Andrew J. Tabler

“If the regime holds on—even a rump regime—what is to stop its missiles and drones from threatening tankers through the Strait of Hormuz, and the energy infrastructure of America’s Gulf allies at the time of their choosing?” said Andrew Tabler, a White House official in Trump’s first administration and senior fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy. “Its ability to impact energy prices would be enormous.” @Andrewtabler wsj.com/world/middle-e…

Great and succinct historical comparison of current Iran conflict to past crises affecting energy supplies from @Bob_McNally

Iran Signals a Fight to the End With Appointment of Khamenei’s Son wsj.com/world/middle-e…

“We are looking at what is by far the biggest disruption in world history in terms of daily oil production,” said energy historian Daniel Yergin. “If it goes on for weeks, it will reverberate across the global economy.” wsj.com/world/middle-e…

A lot of cloak and worrisome daggers here as all eyes on war with Iran. reuters.com/world/middle-e…

Must read from my colleague ⁦@DevorahMargolin⁩ on major unanswered questions on former ISIS detainees in NE Syria . Occurring unfortunately as ISIS attacks increase. Watch this space. ⁦@WashInstitute⁩ foreignpolicy.com/2026/02/25/syr…

U.S. Is Withdrawing All Forces From Syria, Officials Say wsj.com/world/middle-e…

MUST WATCH: Tune in at 10AM ET as Amb. James Jeffrey and @Andrewtabler testify before the House Foreign Affairs Committee. @HouseForeignGOP @HouseForeign foreignaffairs.house.gov/committee-acti…

Small town newspaper that did the most robust reporting during the beginning of the industrial age when the oil boom struck in Pennsylvania--giving birth to Carnegie, Rockefeller & muckracking journalism that led to the breakup of Standard Oil--to close open.substack.com/pub/salenazito…

Tune in on Tuesday, February 10 at 10AM ET as Amb. James Jeffrey and @Andrewtabler testify before the House Foreign Affairs Committee. @HouseForeignGOP @HouseForeign foreignaffairs.house.gov/committee-acti…

My article . Deep dive on how #the US got the #SDF to capitulate to #Damascus en.majalla.com/node/329476/do…

Exclusive: According to the agreement between #Syr Gov and #SDF signed on January 27 and announced on January 30, on the first day—Monday—15 security vehicles will enter both al-Hasakah and Qamishli. On the following day, the Rumeilan and Suwaydiyah oil fields will be handed over, with employees integrated into the Ministry of Energy. On the third day, Qamishli Airport, from which Russia has withdrawn, will be handed over to the Civil Aviation Authority, and a team from the Border Crossings Authority will be sent to the Semalka crossing. There will be a military withdrawal from the cities of al-Hasakah and Qamishli to agreed-upon barracks, with the army withdrawing to al-Shaddadi after the completion of the evacuation of ISIS elements. After that, the process of integrating the institutions of the Autonomous Administration into state institutions will begin, and employees will be formally confirmed in their positions. The agreement also includes the start of forming a military division consisting of three brigades for al-Hasakah and one brigade in Ayn al-Arab (Kobani). According to a source speaking to Al-Majalla, this means restructuring and forming three brigades into a division comprising about 16,000 fighters from the Kurdish People’s Protection Units (YPG), who had been part of the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) before a large number of Arab fighters left it, as well as forming a brigade of about 6,000 fighters in Ayn al-Arab (Kobani). The agreement includes appointing key positions such as the Governor of al-Hasakah, the Assistant Minister of Defense, and the Deputy Director of Security for al-Hasakah (with the SDF nominating and Damascus approving). Damascus has appointed Marwan al-Ali (formerly Director of Criminal Security) as Director of Security in al-Hasakah.

We are making available free of charge our latest map of Syria's oil and gas fields. Don't hesitate to download it and use it as a reference. This map came with an extensive interview we did with SPC officials who gave us a detailed breakdown of the status of all the fields that the government took control of in the past week. @TheSyriaReport . The Syria Report has more than 900 articles on Syria's energy sector, including 48 articles in the past year alone (one evry week!).

Syrian President Called the U.S.’s Bluff—and It Paid Off wsj.com/world/middle-e…

"As military, security, and government-aligned tribal forces advance in northeast Syria and the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) retreat, all eyes are rightly on the extent of Islamic State (IS) prisoners escaping from detention facilities," writes @Andrewtabler. washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysi…

New from @DevorahMargolin: As the situation in Syria evolves, questions are flooding in about the status of IS detention sites run by the SDF, the future of the detainee repatriation effort, and the role that the U.S. has played—and should keep playing—on both issues. washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysi…

Between this impending U.S. withdrawal and sanctions being gone, everything will be on Sharaa’s government now It will succeed or fail based on its own policies and merit

Kurdish collapse in northeast Syria? @Andrewtabler, Amb. James Jeffrey, @DevorahMargolin, @azelin, @SonerCagaptay, Zohar Palti, and Assaf Orion assess the immediate fallout of the Syrian government’s advance into SDF-held parts of the northeast. washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysi…