
Candy🇨🇳🌸🌿
656 posts


@kingluffywang China’s revival isn’t about becoming another hegemon.
It’s about lighting a lantern where human civilization turns—
showing that there is another way forward.
A way where a nation can thrive without plunder,
stand strong without war,
and unite without manipulation.
#Civilization
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这个英文贴被《黑天鹅》的作者塔勒布转发了,以下是全文翻译。
这正是中国对伊朗问题保持沉默的原因。
所有人都在疯狂地问,当美国和以色列轰炸中国的一个主要能源合作伙伴时,北京在哪里?答案简单得近乎残酷,以至于大多数分析人士完全忽略了这一点:帝国正在自我吞噬,而中国已经在构建替代方案。
美国刚刚为了以色列将整个中东拖入战争,而现在沙特阿拉伯、阿联酋、科威特和卡塔尔正坐在一起,讨论退出美国合同并取消投资承诺。
海湾国家,即“石油美元”的绝对基石(这个自1974年以来维持美元作为世界储备货币地位的体系),正在积极讨论退出。而北京完全没有做任何事情来促成这一切……这是华盛顿咎由自取。
但人们忽略了这一点:中国在多年前就预见到了这一切并已铺设好了轨道。毫不夸张地说,“一带一路”倡议已经悄无声息地将150个国家接入了中国的基础设施、港口、铁路、公路、光纤电缆和电网……而西方媒体对此鲜有报道。
沙特阿拉伯在2023年开始以人民币向中国出售石油,单是这件事就应该占据整整一个月的头版头条。金砖国家刚刚扩员,将沙特阿拉伯、阿联酋和伊朗纳入同一阵营;中国建立了人民币跨境支付系统(CIPS)作为SWIFT的直接替代方案,让整个非西方世界能够在完全不接触美元的情况下进行贸易结算。所有这些举措都是在第一枚炸弹落入伊朗之前就已完成的。
然后是非洲……地球上最年轻的大陆,中位年龄19岁,预计到2050年人口将达到25亿,拥有地球上有史以来最庞大的劳动力。中国在20年前就明白,谁建设了非洲的基础设施,谁就拥有了21世纪。当美国斥资4万亿美元摧毁伊拉克和阿富汗时,中国正在肯尼亚修建铁路,在埃塞俄比亚建造大坝,在吉布提建设港口,在尼日利亚修筑公路,在卢旺达建立科技中心,以及在整个非洲大陆建设体育场、医院、政府大楼和由华为提供技术支持的电信网络……他们做到这一切,没有发射一枪一弹,没有政权更迭,没有制裁,也没有关于民主的说教,只有混凝土、钢铁、光纤和长期合同。
因此,当人们问为什么中国在伊朗问题上保持沉默时,答案是:沉默本身就是战略。美国为以色列打的每一场战争都耗资数万亿美元,破坏了能源市场的稳定,疏远了海湾合作伙伴,并将整个“全球南方”进一步推向北京花了二十年时间建立的体系。
海湾国家目前的战略转向与意识形态毫无关系。华盛顿为了服务于特拉维夫的地区战略,将他们整个周边地区变成了战区,然后还一本正经地要求他们继续购买美国国债……这笔账已经算不通了,而当利益算不通时,忠诚也就荡然无存了。
北京在伊朗问题上的沉默是棋盘上最耐心、最具破坏性的一步棋。中国正在实时看着美国瓦解自己的霸权,同时悄无声息地接手华盛顿烧毁的每一个联盟,它只需要继续建设,并保持沉默。
拿破仑曾说,当你的敌人正在犯错时,千万不要打断他。习近平将这转化为了一项50年的战略方针,而现在,它的回报速度甚至超出了北京的预期。
Nassim Nicholas Taleb@nntaleb
Most insightful comment I've seen on this war.
中文

@nntaleb China’s revival isn’t about becoming another hegemon.
It’s about lighting a lantern where human civilization turns—
showing that there is another way forward.
A way where a nation can thrive without plunder,
stand strong without war,
and unite without manipulation.
#Civilization
English


