Ronnie
130 posts

Ronnie
@Bhaskinator
Options Seller | Premium Collector | Long Term HODLr
Vancouver, British Columbia Katılım Aralık 2022
140 Takip Edilen29 Takipçiler

@TommyThornton @Bhaskinator “asymmetric move upward” As the businesses sales and profits asymmetric move downward.
Someone skipped Math class
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I’m a long-term shareholder and have been since 2015. I’m all in on $TSLA & have millions of $ worth of shares.
With that context in mind. as much as I hate to say it, this actually feels undersold.
We were at $358–$359 just a few days ago and only popped on peace dividend anticipation. Trump’s speech didn’t deliver, so basically nothing has changed since Monday or Tuesday. In fact, one could argue that the war’s escalation from here is more likely than not.
Yet the stock is now trading at higher levels than it was then.
Deliveries coming in below 360k likely means earnings will miss, as car sales are still the core revenue driver. The Robotaxi rollout has been going well, in my opinion, but many disagree with me, and much of the market feels slighted by the “much slower than expected” timeline—which is fair, especially given Elon’s promises up until now (which we really should never fully bank on).
All that said, Tesla’s long-term promise remains very much intact. However, the market is already pricing that in fairly aggressively with a ~300x P/E in what is a very challenging macro environment.
Every other Mag 7 stock is trading at around a 30 P/E, and even $NVDA —which is actually growing earnings by leaps and bounds—is getting crushed (now trading at just a ~20 forward P/E).
I’m pleasantly surprised $TSLA isn’t down 10% right now. Ultimately, though, that will likely happen if the promises don’t start translating into actual earnings growth soon. The market isn’t going to continue putting up with this much longer—paying such a huge premium for effectively zero material economic progress so far.
The rope is getting shorter, and these are critical months for Tesla to actually deliver and live up to the high hopes that are already considerably priced in.
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Gene is right - stock is right now overreacting imo
Gene Munster@munster_gene
$TSLA deliveries of 358K were up about 7% year every year. More or less in line with the whisper and a win for the company given it’s the first quarter where we get a true read on underline demand post last years September tax credit sunset. The bottom line is Tesla deliveries are growing without the help of subsidies.
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I got a few side eyes for selling all my $TSLA shares a few days ago but we're continuing to making lower lows and lower highs.
At the same time, the short puts that I sold on $TSLA earlier this week are crushing it. I combined the short puts with some LEAP calls essentially create synthetic stock (achieving a combined delta of 1).
I'm +$23,241 on $TSLA over the last 7 days.
Learning to trade options professionally is more valuable than my law degree....

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Back to the March playbook. Now with some of the major catalysts begind us, and Trump TACO speech being the strangest tasting TACO ive ever had, $TSLA has quite a bit of room to fall prior to earnings. Three day weekend coming up & Trump is likely to say something on Sunday night to stimulate markets, but I think its still a good time to get somewhat more aggressive here.
Covered the 22 contracts from earlier this morning & took the $1,500 (receipt below).
Rolled down to $420 strike, May 15th expiry, but sized down to 19 contracts at the same time.
Still believe in $TSLA long term, as always, but going to try and print some money in-between.
$TSLA

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@RapidResponse47 Thought the admin just said yesterday that they dont care about the Strait & its everyone else’s problem. Why not just take the ceasefire & leave now then? Hard to make sense of all this but feels like price manipulation
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@GrindeOptions If irony is the most likely outcome: he will be announcing boots on the ground.
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@teslaownersSV Not to mention all the jobs Elon has created in the state & of course, taxes historically paid.
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Newsom just called Elon Musk “one of the great disappointments” — claiming he’s ceding the EV market to China.
Governor, look in the mirror.
Despite your crushing taxes, regulations, and anti-business policies that have **driven hundreds of companies out of California** and **sent the state into the pits**…
Tesla’s Model Y was STILL the #1 best-selling vehicle in California in 2025 — for the **fourth year in a row**. Over 110,000 sold.
Elon and Tesla keep innovating and winning right here, while you chase businesses and residents to Texas and beyond.
The real disappointment isn’t Musk.
It’s Gavin Newsom.
Newsom is the problem.

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