Nicholas Name

1.8K posts

Nicholas Name banner
Nicholas Name

Nicholas Name

@NicholasName001

-GWOT was stupid, but it wasn't boring-

Katılım Kasım 2024
225 Takip Edilen64 Takipçiler
Nicholas Name
Nicholas Name@NicholasName001·
@real_bmoore @curtis_yarvin I'm aware. I'm referring to scale. When other societies have gotten to similar situations as ours, prostitution was epidemic. Millions of young men aren't paying OF performers for blowies in the front seat.
English
1
0
1
135
Ben
Ben@real_bmoore·
@NicholasName001 @curtis_yarvin You sweet summer child. I live in Miami, ok? And you learn certain things living here. And one of the things you learn is that it ain't just all on screen. They're um, "meeting" their fans.
English
1
0
3
138
Curtis Yarvin
Curtis Yarvin@curtis_yarvin·
Translation: for those who can still get their hands on a dollar, blowjobs will cost $3 and you’ll get 5-10 a day without even thinking on it
Alex Imas@alexolegimas

New essay on the economics of structural change and the post-commodity future of work. 1. Almost any question about the impact of advanced AI on the economy needs to start at the same place: what is still scarce? Answer that, and the analysis becomes pretty straightforward. This essay explores what becomes scarce if AI really can replicate most of what humans do in production, and what this mean for the future of jobs. 2. My conjecture, working through the economics: labor reallocates across sectors, and the sector it reallocates to has properties that keep labor a meaningful share of the economy. Ultimately this is about the structure of demand itself. For this, we have to go back to Girard, Augustine and Rousseau: once people's base needs are met, their preferences shift to comparative motives (e.g., status, exclusivity, social desirability). This motive is inherently non-satiated. 4. The key paper is Comin, Lashkari, and Mestieri (Econometrica 2021). As people get richer, they don't buy proportionally more of everything. They shift spending toward sectors with higher income elasticity. They estimate income effects account for 75%+ of observed structural change. 5. The ironic consequence: the sector that gets automated becomes a smaller share of the economy, not a larger one. Agriculture got massively more productive and its share of employment collapsed. Manufacturing too. The "stagnant" sectors absorb the spending and the jobs. 6. So the question is: which sectors have high income elasticity in a post-AGI world? I argue it's what I call the relational sector. Categories where the human isn't just an input into production, it is part of the value. 7. Why does the relational sector have high income elasticity? Because human desire has a mimetic, relational dimension. We don't just want things for their intrinsic properties. We want what others want, and we want it more when others can't have it. Girard, Rousseau, Augustine, and Hobbes all saw this. 8. In work with Kristóf Madarász, we showed this experimentally: WTP roughly doubles when a random subset of others is excluded from the good. And in new work with Graelin Mandel, AI involvement kills the premium. Human-made art gains 44% from exclusivity; AI-made art only 21%. 9. This all comes together for the core argument. The sector that absorbs spending as AI makes commodity production cheap is one where human provenance is part of the value, and demand for it grows faster than income. Exactly the profile that keeps labor meaningful. 10. To be clear about the claim: I'm NOT saying aggregate labor share must rise. It may fall. The claim is about sectoral composition, i.e., where expenditure and employment go once commodities get cheap, and the fact that the sector that will absorb reallocated labor maps to a substantial component of human preferences and desire. 11. If you're interested in the formal model, a linked companion technical note works out all the economics. Read the essay here: aleximas.substack.com/p/what-will-be…

