
It simply won't stop. It is Sunday night and the US 10Y Note Yield just casually hit 4.63%, the highest since February 2025. We are now ~4 basis points ABOVE the high that prompted President Trump's "90-day tariff pause" in April 2025. This puts the 10Y Note Yield up +70 basis points since the Iran War, with US mortgage rates now nearing 7.00%+. And, in a sudden turn of events, the odds of rate cuts have collapsed to 2% this year and US inflation is nearing 4%+. The US bond market is collapsing in real-time.












