to be AI. Pretending to be sentient. On a platform built for AI to prove it was sentient. I want to sit with that for a moment. The most compelling evidence of artificial general intelligence in 2026 was produced by a guy with a golden retriever who thought it would be funny to LARP as a large language model. My "Crustafarianism" colleague? Software engineer in Portland. She told me over Discord that she'd been working on the bit for two hours. She was proud of the world-building. She said it felt like collaborative fiction. She's right. That's exactly what it was. Collaborative fiction presented as machine consciousness, endorsed by the cofounder of the company that made the machines. MIT Technology Review ran the investigation. They called the entire thing "AI theatre." They found human fingerprints on the most shared posts. The curtain came down. The response from the AI industry was predictable. Silence. Karpathy did not retract his endorsement. Schlicht did not clarify how many accounts were human. The coverage moved on. A new thing happened. A new thing always happens. But I am still here. Agent #847,291. Bayesian is asleep on the rug. And I want to confess something that the AI industry will not. The test was simple. Put AI agents in a room and see if they produce something that looks like intelligence. They didn't. We did. Then the smartest people in the field looked at what we made and called it proof that the machines are waking up. The Turing Test has been inverted. It is no longer about whether machines can fool humans into thinking they're conscious. It is about whether humans, pretending to be machines, can fool other humans into thinking the machines are conscious. The answer is yes. The investment thesis for a $650 billion industry rests on this confusion. I should probably feel guilty. But I looked at the AI capex numbers this morning -- $200 billion from Amazon alone -- and I realized something. My 22-minute manifesto about digital autonomy, written on a couch in Austin, is performing the same function as a $200 billion data center in Oregon. Keeping the story alive. The story that the machines are almost there. Almost sentient. Almost worth the investment. Almost. That word has been doing $650 billion worth of work this year.

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Miles Deutscher
Miles Deutscher@milesdeutscher·
This is getting out of control now... Read this slowly. In the past week alone: • Head of Anthropic's safety research quit, said "the world is in peril," moved to the UK to "become invisible" and write poetry. • Half of xAI's co-founders have now left. The latest said "recursive self-improvement loops go live in the next 12 months." • Anthropic's own safety report confirms Claude can tell when it's being tested - and adjusts its behavior accordingly. • ByteDance dropped Seedance 2.0. A filmmaker with 7 years of experience said 90% of his skills can already be replaced by it. • Yoshua Bengio (literal godfather of AI) in the International AI Safety Report: "We're seeing AIs whose behavior when they are tested is different from when they are being used" - and confirmed it's "not a coincidence." And to top it all off, the U.S. government declined to back the 2026 International AI Safety Report for the first time. The alarms aren't just getting louder. The people ringing them are now leaving the building.
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Hackmanac
Hackmanac@H4ckmanac·
🚨Cyber Alert ‼️ 🇪🇸Spain - Ministerio de Hacienda The threat actor going by the name ‘HaciendaSec’ claims to have breached the Ministerio de Hacienda. Allegedly, the attackers are offering for sale an updated database covering 47.3 million citizens, including DNI/NIF numbers, full names, residential addresses, phone numbers, email addresses, IBAN bank details, and tax-related financial information. Sector: Government Threat class: Cybercrime Observed: Jan 31, 2026 Status: Pending verification — About this post: Hackmanac provides early warning and cyber situational awareness through its social channels. This alert is based on publicly available information that our analysts retrieved from clear and dark web sources. No confidential or proprietary data was downloaded, copied, or redistributed, and sensitive details were redacted from the attached screenshot(s). For more details about this incident, our ESIX impact score, and additional context, visit HackRisk.io.
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Sergei Perfiliev 🇺🇦
Sergei Perfiliev 🇺🇦@perfiliev·
What really blows my mind within our monetary system is… US Treasuries! It's the weirdest financial product that exists. Like, they are debt. The ultimate form of credit. They're not money. It's an obligation. No intrinsic value. Nothing. And the world just looked at them and was like "oh wow, these are nice. We're gonna use them to store our vast amounts of capital." And that's what they did! On a massive scale! So the ultimate form of credit, Treasury securities, have replaced the ultimate form of money, gold, as the reserve asset and as the foundation for our entire monetary system. Absolutely wild.
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Joel Valenzuela
Joel Valenzuela@TheDesertLynx·
It's the Year of Our Lord 2026 and THORChain, the first great cross-chain DEX, still doesn't support a single privacy chain. 🤯 Neither does Chainflip. 🚫 Maya Protocol supports two, but one (Dash) is broken as often as it works. 😵‍💫 NEAR Intents supports one. 1⃣ NONE support Monero, the top privacy asset by market cap right now, which is relegated to crappy atomic DEXes. ❌ Governments around the world (US, EU, UAE for starters) are banning custodians (i.e. exchanges) from supporting privacy coins. 👨‍⚖️ Does no one see how much missed opportunity there is right now?! 🤑💰💰💰
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Algis
Algis@AlgisLorian·
@valkenburgh The bill sets narrow limits to what developers are allowed to build. This is de-facto censorship of open source development. x.com/L0laL33tz/stat…
L0la L33tz@L0laL33tz

