Jonathan Cab

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Jonathan Cab

Jonathan Cab

@shadowcrewtroll

"Beautiful opinions. Some say the best opinions."

Katılım Mayıs 2022
806 Takip Edilen778 Takipçiler
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Jonathan Cab
Jonathan Cab@shadowcrewtroll·
Hopefully this data visualization will help you understand the pace at which Iranian launch capacity is being systematically degraded. This is the reality. Everything else is cope.
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Robby Soave
Robby Soave@robbysoave·
Now that Cesar Chavez is credibly accused of sexual abuse of numerous women, including 12 and 13-year-old girls, I presume we are going to be releasing any and all government files pertaining to him, scrutinize his relationships with other labor leaders and the Democratic Party, publish his private correspondence, and consider as tainted or (possibly even complicit) anyone who met with him or traveled with him, particularly in the presence of young girls. That's how this goes, right?
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Jonathan Cab
Jonathan Cab@shadowcrewtroll·
@tszzl But there is a coming of age aspect to the movie. I thought he was too skinny to be believable as a fighter but I just told myself he as dangerous because of the weirding way.
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roon
roon@tszzl·
the dune movies were doomed from the start to be good and not great due to the casting of chalamet as paul. he does not have the gravitas for a child-god and is much better suited for kind of silly coming of age movies
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bespoke diogenes
bespoke diogenes@bespokediogenes·
@JamespWeigel @shadowcrewtroll iran is party to the NPT. israel which has nuclear weapons is not. Israel has been committing war crimes in gaza and lebanon, and has expansionist goals as part of "greater israel". any objective person would have more concern about israel having nukes than iran.
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Balaji
Balaji@balajis·
I'm going to make some obvious points. (1) Blowing up all the oil infrastructure in the Middle East is an insane idea, and may well result in a global economic crash and humanitarian crisis unrivaled in the lives of those now living. We're talking about the price of everything everywhere rising, from food to gas, at a moment when inflation was already high. All of that will be laid at the feet of the authors of this war. (2) The antebellum status quo of Feb 27, 2026 was just not that bad, but we're unlikely to return to it. Expect indefinite, long-term, ongoing disruptions to everything out of the Middle East. (3) Also assume tech financing crashes for the indefinite future. The genius plan to get the Gulf states caught in the crossfire has incinerated much of the funding for LPs, for datacenters, and for IPOs. Anyone in tech who supported this war may soon learn the meaning of "force majeure" as funding gets yanked. (4) Many capital allocators will instead be allocating much further down Maslow's hierarchy of needs, towards useful basic things like food and energy. (5) It's fortunate that all those progressives yelled about the "climate crisis." Yes, their reasoning about timelines was wrong, and much of the money was wasted in graft, but the result was right: we all need energy independence from the Middle East, pronto. It's also fortunate that Elon and China autistically took climate seriously. Now they're going to need to ship a billion solar panels, electric vehicles, batteries, nuclear power plants, and the like to get everyone off oil, immediately. (6) It's not just an oil and gas problem, of course. It's also a fertilizer problem, and a chemical precursor problem. Maybe some new sources will come online at the new prices, but it takes time to dial stuff up, particularly at this scale, so shortages are almost a certainty. That said, China has actually scaled up coal-to-chemicals[a,c] (C2C), and there's also something more sci-fi called Power-to-X[b] which turns arbitrary power + water + air into hydrocarbons. But all of that will need to get accelerated. I have a background in chemical engineering so may start funding things in this area. (7) Ultimately, this war is going to result in tremendous blame for anyone associated with it. It's a no-win scenario to blow up this much infrastructure for so many people. Simply not worth it for whatever objective they thought they were going to attain. But unless you're actually in a position to stop the madness, the pragmatic thing to do is: scramble to mitigate the fallout to yourself, your business, and your people. [a]: reuters.com/business/energ… [b]: alfalaval.com/industries/ene… [c]: reuters.com/sustainability…
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Jonathan Cab
Jonathan Cab@shadowcrewtroll·
@avidseries It hasn’t produced the desired effect yet. Strike packages continue to grow larger. America should probably seize an airstrip on Iran and fly sorties from there.
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i/o
i/o@avidseries·
The US and Israel's execution of their Iranian leadership decapitation strategy has worked beautifully, but it hasn't produced the desired results. The regime lumbers on, and the Iranian masses haven't taken to the streets. The regime's highly decentralized command structure, particularly within the IRGC, remains intact. The US and Israel's relentless destruction of Iran's missile and drone assets has been impressive, but, even by their own admission, many (if not most of) the locations of the manufacturing facilities are unknown to them. And so, unless the supply chain has been sufficiently disrupted, the regime's assembly lines continue to hum. It looks like the war is slowing down to the pace sought by Iranian war planners: A grinding conflict of attrition that it hopes will ultimately bore or frustrate Trump and will result in Gulf State pressure on the US to abandon its efforts to topple the regime.
Open Source Intel@Osint613

