TheNotSoShamelessCloner

3.8K posts

TheNotSoShamelessCloner banner
TheNotSoShamelessCloner

TheNotSoShamelessCloner

@CloneShameless

Just a private investing guy trying to survive in MicroCap Land! PS: hidden SoS in my name :P

Lübeck Katılım Kasım 2011
88 Takip Edilen1.6K Takipçiler
TheNotSoShamelessCloner retweetledi
Hidden Returns
Hidden Returns@hidden_returns·
1/2 Die Folge hat zwar dieses Mal Normallänge, aber kennt nur ein Thema: Ampco-Pittsburgh $AP. Hanno und Christian nutzen die jüngst vermeldeten Zahlen, um umfangreich auf das Thema Asbest, aber auch den möglicherweise... youtu.be/7mNIMEHLMqs
YouTube video
YouTube
Deutsch
1
1
21
1.6K
TurboToni
TurboToni@TurboToni4·
@Valuehunte It played out really well in this quarter to sell before the results
English
1
0
2
69
David Barbato
David Barbato@Valuehunte·
Next time a stock I own goes up too much too fast, and all the optimism has been priced in, I'll take some chips off the table, even if I'm confident in the long-term prospects. Also, for the second time in a short period, if I'm disappointed with the results or don't feel strongly enough about the risks, I won't let the share price inform my decisions.
English
6
0
19
4.7K
TheNotSoShamelessCloner retweetledi
Liger Cub
Liger Cub@realLigerCub·
Re $WATT, the Walmart deployment may not even be the largest: "This is the largest public deployment of Ambient IoT [...] and the second largest overall after the other open secret project with a major online retailer (Amazon)." - ABI Research Public infra from Wiliot shows POCs w/ McDonald's, Whole Foods, Mondelez, and 7-Eleven, among others. McDonald's btw seems to already be running here: mcd.solutions.wiliot.com Source: view-source:association.nangana.wiliot.com/settings.html
Liger Cub tweet media
English
3
8
47
11.8K
Paul, not a CFA
Paul, not a CFA@Investmentideen·
Imo. $SABR is a multi bagger from here if they let $CSU.TO restructure the business - at least 4x, in 36 months. In addition to my previous thoughts, there’s upside from refinancing the expensive debt. P/E is a much better metric here to use than EV/X. SABR won’t pay down the debt, but distribute the profits back to the mothership - CSU, as dividends. I bought a small position (3%).
Paul, not a CFA@Investmentideen

Some quick thoughts on $SABR / $CSU that I wrote up yesterday: SABR is effectively bankrupt unless it can materially improve profitability. The company carries a very high debt load that wipes out its roughly 10% EBITDA margin once interest expense is included. Realistically, their only viable path is a partnership with Constellation Software; the alternative is chapter 11. At around 2.7bn in revenue, the business could potentially reach a 30% EBITDA margin, implying about 810m in EBITDA. After roughly 440m of interest expense, that would leave about 370m in EBT and, assuming a 21% tax rate, around 292m in free cash flow. With a current market cap of roughly 460m, the stock is trading at about 1.6x this potential free cash flow. Given the amount of debt in the capital structure, any improvement in profitability would translate into significant operating leverage for equity holders. Constellation has also not given up on installing one of its own directors on SABR’s board. The candidate is Damian McKay, CEO of Vela, which owns Juniper, the travel platform within Constellation; as the former CEO of Datamine, he brings substantial operational experience.

