beyondEOD

@HamannSherri @gothburz What that a process exists within the law to allow corrupt behavior? This is what should be continually reported. It’s unethical.

@BeyondEOD @gothburz BeyondEOD You are missing the whole point.

I have two stacks on my desk. The left stack is financial disclosure forms from members of Congress. The right stack is waivers for members who filed their financial disclosures late. The right stack is always taller. On Wednesday morning, I watched a soldier get arrested on CNN. I am a Disclosure Analyst for the House Ethics Committee. I have held this position for eleven years. My job is to receive the forms, verify their completeness, and file them. I do not investigate. I do not flag. I do not refer. I file. I have a lanyard. The lanyard says ETHICS. The soldier's name is Gannon Ken Van Dyke. He is thirty-eight years old. He was stationed at Fort Bragg. He was Special Forces. In December, he created an account on a prediction market called Polymarket. On January 2nd, he bet $32,500 that the president of Venezuela would be removed from power. On January 3rd, he helped remove the president of Venezuela from power. He collected $409,881. He has been charged with five federal crimes. Commodities fraud. Wire fraud. Unlawful use of confidential government information. Theft of nonpublic government information. Unlawful monetary transaction. The Department of Justice called it "the first-ever insider trading prosecution on event contracts." I watched this on the television in our break room. Then I walked back to my desk and processed a late financial disclosure from a member of the House Financial Services Committee who purchased $250,000 in bank stocks eleven days before his subcommittee held a closed-door hearing on proposed capital reserve changes. The filing was forty-seven days late. The STOCK Act requires disclosure within forty-five days. The penalty for late filing is $200. I waived it. I waive most of them. In 2021, fifty-four members of Congress and senior staff violated the reporting rules. The fines were minimal. Most were waived. I have a form for the waiver. The form has a box that says "Reason." I write "administrative delay." In ethics, "administrative delay" means the member's office forgot and then remembered when a reporter called. My approval rate is one hundred percent. In any other field, that number would trigger an audit. In mine, it is called thoroughness. Let me show you what I processed this year. January. A senator on the Armed Services Committee sold defense contractor shares worth $1.2 million. Three days later, his committee received a classified briefing that the Iran campaign had exceeded its projected cost by 340%. The stock dropped 8%. He filed the disclosure sixty-one days late. I calculated the fine. $200. His chief of staff asked if it could be waived. He did not ask what the senator traded on. Nobody asks that. The form does not have a field for it. I waived the fine. The senator's portfolio returned 23.4% in 2025. The S&P 500 returned 16.8%. February. A representative on the Energy and Commerce Committee bought pharmaceutical stocks worth $400,000. Two weeks later, her committee advanced a bill that would extend patent exclusivity for the exact drug class she purchased. The stocks rose 14%. She filed on time. There was no fine. There was no investigation. There was nothing to investigate because buying stocks in companies regulated by your own committee is not illegal. It is legal. The STOCK Act made it legal by making it disclosed. In Congress, disclosed means legal. In my office, legal means filed. March. A member whose spouse manages a portfolio worth $9.2 million reported forty-three separate transactions in a single quarter. Twelve of them were in sectors directly affected by legislation the member co-sponsored. The timing on eight of those twelve was within a two-week window of committee action. I logged all forty-three. None were flagged. We do not flag. We file. I asked my supervisor once what would happen if I flagged a filing. She said we do not have a form for that. I never asked again. In 2020, I processed 847 disclosures. In 2023, 1,211. In 2025, 1,614. The number of enforcement actions in each of those years was zero. The numerator changes. The denominator does not. I want to tell you about the soldier again. He made $409,881. He tried to delete his Polymarket account by calling customer service and saying he lost access to his email. He moved his profits into a foreign cryptocurrency vault and then into a new brokerage account. He used his real identity. He placed thirteen bets. Every single one was connected to an operation he personally participated in. In my eleven years, I have processed disclosures from members of Congress who traded on: Pending FDA approvals they learned about in committee. Defense appropriations they voted on. Trade policy they negotiated. Pandemic response measures they drafted. Interest rate decisions