Jason Birchoff

@Musicalmindz @shadowcrewtroll @Gambit337 @balajis Air superiority means the IRGC cant actually fight open battles if the US did put boots on the ground. Their only advantage would be if the US had to take the cities. I am not confident they would have to. e\

@Musicalmindz @shadowcrewtroll @Gambit337 @balajis To be honest the only reason we are at this point is becasue Iran got the shit kicked out of it last year by israel. That demonstrated how easy it was to gain Air superiority over Iran. 3\

I'm going to make some obvious points. (1) Blowing up all the oil infrastructure in the Middle East is an insane idea, and may well result in a global economic crash and humanitarian crisis unrivaled in the lives of those now living. We're talking about the price of everything everywhere rising, from food to gas, at a moment when inflation was already high. All of that will be laid at the feet of the authors of this war. (2) The antebellum status quo of Feb 27, 2026 was just not that bad, but we're unlikely to return to it. Expect indefinite, long-term, ongoing disruptions to everything out of the Middle East. (3) Also assume tech financing crashes for the indefinite future. The genius plan to get the Gulf states caught in the crossfire has incinerated much of the funding for LPs, for datacenters, and for IPOs. Anyone in tech who supported this war may soon learn the meaning of "force majeure" as funding gets yanked. (4) Many capital allocators will instead be allocating much further down Maslow's hierarchy of needs, towards useful basic things like food and energy. (5) It's fortunate that all those progressives yelled about the "climate crisis." Yes, their reasoning about timelines was wrong, and much of the money was wasted in graft, but the result was right: we all need energy independence from the Middle East, pronto. It's also fortunate that Elon and China autistically took climate seriously. Now they're going to need to ship a billion solar panels, electric vehicles, batteries, nuclear power plants, and the like to get everyone off oil, immediately. (6) It's not just an oil and gas problem, of course. It's also a fertilizer problem, and a chemical precursor problem. Maybe some new sources will come online at the new prices, but it takes time to dial stuff up, particularly at this scale, so shortages are almost a certainty. That said, China has actually scaled up coal-to-chemicals[a,c] (C2C), and there's also something more sci-fi called Power-to-X[b] which turns arbitrary power + water + air into hydrocarbons. But all of that will need to get accelerated. I have a background in chemical engineering so may start funding things in this area. (7) Ultimately, this war is going to result in tremendous blame for anyone associated with it. It's a no-win scenario to blow up this much infrastructure for so many people. Simply not worth it for whatever objective they thought they were going to attain. But unless you're actually in a position to stop the madness, the pragmatic thing to do is: scramble to mitigate the fallout to yourself, your business, and your people. [a]: reuters.com/business/energ… [b]: alfalaval.com/industries/ene… [c]: reuters.com/sustainability…

@Musicalmindz @shadowcrewtroll @Gambit337 @balajis You dont get to be very very violently aggressive with your rhetoric. Then expect your much more powerful enemies to simply pretend like they dont mean it. Oct 7 demonstrated what happens thats not an entirely valid position. e\

@Musicalmindz @shadowcrewtroll @Gambit337 @balajis They claimed they had nothing to do with Oct 7th. But the problem is they trained, funded and armed hamas and hezbollah. So all that means is they dont even have control over the groups they founationally support. So why should anyone believe they can control who used it? 2\

@JOBhakdi The problem with (1) is what do you define as threat. (1) is only likely to be correct if the issue is imminent threat. But long term, yeah that changes the issue.

The assumption that I and many other have is that 1. Nuke threat WAS an extremely dumb excuse and disconnected from reality (US intel agencies, last June etc.) 2. Iran COULD actually develop nukes anytime, and now might decide to do it.

@Musicalmindz @shadowcrewtroll @Gambit337 @balajis You can't say he was against nukes. But also stock pilling what was needed just in case. Your being hipocritical. Either he was against. In which case someone else was pushing it. Or he wasn't.

Are you dense? He was enriching uranium (not building nukes) specifically for this scenario because America and Israel are insane and untrustworthy. They should have gotten nukes earlier like NK did because no ones going to ever invade or bomb them because of it. And to be clear I am no fan of the IRGC or the Iranian leadership nor do I want them to have nukes but if you treat them this way it's hard to see why they wouldn't. And spoiler alert, we can't do a fucking thing about it.

@MarioNawfal Your an idiot if you think the only approach for boots on the ground involves a complete Iraq style invasion.

This is why Trump should end this war as soon as possible

@araghchi What your leaving out. Is the part where they are already killing each other. What your highlighting only happens when there are no existing hostilities. But once hostilities have been started, people stop paying attention to the idea that one side has a kill list. Its assumed.

Israel has no regard for the repercussions of the normalization of its heinous methods of terror. But the international community should not disregard that recklessness; as for every action there will inevitably and always be a reaction.

@MarioNawfal You mean like ukraine? Are we pretending that the europeans arent actively dragging their feet there?

🚨🇺🇸 Press Sec: "NATO allies benefit far more from the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz than the U.S. does." So the U.S. starts a war without consulting allies, then expects them to clean up the mess because they need it more.

