Chris

Market Makers and dark pools don't care about your odd lot. You just can't trade.

@spotgamma @quantian1 You are kidding right?

@quantian1 couldn’t you just collar it and essentially take a 5-10% spread

Fun hypothetical. You are the head of the MS block trade desk. It’s two days ago and CAR is at 800 and one of the two 40% holders calls you and wants to sell 10% of the company in a single block. Where do you price them?

When the world shut down over a 99.9999% survivable virus, I had to tell a few dozen rig hands they were out of a job. Then I had to tell even more frac hands. Then snubbing hands. Then I went home to wait for my layoff. Then I spent 6 months applying for jobs with no interviews because corporate America had banned White men in honor of Saint George Floyd, Patron Saint of Fentanyl. A great Twitter friend who I am indebted to forever got me a job with a 25% pay cut, and I had to work physically harder than I had in a decade. Anyway. Nobody in news media ever reached out for my story. And it wasn’t a unique story, I was one of a couple hundred thousand guys going through this.

@TheOneLanceB @CREAMtrader @edu_trades @TheShortBear @sanglucci where di you get a borrow?

To be fair, I didn’t short huge at all and lost decent one day on the way up so this wasn’t some big home run for me :) I was pretty vocal the whole way up that I was going to tip-toe around this one bc so dangerous and risk management comes first. But maybe I’ll do a YouTube live or a public video on this over the weekend.

Tough for me to look at this $CAR chart and think that the play was to try and short the top. But some genuinely elite traders pulled it off yesterday — @edu_trades, @TheShortBear, @sanglucci, @TheOneLanceB among them. Well played. Sincere congrats. BUT — serious warning to the vast majority of traders: Stay the hell away from trying to short the top of parabolic runners like this. These guys I mentioned are elite-level players with the experience, skills, and bankroll to navigate this dangerous trade. Extreme volatility, massive spreads, and razor thin liquidity = one misstep and you’re toast. I know for fact this exact setup has already wiped out huge chunks (or entire accounts) of many good traders in the last couple weeks — they weren't around to catch that envitable fade Only attempt this setup if you have serious experience, a massive account buffer, and it’s already one of your core strategies. Otherwise you’re a trainee pilot strapping into an F-18 cockpit and attempting a highly technical maneuver — you will crash and burn.

@NikLentz one of my biggest issues

Focus on the future, not the past. The quickest way to lose money is to fixate on what was instead of what’s coming. Leave the “worst energy crisis ever” and helium heads to fight over why the market is wrong. They’re not traders, their product is Twitter impressions.

@aleabitoreddit this is a bit of a red flag

Sorry but I’m convinced $LWLG is the current $RGTI of photonics. I have zero clue… How they’re valued at $1.8B. Foxconn’s optical arm Shunsin, for $NVDA CPO packaging, assembly, and testing… Is valued less at $1.4B? $SIVEF, the laser source for $JBL and $MRVL was 1/3rd their valuation earlier this week? Feels like dumb money institutions went into the wrong name off a development test agreement. I have no open positions, just confused

@JaredKubin As a former execution trader I can confirm 3:48 to 3:55 3:45 you are cuffing what you can get MOC, then gunning your residual. Had a custom broker algo to help

Risk Management 101 | Episode 5: When Books Get Chaotic (22m) When positioning gets whippy, most people freeze. The best PMs have a process In my intro series Episode 5 I break down; how to know if your thesis is actually broken (vs. just noise), how Tier 1 multi-manager PMs handle "red boxes" when positions go against them, and the four things I check every single day 🎯 Timestamps 03:11 Is my thesis broken? 06:15 Multi-manager "red boxes" 12:26 Four things I watch every day 16:50 What to actually do **Many of you asked for a YouTube channel. It's under construction. Organized playlists on way**

@BlacklionCTA healthy pull back on it's way to 1,000 🤣

Is this a Bearish Engulfing candle? Asking for a friend.

@Jim_Jordan Holding people accountable would be a good start?

SPLC = fraud ActBlue = fraud California Medicare = fraud Minnesota daycares = fraud FireAid = fraud What's next?

Democracy is when 51% vote to strip away political representation from the 49%, keeping the latter in a perpetual state of servitude to the former with no power to change it. Which is why the distinction between democracy and republic is not merely pedantic.

@johnmdonnelly @CNN and CNN would know this because why?

Approximate estimates of percentages of U.S. munitions expended in Iran war, per @CNN : 50% THAAD interceptors 50% Patriot interceptors 45% Precision Strike Missiles 30% Tomahawk missiles 20% Joint Air-to-Surface Standoff Missiles 20% Standard Missiles (SM-3 and SM-6)

@orrdavid Worried that they will go up?