@BetterCallMedhi China’s revival isn’t about becoming another hegemon.
It’s about lighting a lantern where human civilization turns—
showing that there is another way forward.
A way where a nation can thrive without plunder,
stand strong without war,
and unite without manipulation.
#Civilization
English

this right here is the reason China stays quiet on Iran
everyone losing their mind asking where is Beijing while the US & Israel are bombing a major chinese energy partner and the answer is so brutal in its simplicity that most analysts miss it completely, the empire is eating itself alive and China is already building the replacementt
America just dragged the entire Middle East into a war for Israel & now Saudi arabia, UAE, kuwait & qatar are sitting in a room discussing pulling out of US contracts & canceling investment commitments
the Gulf states, the literal foundation of the petrodollar, the system that has kept the US dollar as world reserve currency since 1974 actively discussing the exit and Beijing did absolutely nothing to make that happen…Washington did it to itself
but here's what people miss: china saw this coming years ago and already laid the tracks, literally the belt & road Initiative has quietly wired 150 countries into c’hinese infrastructure, ports, railways, highways, fiber optic cables, power grids…while the western media barely covered it
Saudi Arabia started selling oil to China in yuan in 2023, that alone should have been front page news for a month, the BRICS just expanded to include Saudi arabia UAE and Iran in the samea bloc, China built CIPS as a direct alternative to SWIFT so the entire non western world can settle trade without ever touching the dollar, every single one of these moves was made before a single bomb fell on Iran
and then there's Africa…the youngest continent on earth, median age 19, projected to reach 2.5 billion people by 2050, the largest workforce the planet has ever seen & China understood 20y ago that whoever builds Africa's infrastructure owns the 21st century, while the US was spending 4 trillion dollars destroying Iraq & Afghanistan China was building railways in Kenya, dams in Ethiopia, ports in Djibouti, highways in Nigeria, tech hubs in Rwanda, stadiums, hospitals, government buildings, telecom networks powered by Huawei across the entire continent.. & they did it without firing a single bullet, no regime change, no sanctions, no lectures on democracy, just concrete steel, fiber optic and longterm contracts
so when people ask why China stays silent on Iran the answer is that silence is the strategy, every war America fights for Israel costs trillions, destabilizes energy markets, alienates Gulf partners and pushes the entire Global South closer to a system Beijing spent two decades building
the gulf states pivoting right now has zero to do with ideology, Washington turned their entire neighborhood into a warzone to serve Tel Aviv's regional strategy & then asked them to keep buying treasury bonds with a straight face….the math just stopped working and when the math stops working loyalty stops too
beijing's silencee on Iran is the most patient & most devastating move on the board, China is watching america dismantle its own hegemony in real time while quietly inheriting every alliance washington burns, it just has to keep building & keep quiet
Napoleon said nver interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake, Xi turned that into a 50y doctrine & right now it's paying off faster than even beijing expected
GIF
Sulaiman Ahmed@ShaykhSulaiman
JUST IN: Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, and Qatar are discussing withdrawing from contracts with the U.S. and canceling future investment commitments in the U.S. to alleviate some of the economic strain imposed upon them by the Iran war THE END OF THE U.S EMPIRE
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Candy🇨🇳🌸🌿 retweetledi

It is meant to be the last and final war, and whoever wins will control the very soul of human existence for all of eternity.
#PredictiveHistory | @xueqinjiang
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Candy🇨🇳🌸🌿 retweetledi

@NikolaTesla2010 聽說紅色護照很厲害,不拿出來,人家對你笑嘻嘻,看到直接臭臉走掉,到大使館也求不到幫助,我就不知道這張卡片有什麼厲害之處?
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@KerryBurgess What the fuck is with this dude. Truly disturbing.
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So they want me to believe that China, the world’s manufacturing and export powerhouse… generating $1 trillion in trade surplus annually… that has stable relations with almost all of its energy suppliers… and has been busy filling up its strategic oil reserves in one of most abundantly supplied markets in decades… is going to be crippled because it might lose access to Venezuelan and Iranian oil, which together accounted for just 15% of its total oil imports.
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