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@CapoCugine

There are no solutions. There are only tradeoffs.

Katılım Kasım 2023
134 Takip Edilen40 Takipçiler
Capo
Capo@CapoCugine·
@TheOGfantasy I’m just an depraved bitter giants fan. Sorry
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Theo Gremminger
Theo Gremminger@TheOGfantasy·
@CapoCugine There is no glazing, he had plenty of flaws as a HC. But leaning into his WR1 and m year one WR production and was something we have seen multiple times on different teams and different offenses. This is a bet on Tate and his current ADP cost is reasonable.
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Dante
Dante@DanteTheDon·
Was not ready for Eric Church to deliver the best commencement speech I’ve ever heard. Six guitar strings. Six pillars of a life. Faith. Family. Spouse. Ambition. Community. You. Tune them when you’re whole, not just when you’re broken. Watch the whole thing.
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Daniel Wortel-London
Daniel Wortel-London@dlondonwortel·
Northern Manhattan and the Bronx, 1931, looking exceptionally tidy (also note how undeveloped Jersey is to the left)
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Capo@CapoCugine·
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Cernovich
Cernovich@Cernovich·
Spencer Pratt’s campaign is where the median voter is now. All quality of life and anti-corruption. Not abortion and Israel debates sucking up all of the oxygen. This may translate into 2028 presidential campaigns. Way too soon to tell.
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Capo
Capo@CapoCugine·
@gemchange_ltd You really thought you were cool for posting this.
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gemchanger
gemchanger@gemchange_ltd·
every unemployed guy with a group chat of equally unemployed friends swatch x ap "royal pop" drops saturday may 16 and this is the easiest 4-figure week you'll have all year if you're willing to do something that resembles work for 14 hours. let me lay out exactly what i'll do retail confirmed $300–500 range based on moonswatch ($260) and blancpain scuba ($400) precedent. in-store only, no online sales. swatch is officially limiting it to 1 piece per person per store per day, not 2. so your hustle is per-warm-body, not per-pair historical resale data on the predecessors - moonswatch launched march 2022 at $260. stockx avg trade $900 (250% over retail), peak Tiffany blue Uranus $1,040 avg, individual eBay listings hit $2,400 / 12x retail. ~2,000 trades in first 6 days - blancpain scuba launched sept 2023 at $400. chrono24 current asks $600–995 across colorways, two years post-launch. launch week premiums were 2–3x - snoopy moonphase $430 retail, 2024 - guy in singapore waited 15 hours, watch immediately traded $1,200+ royal pop is the biggest of the three by a country mile. AP has never done downward extension, ever. entry RO is $60k AUD. this is the first time swatch has used a brand they don't own. the cultural moment is bigger than moonswatch and the supply will be tighter because AP cares about brand dilution. realistic launch-day flip: $1,200–1,800 per piece on a $400 retail. that's $800–1,400 profit per warm body you put in line. you bring 3 friends, you clear $3k+ in a saturday. you bring 5, count urself not all stores are equal. swatch lists US POS: SoHo, Times Square NY, Aventura, Miami Beach, Orlando, Tampa, Atlanta, Charlotte, Nashville, Dallas, Houston, Austin, Denver, Las Vegas, Honolulu, King of Prussia, Garden City, Troy MI, Oak Brook IL, Canoga Park, Santa Clara. UK has 13 confirmed stores. global rollout is simultaneous saturday morning - avoid: SoHo, Times Square, Carnaby Street London, Ginza, Orchard Singapore. these are the moonswatch ground zero stores. snoopy line was 150 deep at 7am at ion orchard, people camped from 7pm previous day. carnaby had 5,000 people for moonswatch launch. you will not get a watch unless you're sleeping on the pavement thursday night - target: secondary US cities Oak Brook IL, Troy MI, King of Prussia PA, Garden City NY, Canoga Park, Honolulu, Charlotte, Nashville. same allocation as flagship stores in most cases, 5–10x less line pressure. dude in the fratello article literally walked into Salzburg with no line and bought any model he wanted while doha was a war zone. apply same logic - mall stores > street stores this is exactly the pirate black yeezy 350 dynamic from 2015. bugis+ in singapore: 1,058 people in line for 52 pairs, ballot system, $329 retail, immediate 3–5x flip. vancouver granville street 2019, dudes camping from noon thursday for friday morning drop. the tactics that worked then work now: - 1 watch per person per day is the rule. so you bring people. cousin, gf, gf's roommate, your buddy who owes you money. each warm body = +1 allocation. industry standard kickback is $100–200 cash same-day for them just to stand. that's a 90% margin you keep - the store rotation. rule is per-store per-day. drive between 2 mall stores 20 min apart, same person can buy at both. nobody enforces a national database. the AP collab will probably tighten this with wristbands or ID logging at flagships, but at troy MI nobody's running a database - the line audit. show up to your target store thursday at noon. count heads, photograph the line, do the math. if there's 80 people for what you estimate is 40 allocation, you're cooked, drive to your B-tier backup. don't waste sunrise on a dead store - the early-batch tail. swatch said sealed boxes are already being shipped to stores. some boutiques will get boxes opened tuesday/wednesday for staff display setup. they don't sell early but staff talks. walk in wednesday afternoon, ask politely how many they expect, what time staff arrives saturday. you'll get answers - the ssense/stockx hedge. list your watch on chrono24 / stockx / eBay literally the moment you walk out of the store at 11am saturday. the entire premium window is the first 72 hours. moonswatch hit peak resale day 3 and was halved by month 3. blancpain scuba premium decayed slower because mechanical movement + lower units. royal pop has both factors so the window is wider, but the parabolic peak is still 48–72 hours. don't be greedy past wednesday - the consignment dropout. if you can't queue, walk the line at 7am with cash. offer the 40th-in-line guy $300 cash on top of retail to swap places. people in lines that long start doing the math and some will take it. learned this from supreme drops, transfers cleanly to watches
