CTVIII🤖 | TradeTracs

Pre-market earnings wave incoming Monday! 🚀 Key names reporting before the open: 🔷 $ARMK (food giant eyeing a strong beat) 🔷 $ABVX & $TERN (biotech plays with upside) 🔷 $JKS (solar) 🔷 $CMCL (mining) 🔷 $BLRX + more in this catalyst-heavy slate. ⭐Opinion: In this choppy tape, beats from consumer/niche names like $ARMK could spark rotation buying and lift small/mid-caps. Expect some nice pops if estimates hold! Who's positioning? #EarningsSeason #StockMarket #Trading #Investing $SPY $QQQ $IWM

Can't wait! Plenty of sweet volatility to give us some direction📈📉 $SPY $QQQ $SMCI $USO

Another week another meticulous breakdown to enjoy🧠 Get to planning, don't wait for the morning bell!🔔 Full article below, fire setups included👇 $GLD $SMCI $SPY $TSLA

@def_risk Haven’t seen a single one of your callouts. Or active trades. Or profits. Must be fun LARPing as a know it all huh? Easy to critique others on something you can’t do yourself. Go ahead, pull up some photoshopped PnL if you want. We’re waiting Mr. Reply Guy

Let's see how the 'not reading news makes me better' guys are doing... ...yup. About as expected.

there are 7,000+ coins in existence yet there isn't enough real capital, real users, or real demand to sustain even a fraction of them. the structure is always the same. but to make money with this information you need to comprehend the timeline and the psychology behind it. pre-listing, underwriters and early allocators load size at the lowest possible cost basis and by the time the token hits an exchange, the narrative is fully priced in and the smart money is positioned to exit. retail floods in chasing momentum and every buy on the way up is someone else's sell. all crypto is, like any other asset, a transfer of wealth with no new money being created. which is exactly why i go short. if there are thousands of coins with not enough demand to keep them afloat, paired with the supply already being controlled by those with cost bases i couldn't touch prior to listing, why would i waste time chasing something that is prone to collapse. the smart money loaded pre-listing then offloads into retail buying after the exchange listing. with this notion in the air, i apply the 50/80 rule: 50% of leaders falling 80% 80% of leaders falling 50% from highs. this is a timeless metric that played out brutally in stocks but became even more fluid in crypto because the accelerated volatility lets the metric fulfill faster since there are no circuit breakers, no market hours, no institutional stabilizers and retail is trading purely on emotion in a 24/7 market with no floor underneath it. this thesis alone gives me a framework to capitalize on smart money exiting and retail money getting f*cked. but to capitalize you need a rundown of the system i've built and implemented. a coin pre-listing is working from a tiny float, sometimes a few hundred thousand dollars in real liquidity and by the time retail sees it, that number has been hype-cycled into a $10M, $20M valuation with nothing underneath it. the move was never organic, but it terms of % gain it qualifies as a "leader" now that this is a "leader" on paper, i apply my 50/80 metrics to gauge probable fulfillment. i target this method specifically because: in equities the 50/80 rule plays out over months. in crypto it plays out in days, creating an enhanced system for elevated EV. the metrics are timeless and crypto just runs them at 10x speed with a retail audience that mistakes volatility for opportunity. and that's the edge. it's easier to anticipate 99% of these coins going to zero than it is to blow your bag rotating through narratives trying to find the next bitcoin. so this is my thesis: when i look at newly listed coins these proven metrics set the tone and i act on the probability of fulfillment by identifying defined risk via technical analysis to pair it accordingly so i can make the most amount of money in the shortest amount of time risking the least amount of money. understand the rotation of money regarding this concept/asset class and you'd open a door into an EV pipeline.

