Austin Barack

9.4K posts

Austin Barack banner
Austin Barack

Austin Barack

@AustinBarack

Founder and Managing Partner @relayercapital. Previously Partner @coinfund_io. Supporting founders w/ protocol design, gtm, and tokenomics. nfa/dyor

Onchain Katılım Şubat 2017
4.8K Takip Edilen24K Takipçiler
Austin Barack
Austin Barack@AustinBarack·
Interesting setup for $PUMP where fundamental, narrative, and momentum investors can all see eye to eye. If you assume all daily PUMP unlocks are sold and none of it is hedged with short perps (both are as close to 100% as possible not the case imo), daily sell pressure at current prices would be $484K Current buybacks from PUMP revenue are at ~$700K/day That means PUMP price would need to be 44.6% higher before unlocks equaled buybacks in the most conservative scenario where all unlocks are sold and revenue doesn't grow at all from here. Pretty compelling setup. Also, the biggest overhang (the cliff unlock) came and went and PUMP has been moving higher And the chart looks great too
Austin Barack tweet mediaAustin Barack tweet mediaAustin Barack tweet mediaAustin Barack tweet media
English
8
4
63
17.7K
Kunal Doshi
Kunal Doshi@Kunallegendd·
I was curious whether users of a protocol are actually token holders, and whether token holders actually use the protocol. So I tested it on @Collector_Crypt Among the top 20% of CARDS holders, 75% have never spent a single dollar on the gacha. That percentage gradually falls as wallet balances get smaller. On the flip side, almost none of the protocol's gacha spinners hold the token. It's not a perfect comparison. Some users likely hold tokens in one wallet and play from another. But I still think the disconnect is interesting. It raises a broader question: How do we design token models where users are incentivized to become holders, and holders are incentivized to become users? Curious if anyone has seen something similar across other protocols.
Kunal Doshi tweet mediaKunal Doshi tweet media
English
7
3
49
5.5K
Austin Barack
Austin Barack@AustinBarack·
$VVV trending to a new ATH for daily revenue from new subs and credit purchases. In particular, credit purchases is growing faster than I had expected (was modeling out 10% monthly growth but will likely need to revise that higher)
Austin Barack tweet media
English
3
6
88
3.6K
Austin Barack retweetledi
Ansem 🐂🀄️
Ansem 🐂🀄️@blknoiz06·
austin barack on market bubble today: "flows into crypto follow two basic themes. people want exposure to AI and they want exposure to 24/7 trading" his AI play is venice: "from 15 million ARR in january to about 90 million now... 45,000 new subscribers every month, these are people actually paying" full $VVV thesis below
English
114
236
500
76.6K
Austin Barack retweetledi
Venice
Venice@AskVenice·
The most comprehensive Venice changelog to date ⚡️ June and July updates are now live
English
7
29
170
16.1K
Austin Barack
Austin Barack@AustinBarack·
@jonbma @Chasneed_ @zhengjielimm @AsadIshmael @ErikVoorhees Directionally correct but the multiple was based on token burns. Here’s the thesis/projection
Austin Barack@AustinBarack

In 2026, Venice's $VVV token re-rated meaningfully with incredible fundamental growth in their AI products. It has since become deeply misunderstood and as a result is just as compelling as when it was at $2 earlier this year. I currently project VVV fair value to be $38.15, a 222% price increase from the current market price of $11.85. It is my highest conviction AI investment and the onchain data provides visibility into just how explosive Venice's growth has been. Furthermore, the team has recently introduced new buy and burn triggers, is close to launching a core new product, and has openly discussed several additional future burn triggers. I estimate @AskVenice annualized revenue has grown from the range of $10m earlier this year to $90m currently. I project 2027 full year revenue to grow further to $326m ($550m run rate in Dec 2027), driven by continued explosive growth in pro subscribers and credit purchases, as well as, new product launches. $VVV buy and burns are currently annualizing at $6.6m, and with the aforementioned product growth along with the introduction of new burn triggers, my projections for 2027 total buy and burns is $63.4m Considering that Venice is growing by double digit percentage monthly and mid triple digits annually, I view a 50x multiple to forward $VVV buy and burns to be very reasonable. This results in a projected $3.17B fully diluted market cap. Using total projected token supply at 2027 year end, this equates to a current fair value price of $38.15 (3.2x the current price of $11.85). $VVV was under the radar earlier this year and presented the opportunity for 10x returns for those who were deep in the weeds of what Venice was building. Now a similar opportunity is present based on many misunderstanding exactly how central $VVV is to Venice value accrual. AI usage has grown by orders of magnitude, and for that reason, many people have difficulty underwriting order of magnitude additional growth from here. That is, in my view, undoubtedly coming and @AskVenice is by far the best positioned at the intersection AI and privacy. Excited to see what the team builds from here and for the market to re-rate $VVV again as burns grow exponentially. None of the above is financial advice and all research are my personal views

