

Lara Loves Aventuras
1.9K posts

@AventurasLL
UAE Supporter 🇦🇪 | Football Enthusiast ⚽ | Horse Lover 🏇 | Travel Addict ✈️

















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News flash from the future: Even a blockade of Kharg Island would not force Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. This (yet again) reflects a persistent misunderstanding of Iran’s strategic doctrine. For Tehran, control over the Strait is not just economic leverage—it is a core component of regime survival and deterrence. Under pressure, Iran is more likely to escalate than concede. Reopening the Strait would likely require one of two extreme options: either regime change, or a large-scale military campaign to seize and secure the waterway. Such an operation would take months and still wouldn’t prevent Iran from disrupting traffic through asymmetric means. There is no silver bullet to the Iran problem. The regime will hold onto Hormuz the same way it defends every pillar of its survival—with persistence and escalation. If reopening the Strait is the strategic objective, policymakers should recognize the cost: a prolonged, high-intensity conflict, and likely retaliation against Gulf energy infrastructure. #Ira

