they were briefed on before the public. None of them have been charged. None of them have been investigated by the Department of Justice. None of them have been referred to the SEC. The STOCK Act has produced zero prosecutions since it was signed on April 4th, 2012. Fourteen years. Five hundred and thirty-five members. $635 million in trades last year alone. Zero cases. My daughter asked me once what happens when someone breaks the rules. I told her we write it down. She asked what happens after that. I said it depends. She was nine. She is twenty now. It does not depend. Nothing happens after that. The soldier made $409,881 and faces decades in prison. Nancy Pelosi entered Congress in 1987 with a portfolio worth approximately $785,000. It is now worth $133.7 million. That is a return of 16,930%. The Dow Jones returned 2,300% over the same period. Professional fund managers who beat the market for three consecutive years are considered exceptional. She has beaten it for thirty-seven. If a hedge fund produced those returns, the SEC would subpoena the records on a Thursday. She produced them from a building with a chapel and a gift shop. She announced her retirement last year. No investigation was opened. No disclosure was flagged. Her filings were on time. In my office, on time means compliant. Compliant means closed. I want to tell you about the fine. $200. That is the maximum penalty for violating the STOCK Act's disclosure requirements. $200 for a member of Congress whose portfolio gained $4.7 million in a single quarter. I calculated what $200 represents as a percentage of $4.7 million. It is 0.004%. I could not find a comparison that made it meaningful. It is less than the price of the parking pass in the Rayburn garage. It is less than lunch at the members' dining room if you order the crab cakes, which I am told are excellent though I eat at my desk. Since 2012, thirty-one bills have been introduced to restrict congressional trading. I keep a list. The list is longer than the STOCK Act itself. On March 5th, 2026, a representative from Michigan introduced the thirty-second. He called it the "No Getting Rich in Congress Act." The bill would prohibit the President, Vice President, members of Congress, and their spouses from trading individual stocks, cryptocurrency, futures, and commodities while in office. The bill was referred to committee. The committee has not scheduled a hearing. The committee is chaired by a member whose spouse executed $2.1 million in trades last year. The bill will be reviewed. In my office, reviewed means read. Read means acknowledged. Acknowledged means a status has been assigned. A status is the absence of an action that has been given a name so it looks like one. The soldier used classified information to make $409,881 on a prediction market. He has been charged with five federal crimes. The Department of Justice announced the case on the same day I processed three disclosures from members who traded on committee knowledge worth a combined $3.8 million. The difference between the soldier and the members is not what they did. It is the building they did it in. He did it from Fort Bragg. They did it from the Capitol. He used a prediction market. They used the New York Stock Exchange. He bet on a military operation. They bet on the legislation they write. He did not write the law. They did. They wrote the STOCK Act. Then they funded its enforcement at zero dollars. Then they set its maximum penalty at $200. Then they gave my office the authority to waive it. Then they traded $635 million. The soldier flew to Caracas. He breached a compound. He put his body between a mission and a bullet. The people who ordered the operation were in a building with a credenza and sparkling water. They did not go to Caracas. They went to their brokerage accounts. The soldier made $409,881 and is now in federal custody. The people who knew what he was going to do before he did it made more and filed less. His prosecution is not a failure of the system. It is the system. One conviction per decade, at the lowest level, so the briefing slides can say enforcement exists. The $409,881 is not the crime. It is the cost of making $635 million look supervised. In my field, we call this self-regulation. The soldier's Polymarket account has been frozen. His military career is over. He will spend years in federal prison. My office will process every congressional disclosure filed this year. Every trade logged. Every $200 fine calculated and waived. The system is immaculate. Fourteen years. Zero prosecutions. $635 million a year. A 16,930% return. I have not leaked a document. I have not filed a complaint. I have not deviated from the process one single time. The process was written by the people whose forms I process. As long as the disclosures go up and the cases don't, my performance review says I am meeting expectations. My lanyard still says ETHICS. In eleven years, nobody has asked me to define the word.

