Lo Cavaller

40.3K posts

Lo Cavaller

Lo Cavaller

@Buffett_esp

Azote anti-woke & part time speculator

Londres Katılım Ocak 2024
3.3K Takip Edilen1.1K Takipçiler
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Small Cap Snipa
Small Cap Snipa@SmallCapSnipa·
Bernstein new report yesterday on emerging AI infrastructure: “We continue to like $IREN as a vertically integrated neocloud.” $WULF: $36 PT $CIFR: $32 PT $CORZ: $32 PT $CLSK: $24 PT $RIOT: $30 PT $MARA: $17 PT $IREN: $100 PT
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Lo Cavaller
Lo Cavaller@Buffett_esp·
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Sylent Capital
Sylent Capital@SylentTrade·
$SPCX WILL ACQUIRE $IREN for $70-80/SHARE. YOU HAVE BEEN WARNED.
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daniliro 🏎️🇪🇸⭐⭐
Campeones del mundo ganando a más campeones: 3 - ESP 🇪🇸 en 2026 (🇺🇾🇫🇷🇦🇷) 3 - GER 🇩🇪 en 2014 (🇫🇷🇧🇷🇦🇷) 3 - ARG 🇦🇷 en 1986 (🇺🇾🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿🇩🇪) 3 - ITA 🇮🇹 en 1982 (🇦🇷🇧🇷🇩🇪) 3 - BRA 🇧🇷 en 1970 (🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿🇦🇷🇮🇹) Campeones continentales ganando a más campeones del mundo: 4 - ESP 🇪🇸 Euro 2024 (🇮🇹🇩🇪🇫🇷🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿)
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MartaSevilla
MartaSevilla@MarBalCas·
Estas "casualidades" dan mucho miedo
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Patient Investor
Patient Investor@PSInvestor·
$CIFR BTM math from Morgan Stanley is wild Using their assumptions ($11/watt cost, 85% margin, 15x, 1.3 PUE) and the $8B market cap at the time of the note ($19.50/share): 1. Base (grid only): +$3.54B → ~$28 2. +300 MW BTM: +$7.48B → ~$38 3. +500 MW BTM: +$10.1B → ~$44 4. +1,000 MW BTM: +$16.66B → ~$60 share price $MS formal bull case (with full pipeline + more leases): $76.50 😳 🤯 Current price ~$26. Great find @SmallCapSnipa brother 👊
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Small Cap Snipa@SmallCapSnipa

Morgan Stanley: $CIFR bull target increase due to behind-the-meter potential upside: Let’s dive into the math. I highly recommend understanding this as investors in BTM. Assumptions: 1. Cost/watt powered shell: $11 • This is the fully loaded development cost to deliver a powered shell measured on IT watts (includes land, cooling, construction, interconnection work, etc). 2. Lease margin: 85% • After operating expenses, the portion of the lease revenue that drops to EBITDA/lease margin. High figure in this model due to the assumption that Cipher acts as powered-shell land lord vs full colo provider. 3. Lease yield on cost: 17% • Annualized margin ÷ project cost. Basically the unleavened cash return once the project reaches stabilization. 4. Revenue/Watt: $2.20 • Annual revenue per IT watt All of these assumptions are consistent with each other: at the 85% lease margin, the $2.20 per watt produces the 17% yield on $11 cost. 17% x $11 = $1.87. $1.87 ÷ .85 = $2.20. PUE sits at 1.3 and stands for Power Usage Effectiveness. Essentially this is gross power divided by critical IT. 1.3 is a considered modern for hyperscale standards. This number would result for 1 MW of critical IT available for every 1.3 MW of gross. EBITDA multiple on margin 15x Base case (CIFR grid capacity): 270 MW gross = 208 MW critical IT Annual revenue: 208m watts x 2.2 = $457.6M Annual lease margin: $457.6 x 0.85=$388M Gross EV: $388 x 15 =$5.82B Development cost: 208m watts x 11 = $2.28B Net value creation: $5.82B - $2.28B = $3.54B Net value creation per watt: $3.54B ÷ 208m = $17.05 As a % of market cap: 44% (at the time of the note ciphers mkt cap was around ~$8B) BTM Case: The model uses the $17.05/watt to the additional capacity that BTM would generate and the same PUE or 1.3 (gross ÷ critical IT) BTM gross added: 300 MW Critical IT: 231 MW Additional value creation: 213m x $17.05 = $3.95B Plus base value creation: $3.95B + $3.54B = $7.476B which totals a value creation of 96% of Ciphers market cap at the time Do the same math for: 500 MW BTM: $10.099B (126% mkt cap) 1,000 MW BTM: $16.657B (208% mkt cap) Bottom line? The future is bright for behind-the-meter generation.

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Jaime de Berenguer
Jaime de Berenguer@jaimeberenguer·
Los indepes no lo saben aún pero tienen un “problema” 🇪🇸
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Andrea
Andrea@andrea_economia·
Curioso cómo cambia el discurso. Si sexualizan a Esther Expósito: escándalo nacional durante cuatro años. Si sexualizan a Ferran Torres: risas, memes y miles de comentarios. La doble vara de medir ya no se puede disimular.
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Gregorio S. «EL TALAVERANO»
Coches oficiales: más de 1.000 Hidroaviones: 7 Lo llaman cambio climático.
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Andrés Weiss
Andrés Weiss@andresweiss_·
Vaya PALO de Klopp a la prensa alemana: “No hago esto por mí. Lo hago por vosotros. Acepto este trabajo a pesar de haber visto cómo trataron a Nagelsmann. Cómo trataron a Tuchel” “Si vais tras mi familia, me voy. Si pensáis que soy una basura, decídmelo y me iré”
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José M. López Nicolás
José M. López Nicolás@ScientiaJMLN·
La sonrisa de Dani Olmo frente a la provocación de Leandro Paredes… la inteligencia emocional frente a la marrullería.
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