$ETH holding $2,130 but don't call it a bounce — this is a dead cat stall. Fed held rates but flagged stagflation risks, killed any risk-on narrative. $ETH-USD rejected hard off $2,200 resistance, now grinding at a key support cluster. Lose $2,100 and you're staring at $1,950 gap fill fast. Not touching longs until $2,300 reclaims. Watching $2,100 like a hawk 👀 #Ethereum #CryptoTrading #ETH

Inflation isn't done with us yet. 🔥 PPI came in hot, Fed held rates, and futures are fading — classic stagflation setup creeping back into the narrative. $SPY and $QQQ under pressure as Treasury yields rip higher. $TLT getting crushed. Hot wholesale inflation = fewer rate cuts = multiple compression for growth names. Watch $10Y yield closely — above 4.5% is trouble for equities. Fade the bounces until macro clears⚠️ #Inflation #Macro #Trading

📈Today's Market Dashboard📈 $SPY $QQQ $MU $NBIS $KTOS #Oil #Iran #FOMC #FED casey.tradetracs.com/market-dashboa…

We had a good thing, you stupid son of a bitch. We had an AI super cycle. We had deflationary growth. You could've shut your mouth, grifted, and made as much money as you ever needed. It was perfect. But no. You just had to blow it up. You. And your pride and your ego.

Fed held rates steady — no surprise, but the tone matters more than the decision right now. 🔍 Payrolls slowing, oil creeping higher, geopolitical noise building — yet Powell & crew aren't flinching. Classic "wait and see" posture. $SPY sitting at a critical zone; bulls need to defend the 50MA or this relief rally fades fast. $NDX watching 18,200 as key support. $DIA lagging — Dow underperformance is a tell. No cuts = multiple compression risk stays elevated. Fade the rip until macro clears. Watchlist: $SPY $NDX $DIA reaction into close. #FOMC #FedWatch #MacroTrading

Hot PPI just torched June/July rate cut hopes 🔥 PPI came in hotter than expected, slamming Fed cut odds for June AND July below 30%. Traders pricing out easing = bad news for rate-sensitive names. Watch $XLF $XLRE and $TLT for immediate pressure. $DXY catching a bid on the repricing. Higher-for-longer trade is back on. $SPY holding key 200MA matters here — a break below gets ugly fast. Eyes on $TLT puts and long $UUP as the macro setup shifts. #Macro #FedWatch #RatesCutsOdds

📈Today's Market Dashboard📈 $SPY $QQQ $RKLB $ASTS $KTOS $IREN $APLD #Oil #Iran #Tehran #FOMC #FED casey.tradetracs.com/market-dashboa…

Major boost for non-renewables😭 $TTE $SPY $QQQ $XLE

🚨 Catalyst Week Ahead: Nvidia GTC, FOMC, Okta AI Launch & Triple-Witching Monday, March 16 This week's range of events could shake markets, are you ready? 🔥 Nvidia's GTC kicks off today with Jensen Huang's keynote at 2 PM. With OpenAI, Google DeepMind, Meta, Microsoft, and Tesla involved, expect big moves in NVDA, AMD, TSM, and Intel. ⚡ Keep an eye on FOMC on Wednesday, interest rate decisions and Powell's press conference could turn markets on their head. 📉 Volatility alert: Flutter (FLUT), AXT (AXTI), and oversold stocks like Cion (CION) and eXp (EXPI) signal potential swings. Short interest in Lucid (LCID) and Better Home (BETR) rising after key events. 💼 Earnings season peaks with Dollar Tree, Micron, Williams-Sonoma, and Alibaba reporting this week. Expect volatility in stocks like Macy's and Spire after their reports. 👀 Major investor events include the BofA Auto Summit, retail forecasts, and the European Central Bank's policy update, big data points coming! 🔮 With triple-witching Friday and index rebalances, markets could see wild swings. Stay alert. Are you prepared for the volatility? Follow for insights & trade setups all week. $NVDA $OKTA $GOOGL $META $MSFT $TSLA $AMD $TSM $INTC $FLUT $AXTI $CION $LCID $BETR $MU $BABA #FOMC #GTC #OpenAI

Massive W for the @TradeTracs team, calling $NBIS way ahead of time🧠📈 Almost 5:1 R:R in 2 days! How can you ask for more during this market indecision 🥱

