Brad Jones

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Brad Jones

Brad Jones

@B_radJ_ones

Senior Research Director, @YouGov; formerly @Meta; even formerly-ier @PewResearch; Political science PhD; board game aficionado

Severance, CO Katılım Haziran 2013
563 Takip Edilen928 Takipçiler
Brad Jones
Brad Jones@B_radJ_ones·
Attn: Survey researchers and practitioners Call for proposals YouGov’s Scientific Research Group is accepting proposals for experimental research on web survey methods. Details here: docs.google.com/document/d/1Up…
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Brad Jones
Brad Jones@B_radJ_ones·
@jrpjrpjrp Perhaps just upload the first 10k rows or something and make a note in the README about where the full dataset is available?
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Brad Jones
Brad Jones@B_radJ_ones·
This is a bad take - Outlier polls can certainly happen, but we want pollsters to publish all their results (even the outliers). The Washington Post did a great job of acknowledging that their survey was an outlier and contextualizing it in this case.
Larry Sabato@LarrySabato

Ignore the Washington Post - ABC poll. It’s a ridiculous outlier (Trump up 10 over Biden—laughable). My question: How could you even publish a poll so absurd on its face? Will be a lingering embarrassment for you.

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Ariel Edwards-Levy
Ariel Edwards-Levy@aedwardslevy·
feel like I once saw someone share some work on this (possibly even with longterm panel data?) but I cannot for the life of me recall where (if it was you, send it to me!) twitter.com/genieresearch/…
Genie Research@genieresearch

@aedwardslevy Yet I bet the answers to that q then would have strong explanatory power for respondents' attitudes today. Likewise someone else just pointed out that “woke” and “anti-SJW” weren't a thing then—but lest we forget, “political correctness” was. Plus ça change…

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Ariel Edwards-Levy
Ariel Edwards-Levy@aedwardslevy·
Whenever I get too lulled into thinking of the current political landscape as immovable, I remember that for years, "Do you consider yourself a member of the Tea Party?" was a relatively standard survey question.
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Brad Jones
Brad Jones@B_radJ_ones·
@AriWRees Weather by Jenny Offill Emily Wilson's translation of the Odyssey A Long Petal of the Sea by Isabel Allende Sea of Tranquility by Emily St John Mandel Arcadia by Lauren Groff Cloud Cuckoo Land by Anthony Doer
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Brad Jones
Brad Jones@B_radJ_ones·
@awmercer ... but how could that be possible? I thought the new guy's verification system was a fool-proof way to eliminate bots and the spam
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Brad Jones
Brad Jones@B_radJ_ones·
@pewresearch's validated voter report provides a good bookend to election reporting. It's certainly not the final word on the subject, but it definitely beats some of the post-election pontificating. The detailed tables are particularly rich. pewresearch.org/politics/2023/…
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Brad Jones
Brad Jones@B_radJ_ones·
@rp_griffin I'm not saying this is what is going on here, but sometimes Pew graphics will look like this because of a "DK/Refused" category that is not plotted. (but also, sometimes it is the problem you point out)
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Robert Griffin
Robert Griffin@rp_griffin·
Rounding numbers for figures: Great! Creating graphics with those rounded numbers rather than the underlying values: 😡🤬🤢🤮 You don't need to do this people! No one is demanding a bar chart that adds to 99 or 101 just because the rounded numbers fall out that way.
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Cass Donish 🐞 they/them
Cass Donish 🐞 they/them@CassDonish·
What are your favorite poet-y novels? I.e., novels by poets and/or novels that poets love even if they don't always read and love novels?
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Brad Jones
Brad Jones@B_radJ_ones·
You can always count on Pew to pull out all the stops with these polling methodology reports. This is a really important one - the polling industry is changing quickly and the methods can be really consequential. pewresearch.org/methods/2023/0…
pollcat@pollcat

A question we hear a lot: Are pollsters changing their methods in response to falling response rates, new tech, and errors in preelection polls? Yes! Our new study finds that most national pollsters have changed or added methods since 2016 pewrsr.ch/3Lcfxe1

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Brad Jones
Brad Jones@B_radJ_ones·
In 1996, Shor and McCarty estimate that the most conservative Democrat in the Colorado lower chamber was more liberal than the most liberal Republican and the gap between the two parties has only increased over time. (fin)
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Brad Jones
Brad Jones@B_radJ_ones·
In my home state of Colorado, the picture has looked much different over the past quarter century. The parties were pretty distinct in 1996 and have only become more so over time (7/)
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Brad Jones
Brad Jones@B_radJ_ones·
What a great resource for political scientists! I spent a little time this morning visualizing some of the trends in the data. This plot shows the change in the state parties over the past 25 years (or so). (1/8)
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Boris Shor@bshor

🚨New data posted!🚨 Today I posted an update to the individual and state-level data for the ideology estimates I've been working on with @Nolan_Mc for more than a decade. The data now goes from 1993-2020. Please download, use, enjoy, and cite! americanlegislatures.wordpress.com/2023/04/14/apr…

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Keşfet

@YouGov @derchadmeister @jrpjrpjrp @aedwardslevy @pewresearch @JnJNews @JNJNews @rp_griffin