Cerberus

@JettMonroe0x @PolymarketIntel Off ramp went out the window when it started in 2022. Looking forward to the next few years to see some Ukrainian successes

@PolymarketIntel this path just keeps getting darker for everyone involved hard to see where the off-ramp is

Putin is rejecting calls to negotiate peace as long as Ukraine continues striking Russian territory, three sources close to the Kremlin say. Two of the same sources say he is likely to escalate the war.

@Bogdan_IR @WarMonitor3 At this rate it's unlikely before 2030 I mean assuming the siege of each city is 18 months exactly like Pokrovsk that's 4.5 years and Sloviansk, Kremina, Dobropillya, Kramatorsk and these lines are more fortified than Prokrovsk you're looking 2030-2031 Putin doesnt have that long

@WarMonitor3 Let’s be honest: Putin will probably take Donetsk Oblast , but at what cost, and what comes next…

Putin reportedly got angry at advisors who suggested he freeze his war in Ukraine along the current frontlines and instead doubled down on capturing eastern Ukraine. Not good news…

@Frenchroast79 @WarMonitor3 EU has a GDP much higher than Russia and can sustain this war for longer. I mean if Russia can't even take the Donbas with just old stored shit Europe gave and now Europe is now properly rearming itself. Simply put Russia is fucked and just like Hitler, Putins ego will kill him

@WarMonitor3 This is now the long game. consider a two pronged strategy designed to break the European economy. Once the European economy breaks their support for the war will break. Many people are worried what kind of monster could be created in Ukraine. Putin is that devil you know

@jj_smither @cameron19460429 Tomahawks just aren't that great for what they are. They have a 25% dud rate so let's say Ukraine gets 20 that's already 5 duds before they even hit anything so that's 15 still up then add in VKS plus GBAD you're maybe looking 1-2 that make it, if even. Too overpriced and limited

@cameron19460429 10-20 tomahawks would cripple Russia way more and way faster than 10$ bn. investments into 🇺🇦 to build 100k+ drones. But it is what it is. Allies are detached from reality, unfortunately.

Russia started this war with about 2 dozen capability advantages and now it only has 2 main ones. Russian ballistic missiles, and the Russian glide bomb campaign. It's possible to neutralize this advantage and bring more parity. Russian AD is also better supplied for now.

@SirWinston85 @IAPonomarenko Stfu Russian retard cry more

@IAPonomarenko If it was up to me, we wouldnt loan yall a sling shot. Ungrateful bastards.

Well, amid all this nightmare, it seems that Ukrainian diplomacy and our international friends can be congratulated on yet another miracle: somehow, they managed to persuade Donald Trump to promise a license for the production of Patriot missiles. Which was probably one of the hardest diplomatic tasks in the world. Right up there with having to repeatedly listen, with a straight face, to the insulting nonsense Trump publicly spews about Ukraine, again and again. Still, I'll believe it completely only when I see that license in Ukrainian hands.

@MalcontentmentT Won't take long for Ukraine to hit it again

Russian combat engineers didn't just build a causeway at Henichesk to bypass the bridge. They paved it between 1 and 4 July. Image 1: 4 July Image 2: 1 July

@WearyTechnocrat @clashreport While the A50s are Soviet tech from the late 80s/early 90s they've gone under modernization finished in 2014 that's only 12 years ago so not that long ago I wouldn't underestimate them and sure E2s were surged for drones but they also have BM detection capabilities

@Cerberus1587516 @clashreport The E-2s were surged in for battle management and detecting low flying drones and cruise missiles. They were not brought in to detect ballistics, especially since many were launched well outside of their radar range. The A-50 is outdated Soviet tech so that’s not surprising.

NOW: NATO allies sign contracts to jointly procure up to 10 Saab GlobalEye AEW&C aircraft, snubbing Boeing.

@WearyTechnocrat @clashreport Sure you do have GB sensors but as we saw from the Iran war with the hit on one in Qatar the US had to move a bunch of AEWC to detect them as well also there is a video of an A50 being low in Alt to detect FP1/2 drones for Omsk E7 would struggle esp in the drone age

@Cerberus1587516 @clashreport No ballistics aren’t a relevant threat because ground and space based sensors can detect them immediately after launch. The E-7 and others aren’t meant to detect those launches.

@WearyTechnocrat @clashreport Ballistic missiles are totally a relevant threat for them to track because most countries don't have aircraft carriers but do have airfields....... Globaleye makes more sense imo

@Cerberus1587516 @clashreport For the price you could just buy more E-2s than globaleyes. The E-2 can also guide naval SAMs. BMs are not a relevant threat for them to track.