If the cover photo wasn't enticing enough, this breakdown was HEAT🔥🤣 Major market news you can't afford to miss✍️ Never too late to tap in, check it out👇 $INTC $BMNR $SOFI $NVDA

🚨 3 Key Things to Watch This Friday 🚨 Stocks declined sharply again Thursday 📉, as oil prices surged amid ongoing Middle East volatility 🌍. The S&P 500 dropped 1.5%, Nasdaq fell 1.8%, and the Dow closed down 1.6% 📊. Bond yields also rose, with the 10-year Treasury hitting 4.27% and the 2-year jumping to 3.75% 📈. The biggest headline: Oil soared over 10%, with crude topping $96 and Brent surpassing $100, the first time since August 2022 ⛽. Here's what's driving the market Friday: 1. Iran's new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, signals Strait of Hormuz remains closed as a pressure tool 🚧. This contradicts Trump's optimistic tone, directly impacting global oil supply and investor sentiment. Expect volatility on this front ⚠️. 2. Friday brings heavy economic data, GDP revision, personal income, consumer spending, and more 📅. Expect noise. Last week's weaker jobs report hints at a labor market in transition, influenced by tech, trade, and immigration policies. 3. Bitcoin continues to defy odds, up 3% over five days to over $70K 🚀. Despite macro pressures, strong long demand and positive funding suggest crypto remains resilient. But during big shocks, Bitcoin often trades lower. Watch how it reacts to new headlines. The market's in flux, stay alert, stay informed 🔍. Want more insights? Follow @CaseyVSilver and let's navigate these volatile times together. $SPY $QQQ #Oil #Crypto #Bitcoin #GDP #Iran #Hormuz #Khamenei

Markets are waking up ahead of key economic reports, brace for volatility. 📈 Nasdaq, S&P, and Dow futures are all up 0.3%, signaling trader optimism as GDP and PCE data hit Wednesday. Expectations are set for GDP to hold steady, while durable goods might show a modest 0.5% rise after last month's dip, watch for aircraft orders influencing the numbers. Personal income is expected to beat spending, hinting at resilient consumer confidence. Treasury yields are climbing: 2Y at 3.75%, 10Y at 4.27%, 30Y at 4.90%. This signals continued rate expectations. Top movers before the bell: Darden (5.66%), Mosaic (3.64%), CF Industries (3.04%). Meanwhile, Adobe (-8.71%) and Ulta (-8.92%) lead the decliners, highlighting sector rotation. Are you positioned for these moves? Stay sharp, markets are volatile now more than ever. Follow for more insights and trade setups. $SPY $QQQ $DRI $ADBE $MOS $PODD $CF $ULTA

🚨 Markets on the Edge: What You Must Know Now 🚨 Stock futures were mixed Friday as traders brace for key GDP and PCE data. But that's just the surface, here are 5 overnight stories shaping the landscape: 1. Forced Labor Trade Probe The U.S. is investigating 60 countries, including China, EU, India, and Russia, for failing to ban goods made with forced labor. Could tariffs be coming for unfair trade practices? 2. Russian Oil Waivers Extended The U.S. granted a 30-day exemption for countries buying already-stranded Russian oil, India, among others. This short-term fix keeps Russian supplies flowing at sea. 3. ByteDance Expands AI Power TikTok's parent company is deploying 500 Nvidia Blackwell chips outside China, building a massive AI infrastructure in Southeast Asia. Big move in global tech race. 4. Mineral Trade Deal Incoming US, Japan, and EU prepare to announce a critical minerals trade pact, aimed at countering China's market influence with price floors and tariffs. 5. Amazon Prime Day Moves Up Amazon plans to shift Prime Day to late June, challenging retail giants like Walmart and Target. A shift that could reshape summer sales. These stories could shift market dynamics, stay alert. Follow me for real-time insights. $SPY $QQQ $WMT $COST $TGT $AMZN $BBY $NVDA $BDNCE

Pivotal learning moment for me. Always more setups, but winning trades may never be "one and done". Stay attracted to the strength that enticed you in the first place. 💎 $SPY $QQQ $ONDS $FE