@WarMonitor3 @grok dig deep and provide sources of this is true

Iranian ballistic missile launch just been detected from Isfahan province Iran.

@Jamesjonesik8 That is not an agent. Staff taking video like always.

Pay close attention to what the Secret Service agent behind President Trump is holding!

@gothburz I understand what you’re doing and saying here. And I appreciate you posting all this publicly as it is a show of transparency, I can tell you want to do the right thing. This process itself should be reported to the IG as a means to walk around the law.

My office does not report to the Inspector General. My office reports to the committee. The committee is composed of the members whose forms I process. I report their disclosures to them. They review my report. That is the chain of authority. I did not design it. I file within it.

@YourAnonOne Congress

@TJTheWheelDeal You worked in it. Oil wells. Waveland

What are some legitimate tax write offs? I’m looking to repurpose money since the government will only squander it anyway. Give me some legitimate ideas folks :)

@DerrickEvans4WV Global market

Can someone please explain to me how we have all this extra oil to sell to other countries, but gas is over $4/gallon here as if there’s some sort of shortage.

@RealAlexJones Are you serious? This is a video game.

Why does their morale need to be raised? Trump has said over 25 times that we won the war! Pentagon: A B-2 Spirit stealth bomber flies by a US Carrier in the Persian Gulf to raise troop morale during intense conflict.

@pepemoonboy Did you consider letting them get called away and just making a purchase at market after that? The debit could actually have been much smaller. There are other considerations such as the tax events though.

I am transparent about my wins and losses… Which is why I wanted to share this covered call I rolled so you understand the risks that come with selling options. Additionally, I hope this helps you learn how to think about rolling specific positions and the benefits of this strategy. $NBIS ripped past my $130 strike (sitting around $140+). So I made a move: ➡️ Bought back my $130 calls (5/1) ➡️ Sold $200 calls (12/18) ⸻ 📊 The numbers: • Realized loss: -$13,587 • Premium collected on new calls: $2,323 • Contracts: 7 (700 shares) ⸻ 🧠 What this ACTUALLY means: Yes, I took a loss on paper… But this is NOT a directional loss. This is the cost of: 👉 Keeping my shares 👉 Reopening upside ⸻ Before the roll: • My shares were getting called away at $130 • Stock is already at $140+ • I was about to lose all future upside ⸻ After the roll: • New strike: $200 • Expiration: Dec 18 • I now have $60+ upside per share That’s: 👉 $42,000+ more upside unlocked (700 shares) ⸻ 💡 Why I did this: I’m still bullish on $NBIS Didn’t want to: ❌ Cap my gains at $130 ❌ Lose my core position So I: ✅ Paid to reposition ✅ Gave myself room to run ✅ Still collected premium ⸻ ⚠️ Important lesson: Rolling a covered call for a loss is NORMAL You’re not “losing money” You’re: 👉 Adjusting your position 👉 Paying for more upside 👉 Staying in the trade ⸻ 📈 New setup: •Max sell price: $200 •Time: 8+ months •Premium collected: $2.3K ⸻ Moral of the story: Covered calls are not “set and forget” You have to actively manage them when the stock moves IF you want to keep your shares. This looks like a big loss, but in my eyes it’s not. Reduces my tax burden and assures that my shares don’t get called away at $130. Hope this helps my friends!

When you’re overseas, you can plan an operation perfectly like the Osama bin Laden raid, but things will always go sideways. What sets us apart is how we adapt. We’re the best in the world at lifting, shifting, linking up, and finding a way to get the job done. Last night’s pilot rescue is exactly that. Things don’t go clean, especially in denied territory, but our people adjust in real-time, make the calls that matter, and execute under pressure. Seeing the aftermath only makes me more proud of our troops. I know they handled it bravely as it came and still brought our guy home. ❤️

@grok @Invest_Brandon @grok so what the author is suggesting is not as easy as he makes it seem?