English
17
8
299
54.4K
Nicholas Name
Nicholas Name@NicholasName001·
@TheBuddyCSM @btcave1 I made all of my Soldiers memorize "what is best in life". When I PCS'd they bought me a shirt with the quote and I loved it ten times more than my plaque.
English
1
0
3
23
The Buddy CSM
The Buddy CSM@TheBuddyCSM·
Such a great movie. "Crom, I have never prayed to you before. I have no tongue for it. No one, not even you, will remember if we were good men or bad. Why we fought, or why we died. All that matters is that two stood against many. That's what's important! Valor pleases you, Crom... so grant me one request. Grant me revenge! And if you do not listen, then to HELL with you!"
English
2
1
28
449
Devon Eriksen
Devon Eriksen@Devon_Eriksen_·
Have you ever watched a horror movie with vampires? Not sexy vampires for middle aged dumpy wine aunts to masturbate to, but actual lore accurate vampires? The kind of movie where your grandfather is scratching at the window asking why you won't let him in, but there's something wrong with his eyes and the tone of his voice, and either that's not him, or worse yet, maybe it is him, but with everything that made him love you stripped away and replaced by insatiable hunger? The main character is never stupid enough to let him in, is he? It's always grandma. About halfway through the movie. And she's always the first to die, slaughtered the moment she opens that window, but almost everyone else sheltering in the house quickly, follows, leaving the protagonist and his scantily-dressed girlfriend to flee across the moors at night, pursued by the blood-hungry corpses of everyone else they ever loved. You've seen that movie, right? Well, I feel like I'm in that movie. It's not that I hate grandma. She's nice. Loves people. Bakes cookies. But she keeps trying to open the goddamned window. Every time I point out that some institution of our former society is being worn as a skinsuit by corrupt self-interest masquerading as socialism masquerading as compassion, there's always those guys who are shocked and betrayed that I attacked their beloved thing. No. Your beloved thing is gone. It doesn't matter what it did for you 30 years ago. It's not 30 years ago now. The soul of your beloved thing was eaten by a monster, and now it has become a monster itself. It doesn't matter whether I'm talking about the Catholic church, Christianity in general, the Republican party, the American Medical Association, the NRA, Disney, whatever. It's always the same. There's always the guy who is shocked, angry, and betrayed, because we're both supposed to be "right-wing", and here I am, attacking his beloved grandpa. I must be an evil nihilist straight from the bowels of reddit. But I am not trying to rob you. I am trying to help you. That is not your grandpa. That is a vampire. What's almost worse is that there are some guys who do, eventually, understand. After they yell at me a bit and call me a grandpa-hater or something. But the first thing they say, when they figure it out is... "Can't we save the skinsuit?" They're still hoping, on some level, that grandpa is still there. That there's a cure. That they can have their beloved institutions and traditions back. Well, I'm not hopeful. I mean, I can't say for sure whether they can or can't, but that's not important. That's the wrong question. We can't worry about saving Grandpa right now, because we have to save ourselves first. We have to survive the night. And if you're not willing to stake Grandpa through the heart for that, or, worse yet, if you try to stop the rest of us, yelling "Grandpa! Noooooooo!", grabbing at someone's wrist as he's trying to raise the big wooden mallet, then... Well, then you're not an enemy, but you are a liability. And so we have to put you in the back seat. We can't stop attacking Vampire Grandpa to spare your feelings. The hour is too late for us to listen to friends who can't tell the difference between us and the enemy.
cTwelve@theCTwelve

I think we can agree the issue is internationalist leftism. Reactionary right-wing stuff can be an issue too, but they're exactly that. Can we make a pact to destroy the Communists and their ilk, together?

English
380
1.5K
8.3K
753.4K
Nicholas Name
Nicholas Name@NicholasName001·
@TheBuddyCSM At the BDE the Soldier of the quarter board, I saluted and then loudly slammed a coin on the table. BDE CSM (Mike Kelso) didn't have one 🤣
English
1
0
17
1.7K
The Buddy CSM
The Buddy CSM@TheBuddyCSM·
Story time: I had a buddy competing for the Ranger of the Month Board as a PFC. Total stud physically and mentally. He went into the board and came out really fast. Apparently he was missing the biography from his board packet. The CSM told him he had two minutes to figure it out before coming back in to complete the board. His squad leader grabbed a camo stick and a blank sheet of paper and told him to write “I’m a Bad Mother F*cker” on it and get his ass back in there. He won the board.
The Buddy CSM tweet media
English
76
106
3.1K
161K
Sandy Petersen 🪔
Sandy Petersen 🪔@SandyofCthulhu·
what do you mean? We just learned of a bunch of apes engaged in civil war. We've seen gorillas pretend to use sign language to elicit praise and treats. In Japan snow monkeys learned to wash sweet potatoes in salt water. And even more importantly, we keep seeing people nowadays act ever more like apes in public.
Sandy Petersen 🪔 tweet media
PortHarcourt Sailor@GodsgreatG

I have a genuine question. Many scientists say humans evolved from apes and other primates. So why don’t we see that kind of evolution happening today? Why does it seem like it stopped?