Benjamin Netanyahu: "What do we see? What happens if the, are there any signs that the Iranian regime is cracking?" "A lot of signs. A lot of signs. I wish I could divulge all of them, but I see that." "But will I tell you, will I commit right now that it's gonna collapse? I could tell you that we're working to create the conditions for it to collapse, but it may survive. It may not."

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Daniel Gross
Daniel Gross@grossdm·
Pretty astonishing. In Texas, between 10:00 am and 4:00 p.m., 80-90% of electricity comes from carbon free sources. And storage is already a significant contributor in the early morning and evening
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Eyal Yakoby
Eyal Yakoby@EYakoby·
Joe Kent: “There is zero evidence that Iran was trying to build a nuclear weapon, Netanyahu is warmongering.” The Deputy Speaker of the Iranian Parliament: “We tried to develop nuclear weapons, but couldn't keep it secret.”
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Darwin
Darwin@D4RW1NEXE·
Scorched earth tactics in the Arctic instantly neutralize American air superiority. Destroying the runways denies the US military the exact logistical hubs required to project power across the polar cap. Denmark understands that holding territory against a superpower requires eliminating the infrastructure that makes the territory valuable. Watch the immediate reallocation of NATO defensive assets away from Eastern Europe toward the High North.
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Visegrád 24
Visegrád 24@visegrad24·
Denmark was ready to blow up Greenland runways if the USA invaded. The Danish military sent explosives and blood supplies to Greenland in January as part of contingency planning for a US attack, as tensions with Trump escalated. 🇩🇰🇬🇱🇺🇸
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TheGhostofDr.JoepLange
TheGhostofDr.JoepLange@Gh0stofDrLange·
aerospaceglobalnews.com/news/a10-warth… A10 is getting to is max airframe lifespan. 2026 was the date for many to be retired due to it's life cycle. Yet we have extended it lifespan to 2029. In aviation that is very telling to our desperation to the situation. It will become critical for it's maintenance to be much more extensive to keep it operating. Excuse my lack of confidence in this move. We have lost critical radar, so we rely on these older models to return. Reminds me of the Korean War.
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Status-6 (War & Military News)
Chairman of the JCS Gen. Dan Caine: "The A-10 Warthog is now in the fight across the southern flank and is hunting and killing fast attack watercraft in the Straits of Hormuz."
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Patricia Marins
Patricia Marins@pati_marins64·
Iran Very Much Alive Hours ago, Iran struck the Haifa refinery, initiating what appears to be the first phase of retaliation against Israel energy sector. In another episode, Iranian air defenses hit an F-35 that managed to land in a Gulf area. As I reported days ago, Iran is gradually deploying air defense systems in a war that appears to be infinitely more planned and strategic than the coalition side. Early today, the press reported that Iranian oil at sea is set to be removed from sanctions, a gesture of apparent defeat for the US-Israel axis, which is being massacred not by Iran, but by the market. edition.cnn.com/world/live-new…
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Jacob Jew
Jacob Jew@jew_jacob2005·
@BahBahBased @Alex_Ortodoxie @shadowcrewtroll @Just4Tweets1986 I think a bishop of the Church, the source of the bible, living closer to the time of the Apostles quoting verbatim what his text had and giving an exegesis is more authoritative than someone living divorced from the Church more than a thousand years later
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Kitt The Provisionist ✝️🩸🌎
I'm seriously starting to doubt Penal Substitutionary Atonement. The responses to the objections against PSA have been weak and dismissal. However, I've advocated for PSA for so long, it's hard to change the way I articulate the gospel. This is a total paradigm shift for me.
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Sawyer Merritt
Sawyer Merritt@SawyerMerritt·
