bluemaserati

@cfromhertz Awesome to hear! Lets go

@cfromhertz Been holding ALB c'mon get going bucko right there

$LIT Lithium

@anandragn Anand , just curious, what % of acct options trades?

As usual, sharing all the good, bad, ugly and everything in between as it should be. After a really good Jan and Feb, had a super choppy, down March. Most of the drop happened in the first week alone at which point I cut size hard, tightened stops, and stepped back from entering new positions, as I was sharing real-time. Now after a few sessions into April, the portfolio equity curve has been hitting new highs since last couple of days. It took only a few sessions for the equity curve to take out previous highs from the March higher low. What helped: Drawdown control/Risk management What needs to improve: Even fewer trades when there is zero edge during hard penny environment. It always takes a few attempts to get the right entries, yet kept my stops really super tight (the post I shared last week about limiting my stops down to 2-2.5% was at play here). The equity curve tells the story pullbacks getting shallower and shallower near the end, before the decisive break to the upside that came last week. As I was sharing through all of March, it was a tough phase to navigate with constant news flow and tape bombs. But controlling the drawdown while holding on to my big winners from earlier, while staying ready to re-engage when the time was right were my biggest focus areas during that choppy, news-driven tape. We can’t control the tape. What we can control is risk management, drawdown, and not overtrading. Going back to first principles, survival becomes the priority. That’s the only way to stay in the game long enough, fresh enough to capitalize when easier windows open up. Notable performers: $SNDK $MU $TSEM $NBIS $MRVL $VIAV $ICHR $FLY $AEHR

@AmeetRai Well do you see anything get in there?

Volume has really taken a back seat in my trading the past several years. I’m focused more and more on how price is acting. The best type of volume on charts these days is when price tightens significantly and we see a lack of sellers (dry up).

@Fidelity I'm going to need some free options plays 😜 Thanks for improving the platform otherwise, appreciate you guys

@BullmondGreen Hello. We are aware that some customers were unable to access account details via the Fidelity mobile app this morning. This is now resolved. We apologize for the inconvenience and appreciate you being a customer.

@Fidelity why options trading not working in app? I reset everything restarted still no work

@JonahLupton I get it, but why not wait for a base to form? I like some of your ideas, but you always buying knives and from what I've seen - keep dropping FOUR TMDX NOW. I've played them with you. Follow w caution gang.

I went through hundreds of charts this weekend and there's obviously lots of carnage in tech, growth, cloud, cyber, software, fintech, etc... many stocks down -40% or more in the past 6+ months... many multiples getting compressed by 60% or more... some of these companies might have another 20-30% downside but some of them could be oversold at current prices and therefore it might be worth adding them to your watchlists. In full transparency, we covered our $IGV and $WCLD shorts/hedges (at @FirstWaveFund) over the past couple days and began tiny starter positions (ie swing trades) in a few names that have been beaten down and look attractive however technicals / support levels need to hold up. The three stocks that we started buying the past two days were $PLTR (Friday), $AXON (Thursday) and $ZETA (Friday). $PLTR -- still very expensive but it's down -40% from the highs, expected to grow revenues by another 65% this year, bounced off the $124 support level (Feb 2025 highs), I'd probably average down to $120 which is the .618 fibs retracement from April 2025 lows but not willing to hold it below that level because of the valuation. $AXON -- still a little expensive but it's down -60% from the highs, expected to grow revenues by 30% for the next 2-3 years, should have strong support in the high $320s from 2024 highs and the .786 fibs retracement from the 2023 lows to the 2025 highs, I don't think I'd be willing to hold $AXON below $325 because it doesn't look cheap until it's NTM P/E multiple is in the 20s and that means the stock would be trading in the $250s, with that said the NTM revs multiple has been reduced from 22.9x to 7.8x which is -66% compression $ZETA -- looks very cheap at less than 9x NTM ebitda with ebitda expected to grow at a 28% CAGR for the next few years, down -63% from the highs but approaching the 200w ema and the trendline from 2022 lows, currently sitting on the .786 fibs retracement from the IPO in 2021, over the past 18 months the NTM revs multiple has been reduced from 8.2x to 1.9x which is -77% compression The last chart is $IGV, which is at a very important support level... 73.00 needs to hold up... down -37% from the highs... pulling back to the summer 2023 highs in the $73-74 range is notable... on the daily chart there's still an unfilled gap down $73 (might be better if it gets filled in the next couple days and then bounces)... $IGV also pulling back to the .618 fibs retracement from the 2022 lows and the VWAPs from the 2018 lows just below (fwiw, 2018 was another painful period for software stocks), also worth noting the volume on $IGV this past Friday was 2.5x the average daily volume which means there's definitely some capitulation happening which often times can mark a bottom (or near a bottom). The rest of this thread will cover stocks that we don't own (at @FirstWaveFund) however they're on my primary watchlist and we might look to start positions / swing trades in the near future if the markets are constructive. NFA. DYOR. **The only three stocks in this thread we own at @FirstWaveFund are $PLTR $ZETA $AXON however that could change at any time. Even if we did start positions in some of the stocks mentioned in this thread... they would be low conviction ie swing trades which means they don't get above 1% of invested capital and they have stop losses which are typically 4-8% below our cost basis.