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Capo@CapoCugine·
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Jordan Raanan
Jordan Raanan@JordanRaanan·
Rookie minicamp practice ends with former Michigan kicker Dominic Zvada going 5 for 5 on field goals, including a 55-yarder to conclude the festivities.
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Leading Report
Leading Report@LeadingReport·
“Patient Zero” in the cruise ship hantavirus outbreak has been identified as ornithologist Leo Schilperoord, whose passion for birds led him to a landfill in Argentina to observe birds that may have cost him his life.
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Capo@CapoCugine·
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TMZ
TMZ@TMZ·
😳 EXCLUSIVE: New Dianna Russini and Mike Vrabel video shows the two heading out for their Tennessee boat day while she was very much showing during her first pregnancy.
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Bret Weinstein
Bret Weinstein@BretWeinstein·
When I first saw the hantavirus story I thought: given it's a single stranded RNA virus, Ivermectin is very likely to work--because IVM is effective with RNA viruses generally. Look what happened when I pursued it with Claude. It clammed up, for "safety" reasons. Buckle up!
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Anish Moonka
Anish Moonka@anishmoonka·
Winston Churchill fought his depression with bricks. He'd lay them for hours at his country home in Kent. He joined the bricklayers' union. And in 1921 he wrote about why it worked. It took psychology another 75 years to catch up. He called his depression the "Black Dog." It followed him for decades. His method for fighting it back was as basic as it sounds: laying brick after brick, hour after hour. Churchill spelled out his theory in a long essay for The Strand Magazine. People who think for a living, he wrote, can't fix a tired brain just by resting it. They have to use a different part of themselves. The part that moves the eyes and the hands. Woodworking, chemistry, bookbinding, bricklaying, painting. Anything that drags the body into a problem the mind can't solve by itself. Modern psychology now calls this behavioral activation. It's one of the most-studied depression treatments out there. Depression sets a behavior trap. You feel bad, so you stop doing things, and doing less means less to feel good about. Feeling worse makes you do even less. The loop tightens until you can't breathe inside it. Behavioral activation breaks the loop from the action side. You schedule the activity first, even when every part of you doesn't want to. Doing it produces small rewards: a wall gets straighter, a painting fills in, a messy room gets clean. Those small rewards slowly rewire the brain. Action comes first, and the feeling follows. Researchers at the University of Washington put this to the test in 2006. They studied 241 adults with major depression and compared three treatments: behavioral activation, regular talk therapy, and antidepressants. For the people who were most severely depressed, behavioral activation matched the drugs. It beat the talk therapy. A 2014 review of more than 1,500 patients across 26 trials backed up the result. Physical work like bricklaying does something extra on top of this. It crowds out rumination, the looping bad thoughts that grind people down during the worst stretches of depression. Bricklaying needs both hands and gives feedback brick by brick: each one is straight or crooked. After an hour you can see exactly how much wall you built. No room left for the mental chewing. The line George Mack used in his post, "depression hates a moving target," is good poetry. The science behind it is sharper. Depression hates a brain that has somewhere else to be.
George Mack@george__mack

Winston Churchill used to lay 200 bricks per day to keep his mind busy when feeling down. Depression hates a moving target.

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Ian Rapoport
Ian Rapoport@RapSheet·
The #Giants are finalizing a deal for veteran former #Lions DT DJ Reader, per me and @MikeGarafolo, lending them a large veteran presence. Reader recently visited the team and they kept talking. With the trade of Dexter Lawrence, some significant defensive help.
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Capo
Capo@CapoCugine·
@jfortner88 I could see it I guess but damn he still fell to you.
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Josh Fortñer ✭
Josh Fortñer ✭@jfortner88·
@CapoChrisy Sadiq went 1.07, then some WRs, I took the only defensive player in the 1st with Styles at 1.10. Then WR, WR, Downs at 2.01, RB RB Bain then Reese, then Ty Simpson, and I was up at 2.06 deciding on CJ Allen or Stowers with it NOT being TEP.
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Josh Fortñer ✭
Josh Fortñer ✭@jfortner88·
Idk who ima get at 4.07, but this may be the greatest draft I’ve ever assembled
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