@WearyTechnocrat @clashreport E2 is prop though not jet engine so you're altitude and speed limited which are major disadvantages especially when it comes to drones, ballistics and CMs

@Cerberus1587516 @clashreport NATO should have chosen the E-2 then. Size isn’t everything

@WearyTechnocrat @clashreport Yeah but the thing about the E2 and Globaleye is you can field many of them, cheaper operating costs, better dispersion due to shorter runways the E7 is stupidly expensive, can only operate on certain runways. Strategically it makes sense to go smaller

@Cerberus1587516 @clashreport The E-2 fleet is massive and can operate off carriers and any airbase on the ground. It actually needs about half the takeoff distance. The issue with the E-2 is it doesn’t have the battle management staff of a larger aircraft like the E-7. The globaleye has the same issue.

@WearyTechnocrat @clashreport I'm glad you brought the Iran war up if you have a few assets Like the E2 that can't be easily replaced but you have several Globaleyes that can launch from basically any airfield making dispersion of said assets more easier then it makes sense to go with several globaleyes

@Cerberus1587516 @clashreport You need both. An AEW&C aircraft is hardly the place to cut costs. Smaller aircraft like the E-2 can’t do what the E-7 can. The recent Iran conflict demonstrated this.

@WearyTechnocrat @clashreport Not really I mean the thing that wins wars now days is cheap and mass produced military equipment it's always been that way since 2022 the MIC is just catching up to that

@Cerberus1587516 @clashreport That doesn’t make it the same or equivalent in capability. It’s a good budget option that sacrifices the performance of a larger platform for lower costs. There’s a reason the E-7 was chosen first. Massive self own by the U.S.

@WearyTechnocrat @clashreport It does in fact the biggest selling points of the Globaleye is sovereignity, cost and capability. You'd be dumb to spend an E7 unit cost when you can get two Globaleyes and the Globaleye can operate on shorter runways so if an airfield is hit you could basically use most airfield

@Cerberus1587516 @clashreport It is not the same. Doesn’t have the command staff or onboard power generation of the E-7.

@WearyTechnocrat @clashreport Global eye is actually the same as the E7 just more compact, same operating time, less cost and it's cheaper to maintain and buy per unit

@clashreport The U.S. really screwed all parties here. Our dumb (and thankfully reversed) decision to cancel the E-7 led NATO to reevaluate as well. Now NATO will be left with an inferior platform because we mistakenly thought the E-7 wasn’t needed.

@Alexgodig @JayinKyiv You forgot to include the curvature of the earth

@JayinKyiv 🤔

2700km.

@pantherajudaea @WXWatcher07 Because CO2 causes atmospheric warming which melts the fresh ice over in the poles which affects the jet stream and AMOC you moron. Israeli retards at it again

@WXWatcher07 Explain how an increased CO2 level causes the Mediterranean Sea to be warmer than its Caribbean counterpart. I'll wait.

A big focus on the air temperature with the ongoing heatwave but just as important is the temperature of the Mediterranean. Sea surface temperatures are highly concerning for Mediterranean standards in June, this is just as warm as most of the tropical Atlantic Ocean right now. As the weather pattern continues to favor widespread dry and hot conditions in Europe, this marine heatwave will worsen. When the pattern finally shifts to the point of bringing disturbances further south and interacting with this warm water, flood and thunderstorm events will be supercharged.

@dobresobie76635 @Maks_NAFO_FELLA Storms are better but have reduced warhead weight, they're not as large, stealthier and also faster and have TERCOM in them. Flamingo is meant to be cheap but less effective than storms

@Maks_NAFO_FELLA I wonder how Storm Shadow compares to Flamingo

🔥 The number of launches and hits of FP-5 "Flamingo" missiles confirmed from open sources, - Dnipro Osint 🛑Over these 2 months, the number of missiles used has increased from 23 to 39 units (+70%) 🛑The number of confirmed hits on the target has increased from 2 to 6 🛑Two important enterprises of the Russian military-industrial complex were hit: VNIIR "Progress" in Cheboksary (twice) and FNVC "Titan-Barricades" in Volgograd. The last strike was the most effective in terms of the share of missiles that reached the target. The results of the vast majority of launches remain unknown to the general public.

@AtomF11 @Aviation_Intel You're really underestimating how much fuel that actually needs the meteor already does that with a ramjet system and its range is only 200km

@Cerberus1587516 @Aviation_Intel No, it could work. A solid stage that lofts a second stage or two very high up- think 50+ kilometers- and bypasses the atmosphere that way. Alternatively an air-breathing hypersonic but that’s an outright bad idea.

USAF Wants Air-To-Air Missile With A Whopping 1,000-Mile Range The USAF wants to leapfrog its own latest and greatest air-to-air missile capabilities with a true 'kill web' weapon. twz.com/air/usaf-wants…