"Why should I have the touch in Hong Kong, Calcutta, Saigon and Stockholm, and lose it when I was within half a mile of Wall Street? What was the difference? There was no easy solution to the problem and for a long time I was baffled. Then one day, as I sat in the Plaza Hotel afraid to make a telephone call, I suddenly realized something. When I was abroad, I visited no board rooms, talked to no one, received no telephone calls, watched no ticker. The solution was whispering to me but at first I could not credit it. It was so surprising, so simple and yet so extraordinary that I could hardly believe it. It was: My ears were my enemy. It dawned on me like a revelation that when I was traveling abroad I had been able to assess the market, or rather the few stocks in which I was interested, calmly, neutrally, without interruption or rumor, completely without emotion and ego. I had operated simply on the basis of my daily telegram, which gave me my perspective. It showed me the way my stocks were behaving. There were no other influences, because I did not see or hear anything else. In New York it was nothing like that. There were interruptions, rumors, panics, contradictory information, all floating into my ear. As a result of this my emotions became involved with the stocks — and the cold, clinical approach had gone." - Nicholas Darvas, How I Made $2 Million In The Stock Market

@801010athlete Amen I got lost in the sauce during trump threat climax. Cost me a ton. If I just focused on WL, ignored headlines and indexes - I'd be rolling in the dough lol

Market doesn’t seem to care anymore about everything going on in the world. That’s the hardest thing for most people to deal with. A logical person could name a million things to be fearful about but Mr. Market doesn’t seem to care. Your life will be a lot less stressful if you simplify things and focus on the price action in leading stocks. $AA $AAOI $AMD $AMZN $CIEN $DELL $GEV $GLW $LITE $NBIS $MU $SNDK $INTC $KLIC $LUNR $NOK $NVDA $NFLX $YSS $CAT $HUT $PL $SOLS $TER $VIAV $VRT $UFO $EWZ

🚨 $META You see "after-the-fact" option flow on X showing insane gains just for engagement & likes. You don’t see the 95% of flow that Fails or is loser Desperate traders salivate over the "what ifs" of following those flow alerts. Those are the traders who never make it!

@801010athlete Dealing with a lot of regret right now. Got busy. Took desperation play from flow, chasing, not my style but I let the news get me. I know I'll bounce back. The regret feeling is awful. So many setups. Got distracted and complacent at the worst time

The whining and complaining already coming across my feed. Just say you were short or all cash & negative, it’s ok. We’ve all been there. The market is rigged thing is not pretty.

@cfromhertz Sick highlights, terrible music choice lol

An amazing athlete

@SahilBloom It is incredible thanks for sharing

I spent most of my 20s thinking I didn’t want kids. Thought it was a distraction from achieving “success” (whatever that meant). Well, last night, I was tucking my son into bed and he looked at me and said, “Dada, you’re my hero.” It was the best moment of my life. I can’t imagine not experiencing this. I’m not sure how anything will ever measure up to the feeling I had in that moment. Purest joy I’ve ever felt. I’m glad my definition of success changed, because this version is much better.

@TheShortBear Wow love this hot take

Keep in mind the generals all getting fired within a few days ahead of the operation. The numbers and types of aircrafts. The location of the operation. The ultra angry tweet at Iran. The newly created deadline. The recent troops „not being needed“ comments. The infrastructure all go the sudden being the target. …. Lots of tells.

@StockMktTV What a show today, thanks for the laughs on this Monday morning. JC might need more 3 day wkends. I was running like @ppearlman couldn't stop laughing. Have a great day gang

The Morning Show is LIVE on Stock Market TV! x.com/i/broadcasts/1…

@NirAoo7 Lmao I was going to send that to my sister-in-law in the liquor business

breaking news: opening of hormuz is scheduled for 17:00 PT thank you for your attention to this matter!

@801010athlete Am reading that book rn You're good, few r good but buncha hacks out there 😂 gota run our own processes entries sizings what a game

1999/2000 reading “How to Make $ in Stocks” trying to trade exactly like the book w zero help or anyone to talk to paying $10 commissions and taking 7-8% losses. I really don’t think any of you have a clue how much better you have it and yet daily I see “this market is rigged” when you have absolutely incredible teachers all over the internet, Wild.

@anandragn Nice scam

It’s about time. Long overdue. After nearly 4 years of paying it forward… I’m finally launching a paid service. Appreciate everyone who has supported throughout the journey. Link in bio.

Trend following owes loyalty to no one. Bulls call you a genius on the way up… Bears call you an idiot Then the tape flips… Suddenly, Bears love you… Bulls call you a traitor The reality is that you have, No ego No side No agenda You’re not trying to be right You’re trying to be on the right side That still makes you the villain to someone. You’re a mirror And mirrors sometimes make people uncomfortable for what they are not. You’re not a bull You’re not a bear You’re a participant.

@charliebilello What's your play for food? WEAT?

Fertilizer prices have moved up to their highest levels since September 2022, rising 52% YoY. About a third of global fertilizer supply passes through the Strait of Hormuz. This will drive food price inflation higher in the coming weeks/months.