Oh, no. Not again.

@vtchakarova When you realize Trump sees himself as the messiah who will bring about the fourth turning, you will see how likely this is.

I expect that the two geopolitical blocs centered around US and DragonBear will have to come to terms to prevent the world for going into the abyss. Ukraine was the first proxy war; Iran is the second one amid new Cold War between US & China-Russia. It’s “managed” confrontation.

@humanxmaybe @BobGolen Worse yet, I have no idea what I’m doing in bed.

i have no idea what i’m doing out of bed

@TranslateThings @SilipigniMario When he got to the pearly gates, he judged God.

Apparently Chuck Norris died like 20 years ago. Death was just too scared to tell him until today.

@krassenstein @SilipigniMario At the pearly gates, Chuck Norris judged God.

RIP Chick Norris: FACTS about Chuck Norris: 1. Chuck Norris doesn’t do push-ups… He pushes the Earth down. ⸻ 2.When Chuck Norris enters a room, he doesn’t turn the lights on — he turns the dark off. ⸻ 3.Chuck Norris counted to infinity. Twice. ⸻ 4.Death once had a near-Chuck Norris experience. ⸻ 5.Chuck Norris can divide by zero. ⸻ 6.There is no theory of evolution… just a list of creatures Chuck Norris allows to live. ⸻ 7.Chuck Norris doesn’t sleep. He waits. ⸻ 8.When the Boogeyman goes to sleep every night, he checks his closet for Chuck Norris. ⸻ 9.Chuck Norris can slam a revolving door. ⸻ 10.The dinosaurs looked at Chuck Norris the wrong way once. You know what happened to them.

@shefwayo @dadmann_walking Not to mention MTV

glad i got to experience disney channel and nickelodeon before they fell off

@matthewmreed @TankerTrackers Unless your goal is to cut off everyone’s oil

“Oil wars are good, and easy to win.” - Nobody

@vtchakarova Ever read Peter Zeihan’s stuff? Regardless of what you think of it, Trump seems to be using it as a playbook.

Sorry but there‘s no master plan. We’re witnessing the brutal law of unintended consequences. The stuff that the nightmares of people like me in the field of strategic foresight are made of. The worst-case scenario that will lead to the worst systemic shock ever. No winners here.

@vtchakarova Especially when tariffs just got shut down as a mechanism. I’m not claiming it’s well thought out. But it might be part of the plan.

@vtchakarova There is at least a real chance that a country self-sufficient in oil and bent on curbing imported goods wouldn’t mind a supply side shock that disproportionately affects exporters.

@vtchakarova You miss one possibility: Trump leaves the strait closed, limits oil exports, and lets the rest of the world collapse. Yeah, the US will suffer, but we have most of what we need at home. The rest of the world? Not so much. I fear THIS is the war Trump is fighting.

History and geography teach us that you can win all the battles and still lose the war.

@sciencegirl $$$$$$

First thoughts when you see this fridge

@HothaAli The problem is this pipeline is a fixed asset. If Iran chooses, it can target it with drones. Eventually some will get through.

Saudi Arabia just turned Iran’s Strait of Hormuz “threat” into a geopolitical joke. Saudi Arabia embarrassed Iran by simply moving its oil west and showing the world that it is the most reliable energy supplier on the planet.

@HumansNoContext Why would I want to have dinner with my gardener?

You can only choose one.

@buitengebieden Have you never seen a mime before?

What is going on here? 😅

@ArmisteadHlt @johnkonrad @mercoglianos Very little helium is in shale oil - the bulk of US petroleum production. I’m not sure how much untapped capacity we have with continental oil production, but at a minimum, it would take time to build.

@BarchokMatthew @johnkonrad @mercoglianos Helium's not too hard to pivot to domestically. It's produced as a byproduct of natural gas extraction. However, it's not worth the cost of storage and transport so it gets vented instead of collected. If we really need helium in a hurry, we know where to find it.

“Persian Gulf exports a third of the world’s fertilizer.” I just had to explain why that matters to 6 U.S. naval officers in a row. How can you be a naval officer & not know the Guano Islands Act of 1856? This is why we must reform the Naval Woke College and USNA! The U.S. literally sent warships around the world defending islands for bird poop. Coolest naval law ever.

@messedupfoods Less

@vtchakarova And the pesky helium supply that is necessary to make computer chips…

As I said on March 2 when Hormuz chokepoint got de facto closed, oil & gas shock will move contagion to fertilizers which will move to food commodities which will result in political turmoil and revolts in vulnerable parts of the world. This is the stuff revolutions are made of.

@ELuttwak We’re also going to need to counter air and sea drones effectively.

Yes but the more the better & our NATO ally minesweepers desperately need the training offered in trasit even before entering the Gulf

@Dianexis @AllieKitti Perhaps not coincidentally, I’m trying to figure out a doctor’s bill right now.

@AllieKitti trying to schedule another doctor appointment but health care in this damn country sucks absolute BALLS

Hey twt, what are you doing right now?