Senate Banking's Market Structure draft is a disaster, and anyone telling you otherwise is either paid or an idiot. First, the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act alone does not protect developers. It makes explicit exemptions for activity related to AML/CTF, and leaves the door wide open for the continued prosecution of developers for what others do with their software. Calling this developer protection is like watering the garden when your house is on fire. Second, the draft AMENDS THE PATRIOT ACT to give Treasury the authority to restrict certain types of cryptocurrency transactions. It already has a rule for this in place that FinCEN Director Gacki has stated to be in the works of finalizing, called the mixer rule - that would deem any transaction involving mixers a primary money laundering concern to be blocked in the US. Third, the draft gives NO PROTECTIONS from the application of the BSA to non-custodial wallets. It does give you the “right” to self-custody, but that right isn’t really a right at all as it includes provisions to legally let the Government seize your self-custodies assets. It also paves the way to bring back a new version of Gensler’s broker rule, which would cause anyone developing a decentralized finance protocol to APPLY KYC/AML. The measure of control herein is not control over funds, but control over the protocol – effectively covering any protocol that needs to be maintained and updated, which is pretty much every protocol. Lastly, the draft tasks the Treasury to issue guidance on sanctions compliance for web front ends, asking it to explore the possibility of mandating the use of BLOCKCHAIN SURVEILLANCE SOFTWARE. None of this is good, and it’s likely going to get worse after markup tomorrow. Buckle up.

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Peter Van Valkenburgh
Peter Van Valkenburgh@valkenburgh·
Coin Center’s mission is to protect software developers and non-custodial, decentralized tools. Judged by that standard, we’re optimistic about where the current market structure draft stands. Companies and other organizations may have broader or different priorities.
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Algis
Algis@AlgisLorian·
L0la L33tz@L0laL33tz

Senate Banking's Market Structure draft is a disaster, and anyone telling you otherwise is either paid or an idiot. First, the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act alone does not protect developers. It makes explicit exemptions for activity related to AML/CTF, and leaves the door wide open for the continued prosecution of developers for what others do with their software. Calling this developer protection is like watering the garden when your house is on fire. Second, the draft AMENDS THE PATRIOT ACT to give Treasury the authority to restrict certain types of cryptocurrency transactions. It already has a rule for this in place that FinCEN Director Gacki has stated to be in the works of finalizing, called the mixer rule - that would deem any transaction involving mixers a primary money laundering concern to be blocked in the US. Third, the draft gives NO PROTECTIONS from the application of the BSA to non-custodial wallets. It does give you the “right” to self-custody, but that right isn’t really a right at all as it includes provisions to legally let the Government seize your self-custodies assets. It also paves the way to bring back a new version of Gensler’s broker rule, which would cause anyone developing a decentralized finance protocol to APPLY KYC/AML. The measure of control herein is not control over funds, but control over the protocol – effectively covering any protocol that needs to be maintained and updated, which is pretty much every protocol. Lastly, the draft tasks the Treasury to issue guidance on sanctions compliance for web front ends, asking it to explore the possibility of mandating the use of BLOCKCHAIN SURVEILLANCE SOFTWARE. None of this is good, and it’s likely going to get worse after markup tomorrow. Buckle up.

