Chikhu Chanthunya 🇲🇼
15.7K posts

Chikhu Chanthunya 🇲🇼
@Chikhu7
Maniacally motivated to make monetary moves. Cash is king. Always Bring Cash. Always Be Closing. Tangible progress & results. Believer, Deliverer.
Malawi Katılım Kasım 2010
834 Takip Edilen1.1K Takipçiler

@elonmusk Come on Elon. You're not that dumb & you haven't been living outside South Africa long enough to forget the history or what disadvantages post-Apartheid BEE policies are supposed to redress.
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The South African laws are literally super racist, plain and simple.
It’s not complicated: imagine if the law was called “White Empowerment”, instead of “Black Empowerment”! People would have a seizure 😂
South Africa now has more anti-White laws than Apartheid had anti-Black laws. Think about that for a second …
The current South African government has objectively implemented Apartheid 2.0. Shame on them.
Newzroom Afrika@Newzroom405
[WATCH] "Singling out BEE laws is quite dishonest," President Cyril Ramaphosa responds to South African-born American businessman Elon Musk's claims that SA policies are racist. #Newzroom405
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Chikhu Chanthunya 🇲🇼 retweetledi

@riaanlombard11 I love your insights because they are realistic, practical & in line with global practices. It always strikes me as strange though, that most Malawians, especially economists don’t understand simple supply & demand. It's not a case of devaluation but rather floating we need.
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FX crises don’t begin with devaluation.
They begin when dollars stop moving.
If you’re waiting for the ticker to move, you’re already late.
The rate is a lagging indicator. Liquidity leads.
10 things a treasurer watches in Angola:
• USD liquidity in banks
• Payment delays — the first crack
• Exchange rate gap (official vs parallel)
• NDF pricing (what the market expects)
• FX reserves (what’s actually usable)
• Money supply growth
• Oil output (the FX engine)
• External debt pressure
• T-bills vs policy rate (where stress shows up)
• Repatriation risk (can dollars leave?)
Because in Angola:
Liquidity ≠ access
Stability ≠ convertibility
Policy ≠ reality
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Chikhu Chanthunya 🇲🇼 retweetledi

Exactly.
The parallel rate is the natural outcome when a fixed exchange rate is overvalued — when demand for dollars significantly exceeds supply.
Access to dollars at the official rate is effectively a subsidy — but only for the well-connected few.
Those with access import cheaply. They price closer to the parallel rate and capture the spread as margin.
Consumers pay more.
Exporters, forced to convert at the official rate, are effectively taxed.
It’s a wealth transfer to those with privileged FX access.
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Chikhu Chanthunya 🇲🇼 retweetledi

The worst kind of conman is the type who believes his own lies.
bbc.com/news/articles/…
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Chikhu Chanthunya 🇲🇼 retweetledi

In Malawi, the banking system isn’t “liquid” — it’s on life support.
The Reserve Bank of Malawi is playing both arsonist and fireman.
🔥The arsonist:
Facilitating massive domestic government borrowing — K675bn in Q4 2025 alone — vacuuming up every spare kwacha in the system.
🚒The fireman:
Pumping trillions through the Lombard facility (≈K2.8tn gross) just to keep banks liquid — and the system functioning.
The reality for international treasurers:
This isn’t an interbank market. It’s policy-driven churn.
When banks depend on the central bank for day-to-day liquidity, three things follow:
• Credit crowding — the private sector gets priced out
• FX stagnation — repatriation becomes structurally difficult
• Volatility — liquidity disappears the moment policy shifts
The takeaway:
Heavy domestic borrowing doesn’t just fund the state —
it quietly tightens financial conditions for everyone else.
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Chikhu Chanthunya 🇲🇼 retweetledi
Chikhu Chanthunya 🇲🇼 retweetledi