@jchybow If my rough math is right, that would cost Tesla $2 billion+ per year, a cost that would go up ~20% per year.
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Jonathan Cab
Jonathan Cab@shadowcrewtroll·
@FischerKing64 Disagree. This is huge for capturing the student market and locking them into your ecosystem early.
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FischerKing
FischerKing@FischerKing64·
Apple selling cheap laptops means it’s giving up on being an aspirational brand. Means it’s run out of ideas - which has been obvious for a while with the goggles and the thicker phones and iPads. It’s like if Mercedes entered the compact truck market.
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Jonathan Cab
Jonathan Cab@shadowcrewtroll·
@8teAPi Say what you want about China. They are not stupid.
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FCC Filing Alerts
FCC Filing Alerts@fccfilingalerts·
🚨🚨 Blue Origin - FCC Docket SAT-LOA-20260310-00118 Blue Origin has filed an application with the Federal Communications Commission seeking authority to launch and operate a large satellite constellation known as Project Sunrise. This system is designed to host orbital data centers to support the increasing demand for artificial intelligence and cloud computing. By placing compute infrastructure in space, Blue Origin aims to provide a sustainable alternative to terrestrial data centers that face physical scaling limits. The proposed constellation includes up to 51,600 satellites operating in sun-synchronous orbits at altitudes ranging from 500 to 1,800 kilometers. To manage data traffic, the system will primarily use optical links and mesh backhaul networks, supplemented by Ka-band spectrum for telemetry, tracking, and command operations. The spacecraft will utilize multiple antenna variations to maintain efficient coverage across various orbital planes. In its filing, Blue Origin requests several regulatory waivers, including exemptions from standard processing round procedures and certain milestone or bond requirements. The company asserts that the project will enhance global compute accessibility and ensure efficient spectrum use. Approval would allow Blue Origin to expand its space infrastructure capabilities to include high-capacity orbital data processing. 🔗 fccalerts.com/api/pdf/658601…
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Open Source Intel
Open Source Intel@Osint613·
@krystalball @DropSiteNews You just pushed out a stream of fiction to soothe yourself. U.S. and Israeli jets are striking 1,000 targets daily, hitting your friends with near total freedom.
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Krystal Ball
Krystal Ball@krystalball·
From Shaiel’s analysis below 👀 “Independent satellite analysis suggests that a significant portion of the "80% destruction" claimed by the IDF actually hit high-fidelity decoys.”
Shaiel Ben-Ephraim@academic_la

I talked to two Israeli sources on why Iranian launches continue to increase, despite US-Israeli claims that they have destroyed almost all of the launchers. Here is what they said: 1) The 90–95% drop in volume claimed by CENTCOM earlier in the month was probably a temporary lull as Iran repositioned its remaining launchers into hardened sites. Independent satellite analysis suggests that a significant portion of the "80% destruction" claimed by the IDF actually hit high-fidelity decoys. 2) Despite fewer launchers, the lethality per strike has increased. Iran's shift to cluster warheads has allowed a single missile to impact multiple locations simultaneously, compensating for the lower volume of launches 3) Iran has successfully set up mobile, underground units able to fire at steady rates. Iran used that quiet period to move their remaining ~100-120 heavy launchers into "Super-Hardened" facilities 4) Iran is utilizing its Zolfaqar and Dezful road-mobile launchers. These units move from hardened tunnels to pre-surveyed launch spots, fire, and return underground in under 10 minutes, often before coalition drones can re-task for a strike. 5) Because these launching units are decentralized, it is very hard for US and Israeli intelligence to get info on them. Israel and the United States do not have an answer to this problem. That is why they are trying escalation on energy sources instead. But that is backfiring.

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