Career PPG Lab

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Career PPG Lab

Career PPG Lab

@CareerPPGLab

Optimizing for Career PPG in Dynasty Fantasy Football

United States Katılım Temmuz 2020
148 Takip Edilen22 Takipçiler
Career PPG Lab
Career PPG Lab@CareerPPGLab·
@DimLamer @kyleynfl Olave is younger so I think putting him ahead makes sense just an interesting data point I find helpful in ranking.
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Jym Hamer
Jym Hamer@DimLamer·
@CareerPPGLab @kyleynfl Love that this was my gut ordering, though I'm getting tee fatigue and want to put olave ahead of him for no reason
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Kyle Yates
Kyle Yates@kyleynfl·
You’re building out your dynasty fantasy football roster. You can only choose one WR…who are you choosing? Garrett Wilson Chris Olave Tee Higgins
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Career PPG Lab
Career PPG Lab@CareerPPGLab·
Career PPG JSN- 14.7 Rashee Rice- 14.7
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Fantasy Sports HQ
Fantasy Sports HQ@FSHQ365·
@TFFDudes 2025 PPR PPG AJ Brown 14.7 Tee Higgins 14.1 Jameson Williams 12.9 Stefon Diggs 12.4 Diggs was last among these four
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Fantasy Farmer
Fantasy Farmer@TFFDudes·
Why is no one talking about Stefon Diggs outscoring A.J. Brown, Tee Higgins, AND Jameson Williams in fantasy points? Let that sink in...
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Jeremy Ekern
Jeremy Ekern@TheEkernEdge·
Here’s why Jordan Love is a prime Dynasty sell… Over the last two seasons, GB has ranked bottom five in pass rate over expected. During those same two seasons, Love finished as QB18 and QB21 on a FPPG basis. While he’s been efficient (69.4 and 73.1 QBR) during that span, his current Dynasty value is ahead of his actual production. He’s currently valued in the QB14-QB16 range across the market. There’s also been talk of GB retooling their offense heading into next season, but there’s no guarantee impactful changes will happen. With the departure of Romeo Doubs and the injury recovery of Tucker Kraft, this may be the best time to capitalize on Love before the window closes.
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Jeremy Ekern@TheEkernEdge

TheEkernEdge’s Offseason Dynasty Sells: *Does not include players still in the playoffs. • Jordan Love • Jonathan Taylor • Kenneth Gainwell • Tee Higgins • Michael Pittman Jr. • Oronde Gadsden II • Jake Ferguson • Mason Taylor • Dallas Goedert Who are you selling?

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Career PPG Lab
Career PPG Lab@CareerPPGLab·
@DavidMulvihill8 @ChrisTrapasso I guess if you’re ranking how good college RBs then it doesn’t matter. I do prospect tiers to predict fantasy success, which is a different goal. Benson and Tuten did not qualify for Gold-Darkhorse for me.
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Chris Trapasso
Chris Trapasso@ChrisTrapasso·
Admittedly I was surprised -- but Love came out higher than Bijan and Gibbs in my RB evaluations on DraftGradebook.com
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Warren Sharp@SharpFootball

Jeremiyah Love is insane vs light boxes: 9.1 YPC #1 best for any RB the last 10 years contacted beyond the line: 10.0 YPC #1 best for any RB the last 10 years contacted behind the line: 33% missed tackle forced % #1 best for any RB last year vs heavy boxes: 5.0 YPC #2 best for any RB last year via @LordReebs

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No Expert Fantasy Sports
Ask Me ANY Fantasy Football Questions You Have… In the NoExpertFF Discord Server: dubclub.win/NoExpertFS/ I’m Posting Fantasy Football Content EVERY DAY to Help You WIN. So You Don’t Miss Out - Follow @JoeOrrico @NoExpertFS - Repost, Like & Share First Post:
No Expert Fantasy Sports@NoExpertFS

This year’s rookie TE class is deeper than people think… Some of these guys can easily contend with Sadiq and Stowers Five more TEs that could be dynasty fantasy football difference makers:

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No Expert Fantasy Sports
This year’s rookie TE class is deeper than people think… Some of these guys can easily contend with Sadiq and Stowers Five more TEs that could be dynasty fantasy football difference makers:
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Career PPG Lab
Career PPG Lab@CareerPPGLab·
QB Prospects with Red Rating (High Bust Potential) 2017: Mitchell Trubisky 2020: Tua Tagovailoa 2021: Trevor Lawrence 2022: Kenny Pickett 2023: Bryce Young 2024: Michael Penix 2025: Cam Ward 2026: Ty Simpson
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Career PPG Lab
Career PPG Lab@CareerPPGLab·
Think your pointing to a larger issue where the below verse applies all too often for Christians. “Why do you look at the speck of sawdust in your brother’s eye and pay no attention to the plank in your own eye? How can you say to your brother, ‘Let me take the speck out of your eye,’ when all the time there is a plank in your own eye? You hypocrite, first take the plank out of your own eye, and then you will see clearly to remove the speck from your brother’s eye.“ Matthew 7:3-5
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Career PPG Lab
Career PPG Lab@CareerPPGLab·
@DynastyNerds If Tanner Koziol gets Day 2 draft capital he should be TE1 in the class
GIF
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Dynasty Nerds
Dynasty Nerds@DynastyNerds·
Drop a hot take (NFL Draft or for Dynasty) and I’ll respond accordingly.
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Jackson McIntire
Jackson McIntire@2HighCoverage·
Stop sharing the receiver color charts. You know what I’m referring to. They mean absolutely nothing and are systemically flawed. They’re only graded on a + or - scale with no “null” or “zero” input. This means if a zone defender is out of position and wr is open? Unearned +. If a receiver runs into zone leverage with no realistic path to being “open”? Unearned -. It’s a completely worthless charting metric. I have talked to him about implementing a 0 input to actually only measure plays that matter and he declined. He’s content putting out a product that means nothing and taking your $. Do with this what you will. Vast majority of zone coverage plays should not be weighed as inputs.
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DynastyWithNate
DynastyWithNate@DynastyWithNate·
@CareerPPGLab @2HighCoverage I just don’t care what a larp has to say. Your models aren’t better than the existing ones buddy. But thanks for trying everyone’s going to stick with jjz McFarland etc :)
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Ian Hartitz
Ian Hartitz@Ihartitz·
Top five wide receivers in NFL history in career fantasy PPR points per game
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Career PPG Lab
Career PPG Lab@CareerPPGLab·
A few things: -The above conversation was focused on the college football charts and how people use those in their rookie evaluations. -While the same critique applies from college to NFL shifting the focus changes the conversation in a material way. -You took a single data point as “proof” -My point from above was quite a few people (Koalaty being a good example) have gone down the path and come to the conclusion RP for college players is not helpful It seems like you don’t want to believe this the case or do any actual research into the matter. So with that being true it probably best we go separate ways, good luck this season!
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DynastyWithNate
DynastyWithNate@DynastyWithNate·
@2HighCoverage @CareerPPGLab Okay lmao I’m talking about after Jsn rookie and second year. I’m sure there are plenty of examples if you are going to default to it’s all randomness that is just braindead. List all the things rp is wrong on over the years. You could make things easy and do that?
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Career PPG Lab
Career PPG Lab@CareerPPGLab·
@DevyEusuf Just let the people keep grading WRs based on RP and keeping prospering…
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Fusue
Fusue@DevyEusuf·
RP was dead wrong on Jayden Higgins
David J. Gautieri@GuruFantasyWrld

There’s no consensus on what makes a “good” @RecepPerception profile right now. I have seen a lot of WR’s with terrible success-rates vs Man Coverage being touted as having “good” @RecepPerception profiles – because they have good success-rates vs Zone. This framing has primarily been because NFL teams “play more Zone than Man.” While that narrative may be true – I’d like to push back on it, especially in regards to bigger-bodied WR’s. Just look back at some of the bigger-bodied WR’s who struggled vs Man (& Press) in recent draft classes. This is how @RecepPerception charted them as collegiate prospects: Keon Coleman - 20th percentile success-rate vs Man - 59th percentile success-rate vs Zone - 8th percentile success-rate vs Press Jayden Higgins - 15th percentile success-rate vs Man - 46th percentile success-rate vs Zone - 16th percentile success-rate vs Press Surely you’d feel good about having drafted these big-bodied WR’s who were bad against Man but better vs Zone? “The NFL plays more Zone,” no? There have been some hits in this category (Rashee Rice, Juju Smith-Schuster) but generally speaking – @RecepPerception has noted those hits have been rare & has labeled WR’s who fall below 35th percentile vs Man & Press as falling into a “red flag bucket” where the few success-stories have almost exclusively been WR’s who transitioned to “big-slot” roles due to their inability to win outside. I am on the side of fading these players – not excusing them “because the NFL plays more Zone.” Especially if that big-bodied WR lacks the YAC-ability needed to project a switch to a “big-slot” role at the NFL level. If you’re looking for specific WR’s that applies to in this class: Elijah Sarratt - 17th percentile success-rate vs Man - 81st percentile success-rate vs Zone - 14th percentile success-rate vs Press Malachi Fields - 24th percentile success-rate vs Man - 63rd percentile success-rate vs Zone - 25th percentile success-rate vs Press Both fall into the “red flag bucket.” Neither has the YAC-ability needed to project a switch to a “big-slot” role. These players will be FADES for me in 2026.

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