English
4
2
87
41.2K
TheNotSoShamelessCloner
TheNotSoShamelessCloner@CloneShameless·
$JOY and $ALTO finally making shareholders a bit happy. Congrats to anyone that invested 6 months ago !
English
0
1
12
539
TheNotSoShamelessCloner retweetledi
Liger Cub
Liger Cub@realLigerCub·
My first deep dive, a 60+ page report on $NURS.V, is now live at byronstreetresearch[.]com. It took a few weeks, but the full story is finally out there. It covers everything, from methods to systematically identify business partners to a detailed list of licensees. At 20,000+ words, it's now in the top ten by word count in @joinyellowbrick's database (ironic, after spending years arguing against lengthy book reports). $HYDTF $VST.CN
Liger Cub tweet media
English
5
17
73
26.7K
TheNotSoShamelessCloner retweetledi
Hidden Returns
Hidden Returns@hidden_returns·
1/4 In der heutigen Folge befindet sich erstmals ein Gast direkt bei Christian vor Ort. @FBuschek war bereits schon einmal im Podcast vertreten und hat uns dieses Mal eine Aktie aus einem Sektor mitgebracht, der bislang noch gar nicht... open.spotify.com/episode/2jcZHp…
Deutsch
2
6
28
1.9K
TheNotSoShamelessCloner retweetledi
Hidden Returns
Hidden Returns@hidden_returns·
Diesen Sonntag dürft ihr euch nach 4-wöchiger Pause wieder auf 2 1/2 Stunden Podcast freuen. Zudem gibt es erstmals einen Gast im Quasi-Studio, der uns einen Pitch aus einer Industrie mitgebracht hat, die wir bislang noch gar nicht thematisiert haben.
Deutsch
6
2
56
1.5K
Special Situation Investments
Special Situation Investments@SSI_invest·
New Merger Announcement - $UHG, a regional homebuilder, being takeunder by a PE - $1.18/share in cash vs stock at $1.15/shr - Shareholder approval effectively secured via written consent (~70% of voting power) - No regulatory risk - Expected to close smoothly in Q2 2026
English
4
0
4
2.9K
TheNotSoShamelessCloner retweetledi
Maxwell House
Maxwell House@maxwellhouse99·
$CNK Cinemark Q4 and FY 2025 $DBO.TO $DBOXF ''Generated our highest annual D-BOX motion seat revenue with more than 40% growth year-over-year'' ''step-up in capital expenditures.. from '25 to 2026...how many opportunities there, expansion in XD, ScreenX, and D-BOX as well.''
Maxwell House tweet mediaMaxwell House tweet mediaMaxwell House tweet media
English
4
10
58
5.6K
elin ✿
elin ✿@prinSNESs·
i dont care about the backlog anymore. i game what i want when i want
elin ✿ tweet media
English
24
3
129
1.5K
Hidden Returns
Hidden Returns@hidden_returns·
Leider müssen wir euch dieses Wochenende nochmal enttäuschen, aber leider konnten wir keinen gemeinsamen Termin für einen Pitch finden, da Christian immer noch tief in der Fastnachtssitzungsplanung steckt. Der Pitch ist jedoch nur aufgeschoben, nicht aufgehoben.
Deutsch
6
0
32
1.6K
TheNotSoShamelessCloner retweetledi
AlmostMongolian
AlmostMongolian@AlmostMongolian·
$nurs.v $vst.cn Hydreight's posted 2026 revenue and EBITDA margin guidance and Q1 revenue outlook "This guidance is intended to represent a baseline or “floor-case” scenario" 2026 floor case revenue guidance C$150 million Adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 15–17%($22,5-25,5 million) Q1 revenue outlook C$25-28 million Market cap after fridays close: C$173 million This floor case guidance already more than supports the current valuation, hence I think the stock will bounce on this, but the fact that they describe it as a floor case is most important as it's derived solely from: "Existing partner relationships and currently active customer programs Observable transaction volumes and contracted demand Continued utilization of the Company’s existing pharmacy and platform infrastructure" "The guidance excludes any potential incremental contributions from acquisitions, new geographic market entries, or commercial arrangements that are not currently operational as of the date of this release." Based on their track record of growth and the activities they have outlined recently, I'm assuming many new commercial arrangements in 2026, etc, which are not included in the guidance. Based on many investor calculations based on orders, AOV, this might have been a disappointment, but considering how there was always a lack of clarity with revenue recognition, AOV, margins, etc. Those investor-calculated projections were never priced in anyway. I'm happy they got it done, and now there is more clarity. I think this recent fall marks a bottom in the stock price, and it's a guidance they should easily be able to beat.
AlmostMongolian tweet mediaAlmostMongolian tweet media
English
1
2
17
3.4K