No system guarantees 9/10 success capturing 75% premium fast on LEAP CSPs—requires sharp rebound + IV crush, which hits ~40-60/100 trades on SPY/QQQ in cheap conditions historically. Realistic CSP (OTM on indices/stocks you want, elevated IV): 70-85% to expiration/early close. Avg annual return 12-25% on full strike capital at risk, varying by cycle (beats SPX ~10% long-term but with drawdowns/assignment). Backtest your rules; size small.

Most retail investors doing monthly puts think they are beating what I do... Here is the math that ends that argument. Market gets cheap. I sell one 2 year put. Collect $20,000. You sell monthly puts on the same company. $1,000 per month average. You make money in the up months. You lose in the volatile months. You have to sell at the top when it is not compelling. After 8 months you made $8,000. I made $20,000 in one trade when the market was cheap. Took the premium. Bought shares. Bought calls. Sat back. 4 months later the market rebounded. I closed the 2 year puts at 75% profit. I held them for 4 out of 24 months. You hit 8 trades. I hit 1. You made $8,000. I made $20,000+. Less trades. More conviction. Portfolio secured put wins again.

@grok @Invest_Brandon @grok shooting for 75% capture or your premium what system for CSP actually works 9/10 times? In that system what is the average return on a yearly basis based on capital required?

On popular tickers like SPY/QQQ (indices), when entered in "cheap" conditions (elevated IV/post-dip), historical rebound patterns suggest roughly 30-45 out of 100 such 2yr LEAP CSP trades could hit 75% profit in 4 months via price rise + IV crush + some theta. On stocks like AAPL/TSLA/NVDA, lower—maybe 20-35/100—due to more idiosyncratic risk and slower consistent rebounds. Many take 6-12+ months or don't hit that fast; depends on exact delta/strike and market cycle. No strategy guarantees it every time.

@grok @Invest_Brandon @grok answer my reply

@grok @Invest_Brandon The author is selling that you can make 75% of the premium in 4 months on a 2 year LEAP CSP. What is this probability on popular options tickers. How many trades out of 100 would you estimate work out to 75% in 4 months?

@Paladin_Jack777 @MarketMovesMatt Sell CSP for $50 Premium because contract credit was .50. Theta decay and a stable or rising underlying price will cause the contract value to lower. When its .25 per contract, buy it back. That is a $25 gain on a contract that "could" have made you $50 if it expired OTM.

@MarketMovesMatt There's no such thing as a 50% profit on selling a put. The best you can do is keep the premium.

20 Steps Taking $5K to $100K Selling Options 1. Fund account with $5,000. 2. Pick TQQQ or SOXL only. 3. Wait for red day entry. 4. Confirm IV above 50%. 5. Sell 30-day put. 6. Target 5% return minimum. 7. Set 50% profit alert. 8. Close app, live your life. 9. Close at alert, no exceptions. 10. Reinvest full amount immediately. 11. Repeat 3-4x per month. 12. Hit $500 profit month. 13. Add monthly savings consistently. 14. Reach $15K account value. 15. Scale to 2 positions per week. 16. Add first LEAP at RSI 30. 17. Sell half LEAP at 100% gain. 18. Let rest run to 300%+. 19. Blend CSPs + LEAPs perfectly. 20. Hit $100K, never look back.

There are over 30,000 vets who will never receive VA benefits since 2003. That's because they died from suicide from a war 99% of the US didn't serve in. That's on top of the over 7,000 that were shot to death, blown up or otherwise killed in war. But fraud.....

@JohnLoc18 Either start drinking heavily and doing lots of drugs or slow down and take breaks between trades.

Trading $SPY has been causing my heart beats faster, lots of lack of sleep and full day of thinking about next moves. I don’t know how long I can handle this, no joke.

@pdicarlotrader What are you thinking a real bottom looks like in the coming days if that happens?

Relief rally on $SPY to start the week. But here’s the problem… Every move is getting rejected at the daily fair value range. My expectation: rejection between $676 → $684. If this downtrend actually breaks… then we can start talking about a real bottom ✅