@jazz6thman Except that Luka was the “unathletic, slow-footed, below-the-rim, low ceiling” prospect, just like Boozer.
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Calvin Chappell
12.9K posts
The odds Peterson re-signs in Utah after his second contract compares to the odds AJ re-signs after his second contract is enough to overpay for the trade
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@brent_chappell7 Yep. But I still need to watch more of Peterson. We’ll see if my opinion changes
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My opinion on this year’s prospects:
1. Cam Boozer
2. AJ Dybantsa
Small gap
3. Darryn Peterson
Huge gap
4. Caleb Wilson
Huge gap
5. The rest
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@TuskedUp I know this is a lame answer, but I don’t think there’s a reason why that’s happened. The draft has so much random chance involved, and all things considered, this is a very small sample size.
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As I said yesterday, the 3rd pick has outperformed the 2nd pick from 1990-2022.
Think Jazz really need to look at this to figure out why. Here's examples where each pick was better. What stands out?
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Calvin Chappell retweetledi
@MarkW_E01 People are definitely overthinking it.
“Athleticism” is the most overrated aspect of players. The league is run by “unathletic” guys. Jokic, Doncic, Brunson, Steph, etc.
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We might just be overthinking Cam Boozer.
If you strip away the athleticism concerns and just look at the résumé (production, winning, pedigree, etc.) he’s arguably a top-20 American-born basketball prospect ever.
If Duke had won the title, maybe top 10-15.
He’s awesome.
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@TheLongEcon @TuskedUp I wouldn’t expect him to be a good defender as a rookie regardless of position, but not because of quickness. Rookies just tend to struggle on D
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@CHALVIN2018 @TuskedUp But teams usually play 2 guards. Is AJ gonna be quick enough to primarily guard nba 2s as a rook?
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Do we think AJ could really play as a SG in this lineup? Always thought he was more of a 3/4?
Ben Criddle@CriddleBenjamin
CBS Sports analyst Mike O'Donnell on how AJ Dybantsa fits with the Utah Jazz: "I just think it makes a lot of brand sense for A.J. Dybantsa to be on the Utah Jazz. Obviously, it was no secret the Utah Jazz did everything they possibly could to get that number one pick. There are relationships with BYU and Utah, with Danny Ainge, and that's been talked about at length. I think him being able to stay in the same state, the state completely fell in love with him. He is an absolute star in the state of Utah. I think it makes a lot of sense. I think the fan base would go nuts.They've got a lot of size in that position already. I get it. But he would have the keys on day one and be just such an epic force in the Western Conference for the Utah Jazz." Full breakdown: youtube.com/watch?v=Hz3Tuy…
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@ZP12Hoops People always assume that long & athletic players are good at defense simply due to being long and athletic.
They also tend to assume that below-the-rim players are bad at defense.
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It’s fascinating… I don’t think either are bad defensively. But the way they are talked about… Boozer is quite underrated defensively and Wilson is quite overrated defensively imo
Benjamin Smith@Benjiman31
I can't tell you how happy I'd be if the Jazz went Caleb over Cam. It would signal that they care about defense and that they're doing something about it.
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Call me crazy, but there’s a 0% chance I’m not starting Ace Bailey next year.
Idk how you make that work if you also have AJ. But Ace has got to be a starter for the Jazz next season.
Ben Criddle@CriddleBenjamin
CBS Sports analyst Mike O'Donnell on how AJ Dybantsa fits with the Utah Jazz: "I just think it makes a lot of brand sense for A.J. Dybantsa to be on the Utah Jazz. Obviously, it was no secret the Utah Jazz did everything they possibly could to get that number one pick. There are relationships with BYU and Utah, with Danny Ainge, and that's been talked about at length. I think him being able to stay in the same state, the state completely fell in love with him. He is an absolute star in the state of Utah. I think it makes a lot of sense. I think the fan base would go nuts.They've got a lot of size in that position already. I get it. But he would have the keys on day one and be just such an epic force in the Western Conference for the Utah Jazz." Full breakdown: youtube.com/watch?v=Hz3Tuy…
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@Mac_The_Jazz Will Hardy has consistently began each season with his rookies coming off the bench, but he’s had at least one rookie starting by the end of the season (Kessler, Keyonte, Collier, Ace).
They’ll be on the bench at the start, but they’ll have a chance to earn a starting spot.
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@JonesOnTheNBA To a lot of people, “eye test” means their very specific aesthetic archetype of player, and Jokic doesn’t fit that mold, so they think he doesn’t pass the eye test
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Respectfully, Jokic is not a guy “that doesn’t pass the eye test.” Got his ass kicked in this series and folks are extrapolating that to his entire career. I’m not a stats and metrics guy. I watch a ton of games and dude has been like Neo in The Matrix at points in his career
Damien Peters@DamienPetersNBA
Nikola Jokic will now be the overwhelming example of “eye test over everything”. Since winning his first MVP the majority of spreadsheets and formulated NBA metrics claimed he was the greatest offensive player ever. There’s never been more pushback to that sentiment than right now.
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@jazzman400 I think that’s an overstatement tbh. Only two of the top five players in the league are on true contenders. Maybe three if you count Denver.
I’d also ask all the teams who have traded for KD, Harden, Kyrie, etc in recent years how well the star-chasing strategy works.
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@CHALVIN2018 Ive been against these proposals, but like your points here. My main concern- the NBA is dominated by top players, because they have an outsized impact on winning relative to their cap hit. What is the path now to acquire said player in a rebuild?
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My thoughts on the proposed lottery reform:
It’s imperfect, but should be a huge improvement.
Currently, it’s a totally normal and accepted practice to “blow it up” when your team is mediocre or even good, but not a true contender. Because that makes sense in the current
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don’t have to waste four years of their prime sitting out with fake injuries because they’ll make their team “too good.”
Yeah, there will be different issues, but they won’t be as bad as what we have now, which is utterly broken.
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system. Teams are incentivized to be elite or terrible, nowhere in between. So we all have this mentality that the middle is poison. But it doesn’t have to be. With the proposed system, teams will choose to retool rather than blow it up. Which means players like Lauri Markkanen
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