Shake N' Bake
7.2K posts

Shake N' Bake
@Blavertron
Reversion Trader. Statistics nerd. My portfolio: Long: Quantum Mechanics & Finite Commodities Short: Politicians
Katılım Aralık 2017
895 Takip Edilen518 Takipçiler

🚨 WOW! Kevin O'Leary just STUNNED the experts on the Iran war, saying he expects the Strait of Hormuz to be opened in "PERPETUITY" and is growing very "bullish" 90 days out
"I'm thinking ahead 90 days and I LIKE what I see!"
"You gotta let this play out! The BIG vision is to finally stop this problem we've had for 60 years."
"No enriched uranium. That's got to be found and taken out of the country. That'll be part of the deal."
"Hormuz will be open in perpetuity. We've got 22 nations talking about supporting that financially. That's just like the Suez or Panama Canal."
"Great for the region. It's a game changer in the sense that all of a sudden you have stability in the fastest growing part of the earth. It's very, very bullish for world markets!"
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@ArmstrongEcon Cheetoh and the Frat boy went in with a half-arsed plan, against the Country that invented Chess 🫠
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Why I have not been particularly concerned over the Iran war?
It’s pretty simple, really.
Those who are most worked up tend to be:
1) Putting very high levels of trust in media reports. Stop that. You should know better.
2) Assuming that Israel has some incredible leverage or control over Trump, and that this whole thing is “for Israel.” I’m
Not at all convinced.
3) convinced that Hegseth and Trump and others just don’t know the stakes, don’t understand basic strategy, and are rushing towards midterm defeat. Dubious at best.
4) Insistent that there is no exit plan, no strategy, etc. dubious. The first principle of warfare is deception. There’s no point, other than soothing domestic political nerves, of laying out exactly what you’re after and when you intend to achieve specific milestones.
When you put aside these assumptions, things become far more ambiguous.
Trump has proven an astute political operator who intends to create a long-term legacy. He’s shown himself to be shrewd and unbelievably tenacious. He knows that failure in this endeavor means life in jail.
When you factor that in, and that’s a huge variable, and you develop reasonable skepticism towards media reports, and realize there’s endless psyops going on by numerous actors desperate for Trump to fail, you calm down.
My prediction remains: Trump holds on or gain seats in the midterms.
On a deeper level: Iran may be difficult to invade, but that same terrain makes massing their own forces rapidly very challenging. The US has absolute intelligence superiority in terms of overhead sensors and likely the ability to highly degrade Iran’s communications. Besides, it’s not like the US will try to take over the country. But raids to grab some territory and force an Iranian response and then counterattack, leading to Iranian confusion and demoralization? Yes.
The other part, that no one is talking about, is what this administration’s end game is. Whatever it is, 1) they aren’t saying, and 2) they presume it will lead to midterm victory.
Other than that, 95% of what has been reported and predicted about this war is likely pure nonsense.
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@Wanderlust_2024 @FinanceLancelot Redistribution of supplies throughout Asia.
Australia gets majority of our Fuels from Singapore and that region.
We suffer the tyranny of distance 🫠
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Chuck hates to see folks celebrate the brave and helpful ICE agents. Chuck values power and politics over the American people. Just gross. @SenSchumer
Chuck Schumer@SenSchumer
ICE needs to leave the airports NOW. Trump needs to pay TSA workers NOW, and push Republicans to reach a deal. No intimidation forces at our airports. No more chaos at checkpoints. Enough is enough.
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@dbs0127 @ImBreckWorsham I've deployed to many of those bases over the years champ including Iraq.
Majority have been decimated, don't you dare try and tell me that isn't the case either.
I have much better Intel than you ever will. You just sit behind your keyboard and stick head in the sand champ.
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@ImBreckWorsham Iran. Said no such thing.
A person who got on tv and spouts some crazy things- like Iran has destroyed all of the regional US military bases and other stupidity—- isn’t Iran’s spokesperson.
Geesh. Some people are sooo gullible.
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BREAKING: Labor is backing another pay rise for 2.7M minimum wage and award workers.
Today we've made a submission to the Annual Wage Review recommending the Fair Work Commission award an economically sustainable real wage increase to Australia’s award workers.
The minimum wage is now $175 a week higher than when we came to office.
This is just another way we're helping with the cost of living, alongside all the support we’re rolling out like tax cuts and cheaper medicines.
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The vast majority of Republicans understand that Operation Epic Fury is righteous and necessary. Let's finish the job.
Marc Thiessen 🇺🇸❤️🇺🇦🇹🇼🇮🇱@marcthiessen
CBS poll: Republicans want Trump to end the Iranian regime. *Change Iran’s leaders to ones that are pro-US: 80% *Make sure Iran’s people are safe and free: 90% *Unacceptable to end conflict with current regime in power: 71% *Approve of military action: 84% cbsnews.com/amp/news/opini…
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Pentagon confirms deployment of US troops to Middle East – BBC
pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2026/…
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@EconBerger @HowardAulsbrook Why not?
All US bases in the gulf are non-functional and cannot protect the gulf states.
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@HowardAulsbrook I don’t see why we should take that at face value
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@GodsBurnt They want less planes in air to reduce Fuel demands.
That's why ICE are also at Airports, to scare passengers away.
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The richest man on earth offered to pay federal workers out of his own pocket and the government said no.
Read that again.
They don’t want us to win, they never did.
unusual_whales@unusual_whales
BREAKING: White House has rejected Elon Musk offer to cover TSA worker pay, per Reuters.
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@IncomeSharks @GertvanLagen No way you are the same account owner as the crypto days... Hope the dude got a good price for his account 🤡
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@GertvanLagen A boring stock market would be great for small caps and crypto
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@jtsla4 Would have been cool to see it IPO at 100 billion and see everyone ride it up to a trillion. Not launch there and make all the private investors richer
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