Good fruit is not sinlessness. It's evidence of surrender. The ones chasing the Word aren't claiming perfection; they're confessing need. We fight to sin less because we know we're sinners, and because Jesus was too costly a sacrifice to answer with casual rebellion.

@manthanguptaa LOL. Isnt this what the C guys said to the C++ and Managed Memory guys.

LLMs have made code cheap. So now people are spinning up 10 agents working on 10 features in parallel. Sounds productive. But the tradeoff is obvious: the code quality is often spaghetti + over-engineered. LLMs behave like over-eager interns. They will do more than asked, add abstractions you didn’t need, and optimize for "completeness" over simplicity. Which means you end up babysitting anyway. For anything non-trivial, I have found you still need to spend 1–3 hours upfront: • defining scope • writing clear specs • thinking through system boundaries • setting constraints Otherwise, the system drifts. And even after that, you have to review the code. They still hallucinate patterns, introduce unnecessary layers, or miss edge cases, even with detailed instructions. A lot of people advocate "just let agents cook." In practice, you're often getting 60-70% unnecessary code that increases: • cognitive load • onboarding time • surface area for bugs • long-term maintenance cost For side projects, this is fine. But for real systems with shared codebases, multiple engineers, and production traffic, this compounds fast. We are already seeing: • unstable tools • memory leaks • constant crashes • frequent rewrites This isn't just "early days", it’s a direct result of speed > discipline. Spinning up 10 agents feels like productivity. But you are often just pulling forward the cost into refactoring hell. I would rather: build slower → keep systems simple → refactor less frequently Good engineering is still about what you choose not to build.

@lordissy25 @MarioNawfal Or britain is taking the opportunity to rub the admin's face in the mud. Since the admin isnt backing their war in ukraine.

Powell calling out Witkoff and Kushner as Israeli assets pulling Trump into war he wanted to avoid feels like a massive crack in the official story exposed. Britain saw serious progress and a substantial proposal that could've de-escalated everything but premature attacks killed the momentum and left diplomacy in ruins. What's your take on whether those negotiations could've actually prevented the current escalation mess?

🚨 BREAKING: 🇬🇧🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱 “We regarded Witkoff and Kushner as Israeli assets that dragged a president into a war he wants to get out of.” - UK national security adviser Jonathan Powell He reportedly saw Iran’s nuclear offer during negotiations as serious enough to prevent escalation. Diplomats say real progress was being made, and the proposal was “unexpectedly substantial.” Britain viewed the later strikes as premature, believing diplomacy was still working. Jonathan Powell reportedly labeled Witkoff and Kushner as Israeli assets that dragged Trump into the war. Source: The Guardian

@MarioNawfal I find it funny they know what working diplomacy looks like when they dont give a fuck. but when its ukraine... no diploymacy looks like its working at all.

@MelMattison1 are you dizzy from the pivot your currently making

Ok, here's the bottom line. We elected a President with Jewish kids, Jewish in-laws, and Jewish grandkids. He was funded by Jewish/Israeli PACs. He is now fulfilling promises. It is very possible that Bibi has the shit on DJT and has him in his pocket. These are the facts. DJT needs to go. He is losing his mind. Vance needs to be put in charge. He needs to completely pull us out of the ME. We do not need to be there. Saudi Arabia and Kuwait can go fuck themselves. This American Empire needs to shrink and redefine itself as an engine for improving the lives of Americans, not the lives of Israelis. The silver lining of this whole thing may be that the US needs to pull out of NATO, pull out of the Middle-East and let the rest of the world figure shit out. We can longer be the source of truth for the world. We need to do something very hard: Voluntarily dismantle our empire on focus on home.

@lauralu13 @boasts0f @winincentive @hahussain So I guess the wars the persians lost to have their empire reduced in size dont matter. They can lay claim to that land now. How about turkey. They are technically the inheritors of the ottoman empire. Your the colonizers of the land their forfathers conquered.

@boasts0f @Burchoff @winincentive @hahussain Bullshit. They want their own land back from the colonisers. You might be a bootlicking serf who would roll over and take it but most people wouldn't. Off you fuck ziobot

Free Palestine means Israel does not have the right to exist. This Palestinian berates Mamdani for recognizing Israel’s right to exist. The Palestinian dude is absolutely right. Palestinians never agreed to Zionism, never will. To them, it’s a zero-sum game: kill or be killed. They want the world to help them kill the Jews and their state. Such a moment of truth…

@lauralu13 @winincentive @hahussain What makes your position more laughable. is the Arabs thought it was okay to take land by force. But dont think when others do the same it has the legitimacy they claim it would have if they did it. Miss me with the bullshit

@Burchoff @winincentive @hahussain It was their land. And the "Israelis" have been stealing more ever since whilst killing them and ethnically cleansing them you fucking clown.

@boasts0f @lauralu13 @winincentive @hahussain true. but he is arguing the brain dead idea that just becasue they lived on it was always theirs. He is being deliberatly ignorant of the HISTORICAL FACT that authority of that land was with the Ottoman empire who lost that authority to the British in WW1

@lauralu13 @Burchoff @winincentive @hahussain there is no “your land”. it’s your land as long as you can keep it. they gambled it away because killing jews was more important than survival for them.