English
0
0
1
74
Jon Ma
Jon Ma@jonbma·
My understanding (correct me if i'm wrong @AustinBarack ) VVV $90m ARR -> $200-$300M revenue as a real AI product prioritizing privacy and removing need to understand tokens. @ErikVoorhees to prioritize token holders. 10x multiple gets you a clear $2-3B biz in the next few years.
English
1
0
1
46
Austin Barack retweetledi
Jon Ma
Jon Ma@jonbma·
Artemis Thesis Pitch Dinner = Success ✅ We had our first 2026 thesis pitch dinner with 20 guests from top crypto / fintech funds. 1. $HOOD thesis by @jonbma 2. $HYPE thesis by @zhengjielimm 3. $AAVE thesis by @AsadIshmael 4. $VVV thesis by @AustinBarack 5. thesis by @knimkar Want the summary? Comment below and I'll share the tl;dr and summary of the pitches :) Huge shoutout @Leahveraged @reva_jariwala @tanthaip @Ryantodd @overminn for joining us for our inaugural stock / token pitch :)
Jon Ma tweet media
English
31
9
102
7.8K
Caben
Caben@cabenX·
@AustinBarack loved your explanations on the Market Bubble podcast !
English
1
0
1
84
Austin Barack
Austin Barack@AustinBarack·
After the growth we've seen in new subs and credit purchases over the last week, I might already need to revise my $VVV model higher
Austin Barack@AustinBarack

In 2026, Venice's $VVV token re-rated meaningfully with incredible fundamental growth in their AI products. It has since become deeply misunderstood and as a result is just as compelling as when it was at $2 earlier this year. I currently project VVV fair value to be $38.15, a 222% price increase from the current market price of $11.85. It is my highest conviction AI investment and the onchain data provides visibility into just how explosive Venice's growth has been. Furthermore, the team has recently introduced new buy and burn triggers, is close to launching a core new product, and has openly discussed several additional future burn triggers. I estimate @AskVenice annualized revenue has grown from the range of $10m earlier this year to $90m currently. I project 2027 full year revenue to grow further to $326m ($550m run rate in Dec 2027), driven by continued explosive growth in pro subscribers and credit purchases, as well as, new product launches. $VVV buy and burns are currently annualizing at $6.6m, and with the aforementioned product growth along with the introduction of new burn triggers, my projections for 2027 total buy and burns is $63.4m Considering that Venice is growing by double digit percentage monthly and mid triple digits annually, I view a 50x multiple to forward $VVV buy and burns to be very reasonable. This results in a projected $3.17B fully diluted market cap. Using total projected token supply at 2027 year end, this equates to a current fair value price of $38.15 (3.2x the current price of $11.85). $VVV was under the radar earlier this year and presented the opportunity for 10x returns for those who were deep in the weeds of what Venice was building. Now a similar opportunity is present based on many misunderstanding exactly how central $VVV is to Venice value accrual. AI usage has grown by orders of magnitude, and for that reason, many people have difficulty underwriting order of magnitude additional growth from here. That is, in my view, undoubtedly coming and @AskVenice is by far the best positioned at the intersection AI and privacy. Excited to see what the team builds from here and for the market to re-rate $VVV again as burns grow exponentially. None of the above is financial advice and all research are my personal views

English
7
4
85
5.4K
Austin Barack retweetledi
Haseeb >|<
Haseeb >|<@hosseeb·
Weird but true: without crypto, the current AI boom would not have been possible. Today's data center buildout would've been impossible without Bitcoin miners spending a decade building the knowhow around power, sites, and scale in remote locations. Nvidia could not moved beyond gaming to specialized compute without crypto mining as the bridge. And the biggest neoclouds are almost all ex-crypto talent: @CoreWeave, @CrusoeAI, @togethercompute, @nscale, etc.
English
114
88
1K
63.5K
Kevin
Kevin@KevinAI·
@AustinBarack Doesn’t a single pro sub burn $5 in VVV? Or are you showing revenue?
English
1
0
0
54
Austin Barack
Austin Barack@AustinBarack·
Another ATH in $VVV programmatic burns today Especially notable considering the growth in new premium subscribers, particularly with the mix shift leaning more towards the higher end pro+ ($68/mo) and max ($200/mo) tiers than typical
Austin Barack tweet media
Austin Barack@AustinBarack

All time high in $VVV programmatic burns yesterday. Each burn driver (new subs, credit purchases, and on) are growing quickly and new sources stack on top (introduction of credit burns just 3x’d burns). Very cool to be able to track this all on chain and build very complex projection models using the data

English
11
8
107
6.1K