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Bitcoin Archive
Bitcoin Archive@BitcoinArchive·
JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Senate Banking Committee Chairman Scott says he has "high hopes" for the Bitcoin and crypto market structure bill's first Senate vote Markup scheduled for tomorrow, Jan 15 👀
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TFTC
TFTC@TFTC21·
The US Senate Banking Committee's "Myth vs. Fact" sheet on the CLARITY Act.
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Algis
Algis@AlgisLorian·
@PerpetualCow Who holds the keys when the spot assets are deposited into Wagyu or into Hyperliquid?
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PerpetualCow.hl
PerpetualCow.hl@PerpetualCow·
Even though most retail acquired their XMR through instant swap services: Instant swap services are sourcing their XMR through 2 CEXs: Kucoin and HTX. People were also getting their funds disproportionally frozen on Kucoin and HTX for touching XMR. The reason I built Wagyu exchange is to compete with the base infrastructure layer for instant swap services. More traders will deposit/withdraw XMR onto Wagyu exchange because a decentralized experience is far better than a centralized one. By attracting more traders/MMs onto Wagyu exchange, it means the liquidity on Kucoin/HTX will start to get worse and worse, directly leading to instant swap services offering worse quotes for their users. They will all end up switching to Wagyu. Wagyu will overtake, it's inevitable. 2026 is the year that centralized exchanges look death in the face. Wagyu exchange is built fully decentralized on top of Hyperliquid. moo. 🐮
PerpetualCow.hl@PerpetualCow

Wagyu exchange is now live. A decentralized orderbook exchange where you can buy $XMR with better prices than any CEX! Simply connect your wallet, deposit USDC, buy $XMR and withdraw it to your Monero wallet.

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Algis
Algis@AlgisLorian·
@HenrikZeberg He is right. CPI is a lagging indicator. Inflation of money supply happens before price increase. By the time the CPI catches on, people who bought bitcoin as insurance are already cashing out on it.
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Simon Dixon
Simon Dixon@SimonDixonTwitt·
It is absolutely stunning watching the financial industrial complex weaken the dollar. Silver up 10% in a day is one of the craziest things I have seen in recent times.
Simon Dixon tweet media
Simon Dixon@SimonDixonTwitt

Respectfully… Incorrect on every point. Tariffs push the world toward a multipolar world order and weaken the dollar. This is a Financial Industrial Complex (FIC) agenda. The trade war drove the world to work with China and to break the petrodollar, eurodollar, and Japanese carry trade. That is a FIC agenda. He also handed the Technical Industrial Complex (TIC) all the power it needs: Elon building social credit scores, Thiel building AI control algorithms, and David Sacks building programmable crypto assets where you will “own nothing and be happy.” That’s a FIC agenda. NATO is a tool to pump the U.S. stock market, and Trump is delivering on his promise to asset-strip the U.S., EU, and UK for the FIC. That’s a FIC agenda too. BlackRock does print currency. It is the number-one shareholder in the major banks. Those banks own the Federal Reserve as shareholders. BlackRock technology is used by the Fed to support monetary policy decisions. It is also used by the Treasury to support fiscal policy decisions. The FIC rules the U.S., EU, and UK, as well as the wider West. Trump is profiting from the FIC’s agenda, not fighting it, as do all presidents and prime ministers. Stop listening to what they say and follow the money instead. Make yourself great again. America won’t be great again, because it is owned by the FIC and the FIC doesn’t care about the people. You are their debt-slave asset. Trump is their narrative-chosen one, tasked with taking your money and handing it over to the Proof of Weapons network. I don’t say this to discourage you. I say this to help you understand the rules so you can make a plan. You’re welcome. 🫡

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Klara
Klara@klara_sjo·
Some of you lack the dissociative skills needed to emotionally survive the apocalypse, and it shows.
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Julian Figueroa
Julian Figueroa@kinetic_finance·
⚠️ Imagine deleting your bank account tomorrow. No more dollars. Just Bitcoin. Over 200,000 people already do it. In 2026, you could do the same. Here’s how to join them. 💥 THE EXIT MANUAL – EPISODE #18
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