Gut feeling this cycle's short squeeze is finished soon. Any day now, maybe today. Boring, low short interest secular losers have gone up an awful lot in just a few weeks, especially the last 5-8 trading days. There's no fundamental basis for this. I keep looking through them and the fundamentals are indeed getting worse overall. And these are boring, lower short interest stocks that nobody talks about on the short side. Secular losers as a factor did drop pretty hard over the last 18 months, which is why they bounced. They almost had to bounce as a basket at some point when it worked so well for so long. Afet all, individual stocks never go straight down, let along entire factors. But it's just a trade for the bounce. I'm still incredibly worried about speculative stocks over the next couple of years from here, though. Especially promotional heavy management.

@Patrickwebb This is a retard test, if you believe this you are retarded

BREAKING: During an emergency White House meeting, President Trump reportedly attempted to access the nuclear codes but was blocked by General Dan Caine, according to former CIA analyst Larry Johnson.

@orrdavid Pull the time series of a "Most Liquid Short" basket and I would assume post 2022 weakness is inversely correlated to that

I'm often correlated to AQR's $QLEIX long/short fund. Ignore their rough 2018-2019 period on this chart. Back then they were stubborn on value stocks but improved upon that since then. I've studied hundreds of the individual stocks that they are long and short. They just invest based on quanty fundamentals. They have some big errors due to not knowing the qualitative aspects of a company, but overall theiy system does a pretty good job. It's wild that I did poorly at exactly the same moments as them historically, even with a very different individual stock portfolios: They did bad from May 2022 until Sept 2022, and so did I. May 2022 was the bottom in the speculative junk meltown, so a rebound out of that for a fundamental short seller isn't shocking. This was a ~4 month stretch. They did mediocre from May 2024 until Oct 2024, and so did I. It's harder to say why this one happened, though both of us had fanstistic runs leading up to this period. This was a ~5 month stretch. And now they are doing bad from Dec 2025 until today, and I am doing a lot worse than before. I think I'm only even up while they're down this time because Japan killed it and I'm way more long there on a discretionary basis. Anyway, today makes it around a ~4 month stretch. If anyone has a guess for why this happens, please comment. I think it's as simple as the herd of speculative investors gets in control sometimes, fundamentals be damned, and that it seems they are able to maintain control for around 5 months until probably enough new stock issuance gets them? It's hard to say. I'm guessing if you went back to 1999, though, the stretch lasted a full 10 months instead. Which is of course concerning to me today given AI.

@ChrisMurphyCT What's wrong with you.

awesome

@TeeeRoy1 @NicholasName001 @Schwalm5132 I think I am past it, just need to accept my fate as a Marine Staff O

Revert to warrant. Better life than both enlisted and RLO in my experience. No soldiers to baby sit. Pay is close to RLO, plus plenty of bonuses available in certain fields. More stability as well, you're not chasing command slots, platoon sgt slots etc. Not very many of us, so many don't know what to do with you and generally leave you alone to do your job. I had to tell many captains to stop calling me "Sir" and that I worked for them haha. AirForce lodging will put you in General Officer quarters more than once as they had no idea what a warrant was. There are AF suites with a guest book containing signatures from lots of generals, and a WO1 😂

While serving with the 5th Special Forces Group, I participated in a one-month leadership exchange program with GE’s Lights and Appliances Division in Louisville, Kentucky. Four leaders from our unit were embedded on the GE campus, where we shadowed and mirrored executives across manufacturing and operational roles. The experience proved profoundly instructive. I received a comprehensive introduction to Lean Six Sigma and the Toyota Production System, and observed these methodologies applied effectively on the factory floor each day. The central principle I adopted is what I term "Leadership by Walking Around", the practice Toyota refers to as going to the Gemba. The approach is straightforward: leaders must leave the office and conference rooms to engage directly at the site of the actual work. At GE, the most effective executives did not manage from behind desks or through reports alone. Instead, they moved among the production lines, observed processes firsthand, spoke with operators, and inquired about challenges and potential solutions. Briefings and PowerPoint presentations convey one perspective. Genuine understanding and meaningful improvement, however, require direct observation in the physical environment.

@TeeeRoy1 @NicholasName001 @Schwalm5132 something tells me you know every per diem + travel hack there is to know

@NicholasName001 @Schwalm5132 @TeeeRoy1 A good friend of mine did that, but stayed 19th group. Fucking loves it. As a O3 I was looking at an IST to 19th, and was going to go the A route.

@Chosin76 @Schwalm5132 @TeeeRoy1 I've seen it done. A O3 left active duty, enlisted in the FL NG as an E-5, joined 19th SFG, completed the Q Course, returned to active duty as an E-6. He was happy and well-adjusted after that.

@NicholasName001 @Schwalm5132 @TeeeRoy1 I thought FL was 20th?

@ImBreckWorsham This is a retard test, if you believe this you are a retard

Retired CIA analyst Larry Johnson: Trump tried to used nuclear codes against Iran during White House “emergency meeting” on Saturday. Trump was halted by Air Force General Dan Cain who used military privilege to stop him.

@amuse this is getting tiring

PROPAGANDA: ‘Epert’ Democrats like CIA analyst Larry Johnson are filling the airwaves with lies to undermine the president and our military. Larry claims that Trump tried to “use the nuclear codes” on Iran and he was stopped by General Dan Caine.