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At long, long last:
All permits approve & closed ✅
House furnished & decorated ✅
Renter in place ✅
Two Homes One lot. 🏘
Infill housing FTW 🎉
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Chris Walter
2.4K posts
Chris Walter
@ChrisWPhoto
Software engineer, helping people build houses in their backyards. join us https://t.co/wRS24EixyY 🤩 https://t.co/iQXUFr7feX
Seattle Katılım Şubat 2009
850 Takip Edilen532 Takipçiler
@mattgoyer These same specs applied to a new construction townhome, builder would have listed at 1.25M$
And in many ways this feels much more desirable to a townhome
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9 offers and nearly 20% over list. North of the Ship Canal is still on fire.
44 showings and 50 groups through the open houses in just five days.
The Takeaways:
🏠 Sellers: Prep, Presentation, and Price are still king. Turnkey = Offers to choose from.
🤝 Buyers: To win, you have to swing for the fences. Think 14-day closes and waiving contingencies.
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@andyrandles That would be so cool to see a linear dense towers in the park kinda development downtown
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How many homes could we build in Seattle if I-5 disappeared tomorrow? 20k? 50k
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@mattgoyer It is wild out there. I keep checking back in on projects I expected to sell in less than 90 days just to see no units have moved 💀
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I called a top-producing agent today to compare notes on why our condo listings aren't moving.
I asked for what was working for him.
"You know what really helps me?" he asked.
There was a long pause. I was expecting:
- A 2-1 mortgage rate buydown paid by the seller
- TikToks from local influencers
- Meta ads
The pause stretched out. Then he finally said:
"Day drinking."
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@skaushik100 @RealSeattleNice Letsss gooo! And let’s not stop till the median seattle home price is substantially cheaper
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The death rattle of Lesser Seattle NIMBYism?
Seattle City Council Land Use Chair Eddie Lin tells @RealSeattleNice the city is going to go a lot bigger and bolder on density as comp plan revisions move forward.
Seattle Nice@RealSeattleNice
Check out our new episode Bigger and Bolder on Density: New CM Eddie Lin Says It's Time - seattle-nice.beam.ly/episode/bigger… via @beamly
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@michaelrbock @claudeai @turbotax @AnthropicAI Same question as above, if source isn’t open no one should be putting their tax documents into your plugin.
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I've been working on tax software for the past 5 years. This is the last year anyone will have to pay for TurboTax.
You can try it yourself today:
- add the Aiwyn Tax connector inside of Claude (link below)
- give it access to your tax documents (W-2s, etc.)
- ask Claude to prepare your tax return
...and that's it!
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@BarryRoland19 @JMGregorchuk Sadly this is 100% true.
if the applicant doesn’t have a 700+ credit score the risk isn’t worth it.
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Before the eviction moratorium and massive government funding into “tenant advocacy” groups and stricter limits on security deposits, I housed:
1. People who were literally homeless the day before I accepted them
2. People with no verifiable income, just their word, because they seemed honest and hardworking
3. Families with no credit, who owned their own business and could prove income
I dumped a sizable % of net worth into these neglected areas.
And I was happy to take a chance on people.
Since then, absolutely fuck no to rolling the dice on a tenant. And other than detached ADUs, I haven’t put a dollar more into these areas.
Had 6 months of vacancy on a unit recently because I refused to budge an inch.
Who are these policies *really* helping?
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@skaushik100 I think that’s accurate. 2020 was peak performative progressivism.
We are just now slowly coming around to remember that outcomes are the only true measure that matters
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Yeah, that’s a fair point - the performative, bumper-sticker-deep progressivism of the ‘19 Council, and their penchant for farming out control of municipal governance to their activist and interest group friends rather than focusing on producing meaningful results that benefitted their own constituents, did indeed come back to bite them in the end.
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Three economists at Carnegie Mellon weigh in on why Seattle's supposedly groundbreaking earnings standard law for delivery failed so spectacularly in delivering on its stated objective: boosting driver pay (link to the article in the next tweet).
These authors don't get to this, but the tragedy of this situation (I know, because I consulted for Doordash during the adoption of the law) is that if the earnings standard had been set correctly, driver compensation would have increased significantly (we estimated by about 20 percent) without raising the cost of delivery.
But the Council leads on this legislation -- Lisa Herbold, along with Andrew Lewis -- were far more interested in racking up a political win and in rewarding a powerful political constituency (an outside progressive interest group, Working Washington, literally wrote the law and dictated the standard) than they were in trying to make an objective assessment of what would produce the best policy outcome.
And they did get indeed their political win. It's just too bad that it came at the expense of Seattle's delivery drivers and restaurants (who saw delivery orders plummet), along with the companies.
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@remarkmarketing That bridge cost billions to build and then rebuild, driving over it should be expensive. Having a free bridge to the south, free road to the north and a train opening soon makes the price reasonable imo
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The 520 Bridge toll are an absolute ripoff. Even early in the morning, with the transmitter, tolls each way are $4.50 or higher. And if you do toll by mail, they are $6 or higher. That's $220-280 a month. So essentially 520 becomes an elite highway to get to and from Seattle. If you're a student at UW, or a nurse, or a retail worker, you're screwed. Take the train! they say.
And $1.50 a gallon tax in WA on top of that? The new wave of WA affordability is AWESOME.
Collectivism is warm.
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@loganb Elite overproduction as a concept just keeps coming in handy. I’m so glad we nerfed the rhetorical tools they were using in 2020. Still a lot of work to do to get these ppl back to focusing on outcomes instead of self aggrandizement through rhetoric alone.
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I’m skeptical working class voters have any opinion on tech and tech bros. Look at Amazon having insane consumer support.
The anti-tech slopulism is driven by an internecine grievance of educated elites getting economically outcompeted by their tech peers.