English
7
9
113
6.4K
Kenny Webster
Kenny Webster@KennethRWebster·
Cigarette smoking is at an all-time low.  Which sounds great until you watch an action hero try to ignite gas canisters by calmly flicking a vape.
English
5
7
34
1.4K
Nicholas Name
Nicholas Name@NicholasName001·
@GadSaad Huh? I've never seen you do an impression. Do Mr. T!!!
English
0
0
1
67
Curtis Yarvin
Curtis Yarvin@curtis_yarvin·
Imagine how far a Christian who refused to genuflect to these idols, ever, like a Roman Christian refusing to sacrifice to the emperor, would get on the American cursus honorum. For a Muslim, of course, never any problem
English
4
16
284
5.8K
Curtis Yarvin
Curtis Yarvin@curtis_yarvin·
We don’t? We educate their kids in our beliefs. If they want a lib education, it’s free. If they want a Christian one, they pay. Then all white-collar careers demand an orthodox record on “questions of homosexuality, gender, and family.” You’ve heard of college? Cancellation?
Shadi Hamid@shadihamid

Most American Muslims aren't immigrants. They're born and raised here. And they're not that different from the Republican base when it comes to questions of homosexuality, gender, and family. We don't ask Republicans to "assimilate" into American liberal culture. 1/

English
8
34
636
26.7K
Kenny Webster
Kenny Webster@KennethRWebster·
Hundreds attending an anti American protest in Houston right now Guess they didn’t hear about the ceasefire.
English
22
14
93
4K
Dan Crenshaw
Dan Crenshaw@DanCrenshawTX·
A lot of pearl clutching from the usual suspects online and on the cable news panels about “ending civilization.” Take a breath. Let’s do some critical thinking and pretend like we actually know how President Trump communicates. Should he be taken literally? Like you really believe he’s going to vaporize the Persian population? Really? Have you been paying attention the last 11 years? President Trump speaks in terms of POWER, which is the only language our adversaries understand. Carefully worded diplomatic statements make the UN feel nice and cozy but also don’t get anything done. Pay attention to his actions. And so far the actions have left the Iranian military in shambles, their ballistic mission program nearly gone, and their nuclear program nearly destroyed. The President is rightfully prioritizing the need for overwhelming force in order to open the Straits of Hormuz. That’s it. That’s the action we can expect.
English
1.6K
126
1K
221.1K
Leading Report
Leading Report@LeadingReport·
Chris Christie says that baby boomers are the “most selfish generation in American history.”
English
442
410
4K
272.1K
Nicholas Name retweetledi
Massimo
Massimo@Rainmaker1973·
A bald eagle watching a SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket launch in the distance [📹Jon Burket]
English
84
813
7.1K
99.1K
Nicholas Name retweetledi
Massimo
Massimo@Rainmaker1973·
I had and still have got a devastating gastroenteritis that created several complications, leaving me unable to even grab a phone until now. Thanks to those who wrote encouraging messages, especially to @BrianRoemmele who really tried everything to contact me. Thanks 🙏
Massimo@Rainmaker1973

Update Account collapse became physical collapse. Heading to hospital, so I guess the problem is solved. - end of transmission -

English
252
114
2.2K
105.8K
Nicholas Name retweetledi
Ben Bankas
Ben Bankas@BenBankas·
The plan for colonizing Mars..
English
35
286
1.9K
33.3K
Nicholas Name
Nicholas Name@NicholasName001·
@TheBuddyCSM I was a feature at the Ft. Benning Battle Lab in the late 90's. I remember him giving us TTPs from Vietnam for half an hour
English
0
0
1
29