AuMember

119 posts

AuMember

AuMember

@AuMember

Au&Ag&U Learning from people smarter than me and shitposting in the meantime

Cayman Islands Katılım Aralık 2019
891 Takip Edilen110 Takipçiler
El Mapa del Inversor 🗺️
El Mapa del Inversor 🗺️@ElMapaInversor·
Classifying Bitcoin purely as a traditional 'risk asset' to trade around weekend oil volatility completely misses the larger structural shift, Andreas. 📉📊 While retail traders try to play Monday's paper correlations, the 'Smart Money' isn't looking at risk-on/risk-off metrics. They are using these liquidity events to systematically rotate capital out of a melting fiat system and into absolute mathematical scarcity. It's not a short-term risk trade; it's the flight to Atoms. 🧱🚀"
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Andreas Steno Larsen
Andreas Steno Larsen@AndreasSteno·
Oil down, risk assets up on Monday now?
Andreas Steno Larsen tweet media
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AuMember
AuMember@AuMember·
@RetirementRight As of 1pm, closed rn for Presidents’ Day so it hasn’t priced the news
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AuMember
AuMember@AuMember·
@MacroAlf @RaoulGMI For someone who’s less familiar with this market, is there any reason inversion is showing up in the OIS curve first? Any resources you can share on the OIS curve dynamics and it’s implications would be helpful
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Alf
Alf@MacroAlf·
In the US, we got the first relevant curve inversion The slope between 5y and 30y OIS swaps (reflecting the expected path for Fed Funds future over time) briefly traded below 0 yesterday @RaoulGMI is very attentive to these turns: what do you make of this first inversion? 6/
Alf tweet media
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Alf
Alf@MacroAlf·
Your Friday ''wtf is going on in fixed income & macro'' thread. Here you go! 1/12
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AuMember
AuMember@AuMember·
@Maggers78 Agree — selling seemed overdone — IV was underpriced given the move — long calls was an easy move … fingers crossed on the permit
GIF
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Maggers
Maggers@Maggers78·
$FSM Sell off overdone. Below $4 assumes San Jose already doesn't exist, further towards $3.5 prices in dilution and a company with a 2023 Ebitda multiple of about 2.5x with gold $1900. Permit situation probably gets resolved but even if not risk reward here very compelling now.
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AuMember
AuMember@AuMember·
@RodGordilloP @choffstein Thanks lads! As a younger investor, taking on 100% equity risk is enticing and managing a levered diversified portfolio seemed daunting. This provided a potent example of how simple it can be to improve LT risk-adjusted returns through accessible/efficient vehicles
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Rodrigo Gordillo
Rodrigo Gordillo@RodGordilloP·
New Paper in collab w/@choffstein Sufficient public funds exist now w/embedded capital efficiency where u may be able have your 60/40 portfolio & STACK diversified returns on top. A possible solution to having to reach for yield while < tracking error. investresolve.com/return-stackin…
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AuMember
AuMember@AuMember·
@buffvorpington @ThHappyHawaiian Si=f is the futures quote, futures markets are closed rn — we have to wait until tonight’s open to see how legit this spot quote is
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Gold Ventures 🟡
Gold Ventures 🟡@TheLastDegree·
i made an exit plan for this U leg, i will take profits at the 2.618 extension from the first leg. we can go higher but $ are made by planning.
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AuMember
AuMember@AuMember·
@choffstein Now you can start telling people it’s not just a phase
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Michael Lieberman
Michael Lieberman@Michael1016JL·
Happy to be taking part in the #Uranium market for the first time today. $SRUUF
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Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️
Corey Hoffstein 🏴‍☠️@choffstein·
I haven't been tweeting about markets much lately because I've been in the weeds working on a new paper with @RodGordilloP and @GestaltU. Nothing groundbreaking, but a reframing of an old idea that I hope resonates. Stay tuned...
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GoldenToilet
GoldenToilet@joshmeyerrx·
@pizdets17 I hear ya. Every Sunday I'm like "ok turn around time" and by Tuesday close, its like "why did I do this to myself"
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