Chamber of Progress@ProgressChamber
Anti-tech populism meant to win back working-class voters risks undermining jobs, innovation, and competitiveness. Democrats should focus on outcomes, not performative confrontation. Read more in @DaveV15's latest: pub.bluehorizonproject.org/p/lose-lose-po…
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Very dishonest framing imo. A corporate owner isn’t consuming its shelter
Oren Cass@oren_cass
No, it means Perdue Farms should sell chicken to people instead of eating the chicken itself. Oh wait, it doesn't make sense to say that Perdue Farms would eat the chicken, because corporations aren't people. Idiocracy indeed.
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@moseskagan Few people understand the optimism and risk tolerance needed to sign a multi-million dollar personal guarantee
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Whenever I hear from a Leftist YIMBY who claims to want the private sector to build, I just want to ask under what conditions they would put their *own* $$$ into an investment that take 15-20 yrs to pay back.
Moses Kagan@moseskagan
Fact 1: On today's numbers, apartment buildings take 15-20 yrs to pay back the investment in building them. Fact 2: To justify that investment, investors need to expect the buildings to generate returns for decades thereafter. So, if your city wants private capital to fund development, it's not just about the specific regulations in effect today. It's about the vibe your city is giving off about how investors and their investments will be treated far into the future.
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@loganb I took waymo for the first time last week. Amazing product, but it can't close it's own doors, and I was wondering who cleans up after somebody spills their drink
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Reminds me of my Zillow days ~20 years ago. From the moment they invented the zestimate, they wanted to make markets in real estate, buying underpriced homes and selling them at the right price. But it turns out that business is actually managing teams of cleaning crews and repair contractors, which is a terrible low return business.
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Operating a fleet is a low margin, labor intensive business which needs labor and real estate in literally every metro. It’s very messy, which is why these kinds of businesses are so fragmented to begin with.
Luke Metro@luke_metro
"let your car make money for you" is a nice dream but I never understood why the guy with a giant risk tolerance and the best access to capital in the world would let franchisees capture the profits here
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@JohnParadise17 Very cool! As a builder I want to use this to have more control over bidding, if I’m sending out exact scopes of work for bidding, much easier to compare between bids.
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Initially I was quite mad at GPT-5.4 attempting to use it outside of Codex. It struggles with tool calls in OpenClaw.
I was initially disappointed in the drop in performance against my benchmark, its disregard for the validation script, etc.
Using it inside Codex, it seems an unbelievable jump in capability against 5.3-Codex for my desired use cases.
Stripping out all the image preproccessing that was needed to get GPT-5.3 to 96% from ~30%s and letting it ingest the PDF in full using vision and it performed 98.8% on its first try for feeder accuracy in my panelboard quoting benchmark. What happens if I spend time working with it to bring up its accuracy in the benchmark, can I get it to exceed human accuracy in the real world?
Lastly, the computer automation! I had to convert something like 80 .dwg files from CAD to PDF based on a consultant's sampling. I copied the whole drawings folder off the server, dropped server access, but then gave it a prompt, drawing folder location and output folder location and it did it in 1 shot. It looked at the consultants list of required sales orders, looked through the drawing folder to "fuzzily" identify all the drawings that should be converted, converted them, and sorted them into the consultants folders.
We are so freakin early but this tech is so freakin cool
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@JohnParadise17 Has anything other than the model changed in your setup?
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GPT-5.4 panelboard quoting benchmark saw a significant decline in accuracy against GPT-5.3-Codex. It willingly ignored the validator script reprompting it for schema errors on its output.
Headers: 86.78%
Feeder: 48.91%
Vs
99.4 and 96.4.
Very disappointed so far.
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@the_transit_guy Reading this as I’m in my 4th week waiting for a reviewer just to get assigned to my project 🥲
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Objectively, the highest-impact use case for AI is automating code compliance and permitting. You should be able to propose a townhome development and find out if it’s code and zoning compliant within 60 seconds.
Small Cap Snipa@SmallCapSnipa
Jeff Bezos wants AI to approve Miami building permits in 10 seconds: “Miami should have an AI application that reads your building permit and it should give you a yes or a no in 10 seconds. Why does it take months and months and months to get a building permit? It doesn’t make any sense.”
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@JohnParadise17 To me Claude is better at reasoning through complex topics, smarter conversation flow.
Codex seems much better on pure code gen
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I wonder if it will be the mainstream opinion that Anthropic should stop having Claude build itself without anyone reading code?
Down again?
I get that it is better at Front End with the front end skill, but I honestly do not understand the obsession with Claude Code / Opus.
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@loganb SCL is quickly becoming one of the bigger impediments to infill housing with their underground power requirements and calculations for EVs.
They just added $100k to an already $150k electrical budget to build 6 cottages in crown hill.
Every builder has a story like this.
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I agree with the values statement here, but practically, are public owners better? Seattle City Light went from an innovative powerhouse in the 1960s to a stagnant and declining business for the next 60 years because political winds turned again progress and shackled them.
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@loganb exactly the point that Jack Clark from Anthropic was making on the Ezra Klien show this morning.
If we cant hit 5% GDP thats 1.5T$ added to the economy /year. We can do a lot of fun still with an extra Trillion.
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@ChrisWPhoto What China gets right is that as long as the pie is growing, you can divert a _lot_ of the spoils to your cronies. The populists in America think they can shrink the pie and somehow get a bigger slice at the same time.
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This is the political equivalent of buying indulgences and it’s f***ing gross.
build mixed use taco-houses 🌐🥑@yimbyism
Economists: We need targeted assistance to low-income families to end poverty once and for all Washington State: What if we gave DINK millionaires 150k for free as long as they're a minority whose family got here early enough, also Chinese and Japanese people don't count lol
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