
Cycle Bottom
39.2K posts

Cycle Bottom
@BULLReturns
Retiring Investment Manager sharing their 10x10x10=1000 methodology
South East Asia Katılım Mayıs 2009
262 Takip Edilen14.7K Takipçiler
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Thought of the day: Return compounding is all about timeframes in #cyclicals, 10x over 5 years reinvested in 10x over 5 years reinvested in 10x over 5 years with 1-2 year waiting between reinvestment = 1000x over 17-19 years. Are you formulating your compounding plan?
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@mining_charts @vedantg94 We are not betting the house on Vanadium, the theme has around a 3% exposure overlapping with our uranium exposure of 30%.
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@BULLReturns @vedantg94 Any concern for $LGO runway if vanadium prices don't improve much?
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.....$150 for over 3 months certainly will.
unusual_whales@unusual_whales
JUST IN: The IMF has said that $120 oil could trigger a global recession.
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.....meaningless comment when the actual move from 1998 lows is < 20% through to now.
NoLimit@NoLimitGains
🚨 The Indonesian Rupiah has almost officially gone to ZERO against the USD.
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.....Cyclicality is rather easier to predict....but there are clear signals that multiple markets are not cheap and over-extended comes to mind....with negative shock factors that will turn up. Building #drypowder is prudent, particularly when one has multiple market low experience of #10baggers within 36 months of the stated low.
The Money Cruncher, CPA@money_cruncher
The S&P 500 is up ~90% since Michael Burry tweeted “sell.” This is a good reminder that the market is difficult to predict. Focus on buying quality funds for the long term and tune out the noise.
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@AdrianSCp @vedantg94 ....the longer it takes for Vanadium to sustain $10, the more dilution that is likely on all related plays.
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@BULLReturns @vedantg94 Looking to see what they will do come Sept when debt is due before adding more $LGO. Dilution likely?
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@tradewarfan .....there are plenty of other locations for the non-American
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@BULLReturns Exactly. Keeping it beats earning more. That's why I'm looking at UAE's zero tax and clear rules. 🇦🇪📊
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...... Move to where 75-85% of that amount can be saved.
Grant Cardone@GrantCardone
How’s that $400k a year working out?
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@hann58445 .....Incoming Inflation will increase interest rate ....
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@BULLReturns Oil was $90–110 in nominal terms during 2011–2014, which inflation-adjusted its not too far off. Unless you mean oil prices will increase yields, then yields will pressure debt interest, and that downward spiral. $150 will not cause demand destruction at all
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@vedantg94 ....the view is on vanadium, LGO is just a way to play it.
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@BULLReturns There’s nobody above me, hard to get fired by someone who does not exist.
But yes, there will be pain for many other
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@BULLReturns $150 is nothing in todays world. Inflation adjusted, but also the % households spend on oil is record low due to technology. $200+ will put pressure on, perhaps $250
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@BULLReturns One could only dream of $150 for 3 months
I’ll be retired before I’m 30 if that happens. So I highly doubt it. God won’t make it that easy for me
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......near cycle low entries
Investment Wisdom@InvestingCanons
"The best opportunities are usually found among things most others won't do." — Howard Marks
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@yszarapide .....the Funders of this project, don't agree with you. Perhaps it's the low cost scalability....< 20m cap can still #10bag

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@yszarapide Wait and see....bull commodity markets will surprise many.
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#10baggers in commodity Cyclicality abounded if purchased near cycle lows of 2024 through 1H 2025.
.....spot price lows coupled with cap lows
Here is where the value add is .....to have vision out 3-4 yrs for the next cycle peak (from 1H 2024).......moving on to 2027/28 spot #commodity prices +100-400% (#lithium #gold #silver #copper #ironore #coal #nickel etc)
......this results in our purchase valuation of 50% of our pre-production nano caps being <0.25x 2028 CF = #10baggers within 2-5yrs from 1H 2024.
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@yszarapide .....low cost new producers still can win the day
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@BULLReturns Iron ore? with the largest mine ever built currently coming on line and expected to add nearly 20% to global iron ore supply
GIF
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