

TheNotSoShamelessCloner
3.8K posts

@CloneShameless
Just a private investing guy trying to survive in MicroCap Land! PS: hidden SoS in my name :P









We just published the 7th issue of our weekly earnings brief. Our mission is simple: we distill the most important small-cap earnings releases into a curated, high-signal format delivered straight to your inbox every Monday morning: $ACFN, $ALTO, $FTEK, and others.


Some quick thoughts on $SABR / $CSU that I wrote up yesterday: SABR is effectively bankrupt unless it can materially improve profitability. The company carries a very high debt load that wipes out its roughly 10% EBITDA margin once interest expense is included. Realistically, their only viable path is a partnership with Constellation Software; the alternative is chapter 11. At around 2.7bn in revenue, the business could potentially reach a 30% EBITDA margin, implying about 810m in EBITDA. After roughly 440m of interest expense, that would leave about 370m in EBT and, assuming a 21% tax rate, around 292m in free cash flow. With a current market cap of roughly 460m, the stock is trading at about 1.6x this potential free cash flow. Given the amount of debt in the capital structure, any improvement in profitability would translate into significant operating leverage for equity holders. Constellation has also not given up on installing one of its own directors on SABR’s board. The candidate is Damian McKay, CEO of Vela, which owns Juniper, the travel platform within Constellation; as the former CEO of Datamine, he brings substantial operational experience.

"2026 is gonna be my year" me in March:






