๐•ฎ๐–†๐–—๐–‰ ๐•ธ๐–†๐–˜๐–™๐–Š๐–—

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๐•ฎ๐–†๐–—๐–‰ ๐•ธ๐–†๐–˜๐–™๐–Š๐–— banner
๐•ฎ๐–†๐–—๐–‰ ๐•ธ๐–†๐–˜๐–™๐–Š๐–—

๐•ฎ๐–†๐–—๐–‰ ๐•ธ๐–†๐–˜๐–™๐–Š๐–—

@CardGeometrist

โ€œbestowed quietly upon me.โ€

Katฤฑlฤฑm Mart 2026
4 Takip Edilen2 Takipรงiler
Mayukh
Mayukh@mayukh_panjaยท
I met my academic friends after a long time. All computational physicists. Heavy use of C++ and python. None of them on X. They have NOT heard of Opus 4.6!!!???! Never touched Claude Code. All of them had tried AI coding agents around early 2025, didnโ€™t really find them useful and simply moved on. I tried to push them to use Claude Code, they seemed skeptical, โ€œDoes it really work?โ€ Didnโ€™t seem enthusiastic at all. They still see AI as a mostly a gimmick and never really tried anything beyond ChatGPT. I think just being on X right now has insane alpha. It is a completely different world out there.
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๐•ฎ๐–†๐–—๐–‰ ๐•ธ๐–†๐–˜๐–™๐–Š๐–—
The lesson for the U.S. lies in the way Eisenhowerโ€™s threats demonstrated Britainโ€™s and Franceโ€™s fundamental lack of credibility. The Suez moment marked the psychological transformation of two erstwhile great powers into medium powers with limited ability to influence the world around them. The U.S. faces a similar risk today. The market plays the role of Eisenhower, the U.S. that of the French and British embarked on a strategically sound but difficult campaign in the Middle East. Quitting the war while leaving Iran with the ability to seize control of the Strait of Hormuz, and thereby able to shut down global oil supply, would destroy American credibility. It could trigger a Chinese move against Taiwan or a Russian move against NATO, not simply because of relative military degradation, but because the U.S. clearly has no stomach for a knockdown fight against a great power, having abandoned a lesser bout against a much less capable adversary. It is crucial that Mr. Trump resist the temptation to walk away, stay the course, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and demonstrate the credibility of America and its military commitments. The only way to accomplish this with a reasonable chance of success is to put boots on the ground. The U.S. has trained and planned for this contingency for decades. At the helm today are military officersโ€”Gen. Dan Caine, Adm. Frank Bradley, Adm. Brad Cooperโ€”who understand the precise capabilities of U.S. special-operations forces and the advantages of automated targeting. Mr. Trump can trust these men to see this through. Deploying several thousand special-ops forces to southern Iran is enough to reopen the strait after some weeks of fighting. Casualties should be anticipated. To protect the special-ops units, regular troops will be required. With U.S. air supremacy, the Iranian regimeโ€™s forces will be loath to mass forces for an attack. The question is whether the president has the courage and conviction to authorize this operation, and to explain to the American people that the price of exerting U.S. power is far cheaper than the costs of its decline. Mr. Cropsey is president of the Yorktown Institute. He served as a naval officer and as deputy undersecretary of the Navy and is the author of โ€œMaydayโ€ and โ€œSeablindness.โ€ Copyright ยฉ2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8
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๐•ฎ๐–†๐–—๐–‰ ๐•ธ๐–†๐–˜๐–™๐–Š๐–—
American Credibility Is on the Line in Iran - WSJ Mar 22, 2026 By Seth Cropsey March 22, 2026 12:50 pm ET ๏ฟผ An image of a strike on Haji Abad, Iran, released Friday by U.S. Central Command. Centcom/Handout/Reuters The Trump administration finds itself in a larger war than it expected, facing a profoundly hard decision. President Trump must put boots on the ground to open the Strait of Hormuz and demonstrate the unquestionable supremacy of American power. If he fails, his legacy will be one of American collapse. If he succeeds, he will have prepared the U.S. for an intense period of competition over the next decade. The Islamic Republic of Iran has been an incorrigible U.S. adversary since its founding in 1979. It has held U.S. diplomats hostage, killed American servicemen and civilians, attacked U.S. allies, and worked with nearly every other malign actor in the world. It sought to assassinate Mr. Trump and former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo. Iranโ€™s machinations have distorted politics and security in the Middle East, where the U.S. has core interests. U.S. allies rely on Persian Gulf oil. The movement of troops and arms between Europe and Asia requires a stable Middle East. Leverage in the Middle East is thus an essential element of East Asian statecraft and broader Eurasian order. These reasons justify Mr. Trumpโ€™s decision to join Israel in killing Iranian theocrat Ali Khamenei and much of Iranโ€™s upper echelons on Feb. 28. They also justify his choice to continue the campaign, degrading Iranโ€™s missile and drone infrastructure and thereby its ability to support proxies. Yet the job, while admirably executed, is unfinished. The president wrote on Truth Social Friday that โ€œwe are getting very close to meeting our objectives as we consider winding down our great Military efforts in the Middle East.โ€ The same day he told reporters he isnโ€™t open to a cease-fire. Itโ€™s a familiar Trumpian combination of chest-thumping and misdirection. The โ€œwinding downโ€ remark is belied by his comment in the same announcement that he means to prevent Iran from getting โ€œeven closeโ€ to becoming a nuclear state and to protect โ€œat the highest level, our Middle Eastern alliesโ€”Israel, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, the United Arab Emiratesโ€ and others. Similarly with the presidentโ€™s threat on Saturday to โ€œobliterate their various POWER PLANTS.โ€ This would have the opposite effect of โ€œwinding downโ€ the war. Thus, in fewer than two days, Mr. Trump hinted at de-escalation, called attention to U.S. military successes, noted objectives that have yet to be achieved, and threatened escalation leaving open the warโ€™s future prosecution. In the face of American pressure, Iran has demonstrated for more than three weeks a significant degree of leverage over the Strait of Hormuz. The question now facing Mr. Trump isnโ€™t whether his campaign has been justified, but whether it will succeed. There is clearly a temptation for the U.S. to call its campaign complete. Oil prices have risen sharply, and the longer the war goes on, the more damage will be done to Gulf state oil production in general. Halting now, however, would be a cataclysmic mistake with repercussions well beyond the Middle East. To understand why, look back at history. In 1956, Britain and France, following Israel, moved against Gamal Abdel Nasserโ€™s Egypt to undo the dictatorโ€™s nationalization of the Suez Canal. The U.S. reacted harshly and directed its allies to step back from their Middle Eastern adventure or face full economic pressure from Washington. President Dwight Eisenhower believed the Anglo-French intervention would poison Arab states against the U.S. and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. That was a miscalculation. The Arab states worked with the Soviet Union regardless, until the loss of several wars with Israel compelled Cairo and others to re-evaluate.
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Najam Ali
Najam Ali@NajamAli2020ยท
Many disagree with my view that Iran should now show restraint. They want escalation. They want a decisive finish. History warns against this instinct. In 1982, Iran had pushed Iraq back and held a clear advantage. That was the moment to consolidate. Instead, it chose total victory. The result? The world aligned against it. Years of attrition. Hundreds of thousands dead. And in the end, a forced compromise. That is the cost of overreach. Today, Iran again holds leverage: this time through the Strait of Hormuz. It has the ability to impose real economic pain. But leverage is not an invitation to exhaust it. It is a tool to negotiate from strength. Right now, the world is not aligned with the U.S. But if Iran pushes too far, if global economic pain becomes intolerable, that alignment can change very quickly. And when it does, the balance shifts. The lesson is simple: Victory is not in total domination. It is in knowing when to stop. This is the moment for strategic restraint and smart negotiation from a position of strength.
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Disclose.tv
Disclose.tv@disclosetvยท
JUST IN - Massive fires burn after loud explosion heard at the Valero oil refinery in Port Arthur, Texas.
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Rula Jebreal
Rula Jebreal@rulajebrealยท
For 40 years, My father Othman worked as a guardian and custodian at the Al Aqsa Mosque in East Jerusalem, where he witnessed multiple attempts by Jewish terrorists to blow up the Dome of the Rock. He is turning in his grave that Israelโ€™s national security minister, convicted terrorist Ben Gvir, and finance minister Smotrich explicitly talk about โ€œrebuilding the Templeโ€ as a messianic goal.
Furkan Gรถzรผkara@FurkanGozukara

Tucker Carlson is left completely stunned as former Israeli President reveals there have been at least five fanatic attempts by Jewish extremist groups to blow up the Al Aqsa Mosque and Dome of the Rock since 1967. The dedication of these radicals is absolutely terrifying.

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Lauren Witzke
Lauren Witzke@LaurenWitzkeDEยท
So Iโ€™m hearing that Trump cancelled his appearance at CPAC this weekend. Iโ€™m also told he cancelled a fundraiser that was scheduled at Mar a Lago on Friday night as well for a candidate. Somethingโ€™s up.
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Thomas Keith
Thomas Keith@iwasnevrhere_ยท
The IRGCN has released footage of the destruction of an American vessel in the Northern Persian Gulf. Captured at dawn on March 11, 2026, the documentation shows a swarm-style engagement, where high-speed attack craft closed the distance under the cover of darkness to deliver a catastrophic strike.
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๐•ฎ๐–†๐–—๐–‰ ๐•ธ๐–†๐–˜๐–™๐–Š๐–—
Reciprocity is the motor of my networkโ€”thatโ€™s what matters; however, too many white people can ruin things. They are too greedy, they are too entitled, they do not understand the concept of sharingโ€”always with them, someone has to lose. White people do not understand the fundamentals of civilization or survival; they rely on low interest rates to do the work.
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๐•ฎ๐–†๐–—๐–‰ ๐•ธ๐–†๐–˜๐–™๐–Š๐–—
Youโ€™re a fucking goddamn moron. If Iran stops now, nothing is resolvedโ€”sanctions remain, regime-change pressure remains, the military threat remains.. โ€œQuagmireโ€ *is* the objective. The U.S. is stuck in a war it canโ€™t win or leave, then itโ€™s over-total victory for Iran. There is no later โ€œbetter moment.โ€ If Iran de-escalates, it faces the same constraints months or years from nowโ€”only after the U.S. has adapted. Youโ€™re on the enemy side you little bitch youโ€™re creating fake ass propaganda to support empire go fuck yourself.
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Policy Tensor
Policy Tensor@policytensorยท
I agree. The Iranians are at risk of overreach. They are closing to achieving all their objectives. They have survived a joint all-out aerial attack by the US and Israel. They have pushed out US forces and made US bases in the region unusable. They have demonstrated the power of the Hormuz weapon โ€” and held the world economy at gunpoint. They have demonstrated their capability to hold all gulf and Israeli assets and cities at risk. Has deterrence been restored? I think weโ€™re getting close. Despite the low journalistic standards in the West, all serious people now understand that this has been a strategic defeat for the West. Escalating from here or dragging this out may be unwise. It would only force the US to commit ground forces, which will be a quagmire for the Americans, but would be considerably more devastating for Iran. The Iranians should try to secure what they can at the table. Security guarantees may not be forthcoming and are not something that can be extracted by Iranian threats. What they can insist on is money and arms. Sanctions relief from the US. Weapons supply from the other great powers. This will have to enough until Iran can achieve breakout, which they must now do at forced-pace and in total secrecy (see @NicoleGrajewski FA article on this point). The enrichment file may be the sticking point. It is really hard to see how Iran can now allow any kind of serious inspection regime. They must rush to get the bomb. And this is an important reason beyond the Hormuz weapon that the war will continue. The culminating point is hard to identify. But a good case can be made that this is it. If Trump is willing to eat this defeat then they should let him. Even if they agree to inspections, they can run rings around the inspectors or kick them out later.
Najam Ali@NajamAli2020

Many disagree with my view that Iran should now show restraint. They want escalation. They want a decisive finish. History warns against this instinct. In 1982, Iran had pushed Iraq back and held a clear advantage. That was the moment to consolidate. Instead, it chose total victory. The result? The world aligned against it. Years of attrition. Hundreds of thousands dead. And in the end, a forced compromise. That is the cost of overreach. Today, Iran again holds leverage: this time through the Strait of Hormuz. It has the ability to impose real economic pain. But leverage is not an invitation to exhaust it. It is a tool to negotiate from strength. Right now, the world is not aligned with the U.S. But if Iran pushes too far, if global economic pain becomes intolerable, that alignment can change very quickly. And when it does, the balance shifts. The lesson is simple: Victory is not in total domination. It is in knowing when to stop. This is the moment for strategic restraint and smart negotiation from a position of strength.

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